Premier League Soccer Pick for Saturday's Aston Villa vs. Everton

Lee Phelps

Friday, May 1, 2015 12:49 PM GMT

Friday, May. 1, 2015 12:49 PM GMT

This will become the first fixture in English league history to have been played 200 times, so who will win? William Hill's Lee Phelps has been looking at the latest odds for his free betting pick.

Aston Villa are still fighting for their Premier league lives, despite having that cup final to look forward to. I’m 100% sure no-one connected with the club would want to go into that Wembley date as a Championship club.

 

Aston Villa
There is a misconception that Villa are almost safe from relegation, but with 32 points, they are only two above Sunderland, who have a game in hand, so if results go against them, Villa could find themselves in the bottom three again.

The bad news is Villa have won just one of the last 12 Premier League games against Everton (W1 D7 L4) and none of the last eight (D4 L4).

The good news is Tim Sherwood has got them scoring, in fact his team are averaging a goal every six shots, while Paul Lambert’s Villa were scoring one every 16 shots on goal. This attacking style has benefitted Christian Benteke who has now scored eight goals in his last seven games.

One other man worth looking at here is Gabriel Agbonlahor (2.8 (9/5). He scored seven goals against Everton, more than he has mustered against any other opponent in the Premier League and made his debut against the same opponents back in March 2006 scoring in that game too.

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Everton
The Merseysider’s resurgence has seen them burst into the top 10 and I expect them to finish the season well. We talked about their great home defensive record last week ahead of the Manchester United game, but don’t be carried away by that this week. They have only kept two clean sheets on the road all season, letting in 25 goals all told.

 

Soccer picks
Looking at the soccer odds, I expect goals in this game and would even be looking at over 3.5 at 4.75 (11/4), with Benteke likely to be involved in the goals. I’m not going for that soccer pick though, instead I’ll go a little safer on the goals expectancy.

Free Soccer Pick: Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals. 2.3 (13/10) at William Hill

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