Premier League Soccer Picks: Manchester United vs. Tottenham Hotspur

Kevin Stott

Thursday, March 12, 2015 1:33 PM UTC

Thursday, Mar. 12, 2015 1:33 PM UTC

Manchester United welcomes Tottenham to Old Trafford where Red Devils still are dominating heading into this Week 29 EPL fixture. Can underdog Spurs and Harry Kane snatch the 3 points here on Sunday?

Manchester United vs. Tottenham Hotspur: Odds Overview
Sunday 16:00 (NBCSN, NBC Sports Live Extra, Telemundo, fuboTV (USA), Sky Sports 1/HD, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, NOW TV (UK); 12 p.m. ET/9 a.m. PT): Sixth-place Tottenham Hotspur (15-5-8, 46 GF-39 GA) heads to Red Mancunia and Old Trafford to face 4th-place Manchester United

(15-8-5, 47 GF-26 GA) on Sunday in this Week 29 English Premier League fixture between two solid clubs battling for positioning for UEFA Champions and Europa league spots.

Premier League Soccer Odds makers have made the host Red Devils expected -110 favorites with visiting Spurs very healthy +300 underdogs and the Draw priced at +260 (bet365) in the Three-Way (Winner) line market. The Total Goals in this match is set at 2½ with Over juiced at -137 and the Under +105 (bet365). The Both Teams To Score odds here have the Yes priced at -150 with the No set at +110 (Sportingbet).

Two random proposition Soccer Picks for this game? I don’t see why not: Draw No Bet: Manchester United -275, Tottenham Hotspur +200 (bet365); and, First Goal Scorer: Wayne Rooney +450, Radamel Falcao +450, Harry Kane +600 (Ladbrokes).


Tottenham Hotspur FC
Tottenham Hotspur (7-2-4 Away, 21 GF-20 GA) has been eliminated from UEFA Europa League play, and now Spurs manager Mauricio Pochettino can begin concentrating on trying to earn a UEFA Champions League or Europa League berth for next season for his club. Heading into this challenging Road fixture against the Red Devils at Old Trafford, Tottenham (50 points) sits 3 points behind Sunday’s opponent Manchester United (53 points) for the last Champions League spot, and 1 point above 7th-place Southampton (49 points) for that last Europa League slot. Here against United, Spurs will look to the red-hot Harry Kane (16 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +167, bet365), Christian Eriksen (+300) Nacer Chadli (7 goals, +400),

Emmanuel Adebayor (+225), Roberto Soldado (+260), Erik Lamela (+350), Andros Townsend (+400), Paulinho (+450) and Moussa Dembele (+500) for goals against one of the best GKs in the Premiership in David De Gea—a man who has been keeping the hosts here in a great number of games with his fabulous goalkeeping. For Tottenham, French GK Hugo Lloris will have to match hands and Saves with De Gea, but with some Manchester United players Injured and two others Suspended, Tottenham could have a chance to steal one here and erase that 3-point gap between the two teams with a win and leave both clubs sitting on 43 points heading into Week 30 action. Stranger things have happened, like Marshmallow-flavored Milk for instance. In their last outing, Spurs edged QPR, 2-1 at Loftus Road in a London derby last Saturday for their second straight league triumph.


Manchester United FC
Manchester United (11-1-1 Home, 31 GF-10 GA) still sits in 4th place in the English Premier League, despite all the Bitching and Moaning from everyone from here to Jupiter’s fourth Moon, and the Red Devils (53 points) may end up getting a UEFA Champions League qualifying spots if they can stave off charging Arsenal (54 points) and Liverpool (51 points). With star Dutch striker Robin van Persie (10 goals) still sidelined with an ankle injury, winger Ashley Young potentially missing this game with an injury himself and Ángel Di María and Jonny Evans (spitting) both out Suspended, other players like Radamel Falcao (4 goals, Anytime Goalscorer +162, bet365)—who has sat the bench the L2 contests—Juan Mata (5 goals, +225)—who has played just a grand total of 23 minutes over the L7 United matches—Michael Carrick, Adnan Januzaj, James Wilson (+710), Marouane Fellaini (3 goals, +225), Chris Smalling (3 goals, +1600), Antonio Valencia (+650) and Ander Herrera (3 goals, +450) for some production. But, as it always seems to be, Little Gnome Wayne Rooney (10 goals, +130) will probably have to be the guy to electrify and do the expected scoring with so many key cogs out, Young potentially missing the game and some, old familiar faces around him in the Red Devils starting XI that first-year Manager Louis van Gaal puts out there on Sunday evening. This won’t be an easy one for the hosts.


Series Trends and Best Approaches
Manchester United is 74-39-34 lifetime (248 GF-182 GA) in English Premier League play against Tottenham Hotspur and a very dominant 30-12-11 (146 GF-68 GA) here at Home at Old Trafford against Spurs. The last time these two played was in Week 19 this season at White Hart Lane in North London where the game ended in a 0-0 deadlock—a real rarity in this series of late. When these two met in this fixture last season, Tottenham actually upset the then David Moyes-coached side, 2-1. In the L6 games in this series, the Both Teams To Score prop wager is 5-1 and the Over is 4-2, with 0-0, 2-1, 2-2, 1-1, 3-2, and 3-1 final scores. And, definitely worth mentioning for this site—historic Old Trafford—the Over is 5-1 in the L6 games between these two clubs, with a gaudy average of 4.8 gpg being scored in those 6 games.

And, on top of these trends, this one just feels like the type of Cookie Cutter affair where Rooney score his obligatory goal for the hosts, Kane notches his obligatory goal for the visitors, and then the site (Old Trafford) or the expectations (or maybe desperation this particular season in Red Mancunia) of winning at Home for the paranoid home crowd creates that second and game-winning goal. Maybe Mata gets a little redemption, probably only to be forgotten by the Mad Dutchman a week later when LvG wakes up in his English bed and realizes that he’s not in Kansas anymore. Despite LvG and the various absences, expect Manchester United to somehow find a way. They’ve lost just once at Home and can hear everyone mocking them, Bubba and guys like Mata, Wilson, Herrera, Fellaini and Valencia are all actually decent footballers when given a shot to get in some kind of flow. And with van Persie, Di María and Evans all definitely out and Young potentially missing, van Gaal will almost be forced to give some of these cats some minutes so don’t be too surprised if one of them gets the crucial game-winner this weekend here at Old Trafford.

PREDICTED FINAL: Manchester United 2 Tottenham 1

EPL PICK: Over 2½ -137 (bet365), Both Teams To Score Yes -150 (Bet365)

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