Reigning Champion Amir Khan To Be Dethroned By Canelo Alvarez

Monday, April 25, 2016 6:40 PM GMT

Let’s review the boxing odds and cash a ticket in the middleweight title tilt between champion Canelo Alvarez and challenger Amir Khan. 


Amir Khan (31-3, 19 KO’s)
In December of 2011, British welterweight Amir Khan had lost only one fight in his professional career before he stood toe-to-toe with American Lamont Peterson, who also had only one lone blemish on his otherwise pristine record. The WBA (Super) and IBF welterweight titles were on the line and Amir Khan was installed as a prohibitive favorite by the boxing odds makers who hung him as high a -1400 favorite. But for those who like to include big underdogs in their boxing picks, Lamont Peterson did not disappoint. After 12 grueling rounds Peterson stunned the world with a split decision and all those chalk eaters who backed Khan saw their bankroll vanish.

Khan would lose his next fight to the uber talented, and to this day still undefeated, Danny Garcia via a 4th round TKO. But that was the end of the short losing skein for Khan as he has now reeled off five consecutive victories including his unanimous decision over Chris Algieri in his last bout almost a year ago. Khan has beefed up for this match and will jump two weight classes to meet Alvarez at a catchweight of 155 for the middleweight titles.

 

Saul “Canelo” Alvarez (46-1-1, 32 KO’s)
Canelo Alvarez has been hailed as the best pound-for-pound boxer on the planet since the retirement of Floyd Mayweather, who was responsible for Alvarez’s only loss of his professional career. The twenty-five-year-old native of Guadalajara, Mexico is the current lineal, The Ring and WBC middleweight champion and has rebounded from his 2013 defeat to Mayweather by racking up a TKO over Alfredo Angulo, a split decision over Erislandy Lara, a 3rd round knockout of James Kirkland and lastly a unanimous decision over Miguel Cotto.

This fight is more than likely a precursor to a highly anticipated unification bout with Gennady Golovkin but the sticking point may be Alvarez’s insistence that the fight take place at his preferred catchweight of 155 rather than the middleweight limit of 160. But that will be sorted out if Alvarez disposes of Khan as many believe he will. Alvarez has made tremendous strides in terms of pure boxing ability. Early in his career he was a flat-footed power puncher but his skills have become more refined and he can now use the lead hook to the body from a moderate distance instead of muscling inside and punching from short range which has made his punches even more devastating.

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Betting Analysis
Speed kills and if that is your sole measuring stick than nobody has it in spades more than Amir Khan. Khan’s feet are fleeter than virtually anyone in the boxing world and his hands are blazing. Certainly he doesn’t possess the brute strength of Canelo but he has gained an important perspective after his two losses and that is to get in and get out when facing power. Sounds like a rudimentary lesson Khan would have learned long ago but when the competition cannot reach you, one tends to believe even the more elite fighters will be equally as dazzled. They are not.

The bottom line in this fight is that Canelo Alvarez is simply too big and strong for a silky smooth fighter like Amir Khan. Alvarez is a brute, a mauler and big banger from the inside. Khan will need to keep his opponent at bay to score points from the outside while prohibiting Alvarez from cutting off the ring and doing damage inside.

In addition, this weight class is uncharted territory for Khan who relies on lightning speed and the ability to dance out harm’s way. He will find no such quarter inside the squared circle against a power puncher like Alvarez who can take whatever Khan doles out and return the favor in bigger and better fashion. Alvarez may be able to dance and run for a little while but not 12 rounds. Canelo Alvarez is worth the heavy lumber.

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Free Boxing Pick: Saul "Canelo" Alvarez -455
Best Line Offered: at Heritage