Saturday's Crystal Palace vs. Manchester United Free Soccer Pick

Lee Phelps

Friday, May 8, 2015 3:50 PM GMT

Friday, May. 8, 2015 3:50 PM GMT

With their work largely done for the season Crystal Palace & Man U. could be forgiven for easing down, but Lee Phelps doesn't think that will happen. He's looking at the odds for a goals-based pick.

Has anyone seen any goals?? Neither Crystal Palace nor Manchester United have seen the net bulge or even ripple in any of their last three matches. I, for one, expect this to change this weekend. Let's check what the soccer betting odds tells us about this fixture and lets find some valuable picks.

 

Crystal Palace
On the subject of goal, the Palace record against United isn’t too healthy. They have failed to score in eight of the last 10 meetings in all competitions.

It looks like after Alan Pardew’s exceptional start, guiding the Eagles to safety, they may have taken their foot off the pedal. Their success was built on high energy play, which caught opponents by surprise. Whether it is fatigue or just losing that edge of vulnerability, the energy has slipped and with it the confidence.

James McArthur assures us there are no thoughts of beaches though: “We like the games where there's no pressure on you, where you can go to Stamford Bridge, Manchester United can come here or you can go to Anfield with no fear.

"These are the games that make you want to play in the Premier League, competing with the best players in the world. We need to do ourselves justice for the remainder of the season. We want to make it right after losing a few games.

"I think everyone on the outside has thought 'Crystal Palace have switched off, they're safe,' but it is not like that in the changing room.

"Everyone's been right at it this week, working so hard and looking forward to the remaining matches.

"It's not about spoiling parties, it's about doing ourselves justice and trying to get as many points on the board as possible. The club had 45 points last year, so we want to try and beat that. If we beat that, it shows there is real progression at the club."

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Manchester United
The Red Devils have won 11 and lost none of the last 13 league meetings with Crystal Palace and have kept clean sheets against Palace at Selhurst Park in each of their last four visits in all competitions.

They have a great record in London full stop (no jokes about most of their fans living there please!). United have lost just two of their last 22 Premier League away games in the capital (W12 D8 L2) and those came against Chelsea. They have conceded just three goals in their last eight away games in the big smoke too, keeping five clean sheets.

The recent dip in form and scoring has been put down to the lack of Michael Carrick in the team. Something pointed out well by JJ Bull in the Telegraph: “Without Carrick in the Manchester United team, the drums, bass and brass players are an integral member short of a band. No-one's deciding which song to play and which key to play in it. With Michael Carrick in the starting XI, Manchester United have a 72 per cent win ratio. Without him, it’s 35 per cent.

“Carrick’s defensive stats are similar to two more heralded deep-lying midfielders, Sergio Busquets and Andrea Pirlo. That pair have averaged 1.7 interceptions per game this season, and have a passing success percentage of 92% and 88% respectively, both in teams currently topping their domestic leagues. Carrick’s passing success is 89% - bang in the middle of the two - yet his role in the side remains *grits teeth* under-appreciated.”

 

Soccer Picks
It is worth noting that Van Gaal's side have kept just one clean sheet in their last eight matches in all competitions, while Saturday's hosts have conceded in each of their last 12. I’m keeping it simple here with this soccer pick and going for goals, despite the recent drought on both sides. Over 2.5 goals is 2.0 (Evs0 and that is good enough for me.

Free Soccer Pick: Over 2.5 goals 2.0 (Evs) at William Hill

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