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Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka Odds, Picks, Predictions for 2023 Australian Open Women's Final

Mike Spector

January 27, 2023 3:53 PM EST • 4 min 13 sec read.

Elena Rybakina in action during her Semi Final Match at the Australian Open grand slam tennis tournament at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia on January 26, 2023.
Elena Rybakina in action during her Semi Final Match at the Australian Open grand slam tennis tournament at Melbourne Park in Melbourne, Australia on January 26, 2023. Photo by Stringer/Anadolu Agency via AFP.

Two top-10 players do battle in the 2023 Australian Open Women's Final as Elena Rybakina meets Aryna Sabalenka. Read on for our best Rybakina-Sabalenka picks for the Australian Open final.

The 23-year-old Rybakina has advanced to her second Grand Slam final in the last three major tournaments after winning Wimbledon in 2022. Rybakina has beaten four consecutive seeded players to get to the finals, including straight-set victories over World No. 1 Iga Swiatek and two-time Australian Open champion Victoria Azarenka.

Get ready for Sunday's Men's Australian Open Final by checking out our Novak Djokovic vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas picks!

Despite being the No. 5 seed in this tournament, Sabalenka was highly regarded by oddsmakers, as she entered the Australian Open with the second-best odds to win (between +650 and +750 odds) behind Swiatek. Sabalenka has started the 2023 season with 10 consecutive victories, all by straight sets, and she is 3-0 head-to-head against Rybakina, with all wins coming in straight sets. 

Here are our best tennis bets for Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka in the 2023 Australian Open Women's Final (odds via BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka odds

Elena RybakinaAryna Sabalenka
Moneyline+120-145
Spread+1.5 games (-105)-1.5 games (-115)
Over/UnderOver 22.5 games (-115)Under 22.5 games (-105)

Check out our French Open odds, Wimbledon odds, and US Open odds.

Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka match info

Date: Saturday, Jan. 28, 3:30 a.m. ET
Location: Rod Laver Arena, Melbourne, Australia
How to watch: ESPN

Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka pick

Rybakina to beat Sabalenka (+120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

There is no denying Sabalenka’s dominant start to this season with 10 consecutive straight-set victories. But the path that Rybakina had to navigate to reach this point is remarkable, beating three former Grand Slam winners (No. 1 Swiatek, No. 17 Jelena Ostapenko, and No. 24 Victoria Azarenka) and 2022 Australian Open runner-up Danielle Collins in four consecutive matches. That form is likely why oddsmakers do not seem to mind Sabalenka’s 3-0 head-to-head record against Rybakina, making this as more-or-less a coin-flip match.

Sabalenka has a power advantage over most of her opponents on tour. Still, Rybakina is also known for her powerful groundstrokes, even if her ball tends to be flatter and has less spin than Sabalenka’s.

Sabalenka has been broken just six times throughout this tournament, but Rybakina’s serve has been an equally dominant weapon, even if she is giving more opponents looks at breakpoints (25 through six matches). Rybakina served 26 aces in the previous three matches (including a tournament-high 11 in the quarterfinals against Ostapenko), and 36% of her first serves against the No. 1 player in the world went unreturned.

Rybakina has conquered this stage once before, and that Grand Slam final experience will pay huge dividends against an opponent appearing in their first major final.

Elena Rybakina vs. Aryna Sabalenka best odds

BetMGM (+120)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Sabalenka (-145)Sabalenka (-146)Sabalenka (-140)Sabalenka (-140)Sabalenka (-134)
Rybakina (+120)Rybakina (+120)Rybakina (+120)Rybakina (+110)Rybakina (+110)

Rybakina backers expecting her to win outright will find the best value at either BetMGM, DraftKings, or Fanduel, whose +120 odds offer 10 more cents of value than the low end of the market (Caesars and PointsBet).

Additionally, those that do not have access to or accounts with the sportsbooks offering the best value can find plus-money odds with the O/U on the number of games played, starting with O/U 23.5 games for those that believe a fourth consecutive three-set marathon is on tap for these players.

Rybakina-Sabalenka pick made 1/27/2023 at 6:20 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.