QPR vs. Newcastle: Battle of the Worst Includes Valuable Underdog Soccer Pick

Steven Suarez

Friday, May 15, 2015 2:52 PM GMT

Friday, May. 15, 2015 2:52 PM GMT

Both of these teams have been beyond terrible this season, making it all the more difficult to figure out where to go with our soccer picks. Let's dive into QPR/Newcastle showdown to find some value.

Odds Overview
QPR is listed as a +200 underdog at home at Loftus Road for this weekend's tussle with Newcastle. The Magpies are priced out at approximately +150, with a draw in the +225 to +250 range on the soccer betting odds board.

It's a battle between two of the worst teams in the Premier League and therefore it's not going to be easy to have full faith in either one of these teams. Let's run over each team's form and see what we can come up with.

 

QPR
Since a surprise 4-1 away win to West Brom, QPR has lost its way again, going winless in five consecutive matches. As a result, they're locked into one of the bottom three spots and therefore will be plying their trade in the Championship next season. 

Ahead of Saturday, QPR has picked up just 27 points through 36 matches, while recording a -28 goal differential. What's more, confidence is probably going to be at an all-time low following last week's 6-0 demolition at the hands of Manchester City at the Etihad. QPR limped into relegation with an awful showing from start to finish against the defending Premier League champions, and now it's going to be interesting to see what kind of mood they're in for these final two league matches.

We know there's one guy who'll be eager to keep making a good impression, that being Charlie Austin. He's had an outstanding season individually, scoring 17 league goals, which is 12 more than any other player in the club. You have to figure the striker will be joining up with another Premier League outfit for next season, as he's far too talented to be playing in the Championship again. You also have to like his chances of finding the back of the net against this demoralized Newcastle team this Saturday.

 

Newcastle
Make that nine straight matches in which Newcastle has been unable to record a victory. The Magpies have been dreadful over the past couple of months, and as a result they still have a chance to get relegated. Right now they're only two points clear, which is incredible to think about considering this is a team that was near the top earlier on in the campaign.

Alas, here we are. Newcastle has been a team to fade week in and week out lately, and that's a trend that we may want to keep rolling with until they show some resolve. 

The Magpies' away form has also been terrible, which is no surprise really. But just how bad has it been? Newcastle has lost five straight matches away from home, while getting outscored 14-0 in the process. How can we really trust this team with those kind of performances? All in all, these guys have been a mess and we've had no qualms about staying far, far away.

 

Premier League Pick
As bad as QPR has been, they've been a lot more competitive at home, and we actually look for them to come out with a focused effort after a total letdown last week against City.

Plus, have you seen how poorly Newcastle has been playing? The Magpies have been the league's worst outfit in recent months, and there's little reason to expect anything to change. Yes, they'll have motivation in hopes of avoiding relegation, but their team spirit has to be terrible at the moment.

As for our soccer pick,we're basically choosing between two rotten apples here, but we're going to take a chance on QPR at a Premier League odds price of +200. We look for the hosts to give their supporters a happy ending after a tumultuous campaign.

Soccer Pick: QPR 2 Newcastle 1 at Bet365

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