The joy of being promoted to the Premier League turns to the worry of survival for the three new top flight teams in England. William Hill's Lee Phelps has been looking at the odds of them staying for more than one season.
Bournemouth, Norwich and Watford embark upon their Premier League season on August 8th and occupy the first three in the betting. The Hornets are the favourites, with the Canaries next and the Cherries least likely of the three to go back to the Championship.
There is a really interesting article on skysports.com listing ‘rules’ on how to stay up, or at least some good advice.
They include bringing in experience. Leicester’s survival has often been attributed to signing a player like Esteban, who offered skill and guile in his 31 Premier League appearances, but his off the pitch knowledge and stature must have been invaluable in the dark days of the season.
Quality not quantity in the transfer market is best evidence by QPR’s calamitous season, where they went for far too many players. Leicester’s eight new additions all added value, with Cambiasso, Huth, Upson and Schwarzer showing experience, striker Leonardo Ulloa top scored with 13 goals in all competitions, Marc Albrighton came good later in the campaign, while Jamie Vardy got an England call up after a tremendous season.
It’s a tricky balance to keep the core of the team who did the hard work getting up and signing the right kind of player to fit in and help keep you up.
So far Bournemouth have brought in Artur Boruc, Adam Federici and Christian Atsu on loan. Watford’s have got experienced Bundelsiga centre back Sebastian Prödl and Norwich have already got Graham Dorrans from West Brom.
The most important facet for a promoted team are goals and it’s becoming clear depending a single scorer is a dangerous way to go.
QPR’s Charlie Austin and Burnley’s Danny Ings were both successes and will be staying in the top division but they accounted for too high a percentage of their teams tally.
Austin’s 18 goals were 55 per cent of QPR’s haul, while Ings was involved in 54 per cent of the Clarets’ strikes with 11 goals and four assists.
Ulloa scored 11 league goals, but Vardy, David Nugent and Cambiasso all chipped in with five, Riyad Mahrez grabbed four and Jeffrey Schlupp scored three.
Who Will Stay Up?
Bournemouth’s 98 Championship goals means they will cause teams problems in the Premier League as long as they maintain their style and keep confidence in their ability during the tough times.
All three of the promoted sides scored plenty of goals and Norwich have the added benefit of top flight experience in midfield.
I worry about Watford’s strikers in the top division though. Matej Vydra struggled at West Brom and it will be intriguing to see Troy Deeney tested against the best defenders. He has scored goals at every level so far.
I’m taking Bournemouth to stay up and Watford to be relegated with my soccer picks. I’m undecided on Norwich and with their soccer odds virtually a pick ‘em between relegation and remaining in the Premier League I won’t touch them.