Premier League Soccer Picks: Crystal Palace vs. West Bromwich Albion

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, April 15, 2015 10:58 PM GMT

Crystal Palace has been a new club since Alan Pardew has taken over as manager and the Eagles will look to continue their excellent recent form with a win on Saturday at home in London against former manager Tony Pulis and West Brom. And with Crystal Palace at odds of -105, you have to really like the price.

Odds Overview
Crystal Palace vs. West Bromwich Albion, Saturday, (Premier League Extra Time/NBC Sports Live Extra (US), 15:00 CEST/10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): 
Fourteenth-place West Bromwich Albion (8-9-15, 30 GF-46 GA, 33 points) heads to Selhurst Park in London on Saturday to face 11th-place Crystal Palace (11-9-12, 42 GF-43 GA, 42 points) in this Week 32 English Premier League fixture. Soccer odds makers have made host Crystal Palace -105 favorites with West Brom +300 underdogs and the Draw priced at +229 (bet365). The Total Goals in this game has been set at 2½ Under -142 (Over +110, bet365) while the Both Teams To Score prop has the ‘No’ priced at -125 and the ‘Yes’ at -110 (bet365).

A couple of other props for your consideration: To Win To Nil has Crystal Palace at +212, West Brom at +650 (BetVictor); and, Team To Score First, which sees Crystal Palace priced at -153, West Brom at +150 and the ‘No Goals’ set at +800 (Ladbrokes). When these two teams met back in Week 9 earlier this season at The Hawthorns, the Baggies fought back from a 2-0 halftime deficit at Home to earn a 2-2 draw and a point.

 

West Bromwich Albion FC
West Bromwich Albion (2-6-7, 9 GF-26 GA, Road) will begin Saturday in 14th place with 33 points in the Premier League standings, just 7 points above 17th place and that dreaded Relegation Zone after a recent run of poor form (WLWLLL), and new Baggies manager Tony Pulis is worried and he probably has a right to be. And trying to get a point or maybe even three here against his former team Crystal Palace, which is playing some pretty good soccer right now, will be difficult to say the least, especially with West Brom’s inability to really do anything positive on the Road this season. The Baggies have just 2 Road wins in mid-April and their 9 goals scored away from home is the lowest in the English Premier League. And West Brom is the only club in the league without double-digit Away goals. And you can see why when you examine the club’s statistics and see the massive gap and drop-off between the club’s two leading scorers, Saido Berahino (12 goals, +240, Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet) and Brown Ideye (4 goals, +275). So, playing against an in-form Crystal Palace team playing against its old manager at Home in South Norwood, London when you have scored just 9 goals and L3 straight—the last two to powerhoses QPR and Leicester City—sounds like Handicapping 101. Simply back the the Home Favorite at the decent price knowing that all of the pressure will be on the road-weary visitors and their GK Ben Foster. All handicaps are different, but some are so utterly simple that they demand you just go with your first instinct and not over-think too much. The Eagles are playing much better than they were when these two tied in Week 9 and Crystal Palace will remember squandering that 2-0 halftime lead, and will want to keep these Good Feelings they are now experiencing around. Simple.

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Crystal Palace FC
Crystal Palace (5-3-7, 19 GF-21 GA, Home) is tied for having the second-best record in the EPL (behind Arsenal) since manager Alan Pardew took over at Selhurst Park, with the Eagles earning 25 points in that span, and firmly moving themselves away from that aforementioned Relegation Zone—this team was priced at -275 in the ‘Odds To Stay Up’ Prop (bet365) earlier this season—and gaining some wonderful confidence in the process. The Eagles have gone 5-1-0 over their L6 (WLWWWW) and currently rank #3 on the English Premier League Form Table. Leading the way for Crystal Palace on the attack have been Glenn Murray (6 goals, +125, Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet), Dwight Gayle (5 goals, +175), Mile Jedinak (5 goals, +450), Frazier Campbell (4 goals, +175), Jason Puncheon (4 goals, +240), Wilfried Zaha (3 goals, +275) and Yannick Bolasie (4 goals, +200), who notched the league’s first Hat Trick last weekend in Crystal Palace’s 4-1 win over Sunderland. In goal, Julián Speroni has provided the Eagles with a solid starter and his play is a big part of the reason this club is now eyeballing a finish in the top half of the Premier League table now with only 7 games to go.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Overall, Crystal Palace is just 7-11-14 (36 GF-44 GA) against West Bromwich Albion in all competitions, but in EPL play, the Eagles have fared slightly better, going 4-5-8 (23 GF-25 GA) overall and 3-1-4 (12 GF-11 GA). But those numbers are Old News and were forged when people still used pencils, put records on record players and actually had to get up to physically change the TV channel. (You probably wouldn’t understand.) But lately, Crystal Palace has gone 2-2-1 over the L5 against the Baggies, and here at Selhurst Park, the Eagles are 2-0-0 against WBA, outscoring them 6-1 in those two matches (3-1, 3-0), both Overs for the Totals handicapper.

With the hosts so hot and feeling good and facing their old skipper Pulis and West Bromwich Albion so cold and on the Road where they have tallied just 9 goals all season, even a person knowing little about sports betting and placing soccer picks could even see that this looks like a nice little opportunity to get and bet on a team (Crystal Palace) at a nice price (-105, bet365) that often flies under the radar, and with Bolasie feeling good about himself now and game teammates like Puncheon, Campbell, Gayle and Murray, this team has many more potential goal scorers than visitors West Brom. And, worth noting from the above EPL Form Guide snapshots—neither team has a Draw in at least their L12 collective combined contests...for what it’s worth. And if they do end up drawing here on Saturday night in South Norwood, London, if you like, you can blame that last sentence and this one too if it will make you feel any better. The sentence(s) can take it.

Predicted Final Score: Crystal Palace 2 West Brom 1

Premier League Soccer Picks: Crystal Palace -105 (bet365), Crystal Palace To Score First -153 (Ladbrokes), Yannick Bolasie Anytime Goalscorer +200 (Sky Bet)

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