Premier League Tips: West Bromwich Albion vs. Everton

Mike Richardson

Friday, January 25, 2013 6:20 PM UTC

Friday, Jan. 25, 2013 6:20 PM UTC

Well, well, well two teams that look like they are in danger of blowing their early-season promise face-off in what is a potential top six decider when West Bromwich Albion travel to Everton on 30th January.

SBR EPL Picks: WBA vs. Everton

While the Manchesters seem to have tied up the league and it looks like Chelsea, Arsenal and Liverpool will be deciding the Champions League, the also-rans West Bromwich Albion and Everton have a real chance to stake their claim to a place in the top six. You might like to know that the Baggies are 100/1 on a top four finish while Everton are 5/1. As both those are quite unlikely, we should also note that Everton are 1/2 on a top six finish while West Brom are 16/1 on a top six finish themselves.

Enough with the table talk…WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?

Looking at the last two games between these sides, we can see that they both ended 2-0 to the home side and four of the last five meetings have been won by the home side too. Therefore, start by putting money on a home win and a 2-0 scoreline. Those odds are at 4/7 and 7/1 respectively. That might seem like an over simplification of things, but as Momma Gump said, “Stupid is as stupid does.”  And in the last five neither side scored more than 2 goals in a single game.

It’s good to be an Evertonian.

Looking at recent forms you’ll see that Everton are undefeated in their last four, and even better for the Toffee’s is that WBA are winless in their last five. Good for some, worse still for others, as the Baggies have not won a game since Boxing Day…that’s five games in all competitions.

Surely it has to get better for the Baggies soon…

Maybe, but don’t expect it to happen REALLY soon, as interestingly enough both Everton and WBA faced relegation fodder sides in their last EPL game, and both drew. WBA clawed their way back from 2-0 down to salvage a point against Villa while Everton played out a goalless draw against Southampton. You could always take that to mean that their game will end drawn, something offered up at 11/4 betting odds by the bookies, with 0-0 at 12/1 and 2-2 at 14/1.

Clean sheet for Everton

Looking even further back, the weekend before was a momentous one for Everton. Their goalless draw against Swansea represented the first time in 20 matches that David Moyes' side had managed to keep a clean sheet that makes 2 clean sheets in their last two games, but not for the 19 before that.

It was also the first time in 22 fixtures that the Toffees failed to find the net themselves. So, that’s failing to score in the last two games, but not for the 21 games before that.

So, with all that confusion, it’s pretty clear to be that Everton will score but will probably concede a goal.


Anything else

It’s worth noting that Everton are 5th, 3 points off fourth but have four teams five points or less behind them, one of which is West Brom.  Everton have won 5, draw 5 and lost just one game at home this term. By comparison WBA are 3 wins 2 draws and 6 defats on the road.

Toffees have scored 17 home goals and conceded 12, WBA have scored 14 on the road but conceded 21. The bookies have Everton winning both halves at 13/10. Nuff said.

Free Football Picks: Everton win 2-1 available at 7/1 for your football betting tickets. 

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