Premier League Soccer Picks: Southampton vs. Hull City

Nikki Adams

Friday, April 10, 2015 8:21 PM GMT

Southampton's bid for a Champions League spot hit a snag last weekend with a loss to Everton. Can they salvage a Europa League spot when they take on Hull City on Saturday's round of EPL betting. Join us as we breakdown this pivotal top flight clash and serve up soccer picks.

Southampton's Dreams of European Grandeur 
Southampton's dreams of European grandeur appear all but done, at least as far as Champions League competition is concerned next season. A costly 1-0 loss away to Everton forced the Saints down to seventh place in the table, a point behind Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur in fifth and sixth place, respectively, and eight points behind fourth-placed Manchester City and the last remaining Champions League spot in the Premier League table. With seven games left on the season, scaling domestic heights now is going to be an overzealous goal. The safer bet for the Saints is to secure one of the two Europa League spots available.

Southampton's downward trend in EPL goes back to December, ahead of the Christmas break. Up to November, the Saints were flying high in the Premier League and the future looked bright for entry into Europe's top flight competition. Everything seemed to be going their way until  they hit a tough spot in the schedule, which featured some stiff competition against Manchester City, Arsenal and Manchester United. Tale told, the Saints dropped all three in a row without striking an audible chord (they lost by a combined score of 6-1) across sports betting platforms.

Although the Saints eventually righted the ship to see the first half of the season out on a positive note, and then got back at Man U and Arsenal at the start of the second half of the season to split the series 1-1 with each team. They failed to continuing building on the momentum in the ensuing weeks, when it counted most. After all, where you finish in the table is the most important part of the season. Costly missteps to Swansea City, Liverpool, West Ham United, West Brom and Chelsea conspired to push them down the table all while other sides picked up form. It didn't help matters either that they were dumped out of League Cup by second-tier Sheffield United and FA Cup by Crystal Palace.

As it stands, Southampton boast a 16-5-10 record and 53 points, which includes a solid 9-3-4 record at home and a equally respectable 7-2-6 record on the road. Recent form is a slight concern: they are ranked 12th in the league's form table with a 2-1-3 record in their last six games. At home, however, the reading is positive behind two straight wins after beating Crystal Palace 1-0 and Burnley 2-0.

Based on home form on the season and their account against lesser teams, Southampton enter soccer betting markets this weekend as the clear-cut favorites at -188 soccer odds to win outright. It helps their market evaluation and cause amongst soccer bettors that Hull City are struggling something huge right now too. By and large, the expectation is for a Southampton win in this game, which is also the smart soccer pick in our opinion.

 

Hull City In Trouble
The Tigers roar into St. Mary's Stadium with all the menacing threat of a kitten after going without a win in their last five games. Most concerning is they are sat in 17th place and just two points adrift of the drop zone. A loss to Southampton on Saturday could very well sink them into the relegation bog.

In no uncertain terms, the Tigers are in trouble right now. Although allowances could be made for the three losses in their last five games to form sides Stoke City, Chelsea and Swansea City.  That they settled on draws to relegation rivals Leicester City and Sunderland is concerning. The point they took from that pair obviously wasn't enough to create much needed separation in the table and those could be opportunities they rue if they take the express shuttle to the Championship next season. Certainly, it's one of the toughest schedules in the league from here on, which includes dates with Arsenal, Liverpool, Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United over and above this weekend's date with Southampton.

Given Hull City's current form and the mounting pressure they enter this game as the undeniable long shots at +650 Premier League odds. By that same token, it's also difficult to see how they would take anything positive from this game.

 

Soccer Betting Verdict:
Southampton did hit a snag recently, but that shouldn't take the shine off their soccer odds at -188 to win outright. Hull City are struggling something awful right now and they appear to be there for the taking. Take Southampton to bounce back with a big win over Hull City on your soccer picks.

Soccer Picks: Southampton -188

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