Premier League Rundown: Soccer Picks & Previews For Match Day 30

Nikki Adams

Friday, March 11, 2016 10:35 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 11, 2016 10:35 PM UTC

Premier League enters match day 30 this weekend. Here’s a complete rundown of the action currently trading at sports betting shops along with choice soccer picks to spot.

Match Day 29 Recap
Leicester City continue to sit lotus atop the Premier League table. Flush off a 1-0 win over Watford on match day 29, the Foxes improve to 17-9-3 on the season and 60 points. Five points separate Leicester City and their nearest rivals to the title Tottenham Hotspur, who are after a 2-2 draw to Arsenal at White Hart Lane. Speaking of the Gunners, they are eight points adrift of the Foxes with their title hopes fading steadily. Nothing is more shocking though than Man City’s fourth-place in the table with 50 points, ten points adrift of the Foxes. However, they do have two games in hand so their title hopes are still conceivable and thing could get even more interesting down the stretch.

Here we look at match day 30 odds according to bet365 and serve up choice games to spot on your soccer picks below. It’s a slightly watered down serving on account of FA Cup action at the weekend, forcing several clubs to postpone their schedule fixtures. Nevertheless, there are still some intriguing clashes.



Norwich vs. Man City
It would appear that the Citizens have an excellent opportunity to climb up the Premier League table with a clash against Norwich City, but the distraction of Champions League action next week could cause Manuel Pellegrini’s side to take the foot off the pedal.

On paper, the Canaries are there for the taking: they are riding a three-game losing streak into match day 30 with losses to Leicester City (1-0), Chelsea (2-1) and Swansea City (1-0) and a fourth straight loss is not an unreasonable expectation. Indeed, the odds makers suggest as much as they send the Citizens into this clash as the firm -167 road favourites.

Inasmuch as we can appreciate the thinking behind this market outlook, there are several factors blatantly ignored. Granted the Canaries recent form isn’t great, but they’ve played well despite the losses (all three losses were by a one-goal margin). Prior to that run of poor form, the Canaries were playing rather well before their fans too. They even enjoyed some eyebrow raising results over Arsenal, Everton and West Ham (all three were draws) and Southampton (1-0 win). Finally, Norwich City are mired in the relegation zone, a predicament that is sure to be an incentive for a concentrated account against Man City. They’ll be desperate for a positive result, including a draw which can be backed at +320 soccer odds at bet365.

On the flipside of the coin: Man City haven’t exactly been in convincing form of late – they lost three straight fixtures in Premier League – to Leicester and Tottenham (both at home) and to Liverpool on the road. They also were crushed by Chelsea 5-1 in FA Cup action. In their last ten away fixtures in domestic action, they are 2-4-4 with draws to Man United, Aston Villa, Leicester City and West Ham United and losses to Tottenham, Stoke City, Arsenal and Liverpool. Of course, Manuel Pellegrini’s side will be keen to get back on the winning track and potentially resurrect their title hopes, but they’ll need to be mindful of their upcoming fixture with Dynamo Kiev in Champions League R16.

As it is, Man City are not a sure bet at all and, therefore, we can’t possibly take them at their inflated price on the road. What’s more the desperate Canaries do appear to have a shot at a positive result here, which can be played several ways on your soccer picks – either by taking the straight up win or draw as separate bets or hedging your bets with a double chance pick for Norwich to win or draw at +138 at bet365. We also quite like the draw no bet option on Norwich at +300.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2880698, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Soccer Picks: Norwich to win or draw at +138 & Norwich Draw no bet at +300
Best Line Offered: at bet365


Aston Villa vs. Tottenham
The Spurs will be desperate to bounce back into winning form this weekend after a string of disappointments – a loss to West Ham and a draw to Arsenal followed by a devastating loss to BVB in Europa League – and Aston Villa serves up the perfect springboard. In fact, they couldn’t have asked for a better one. Villa’s season is practically done: they are to be relegated by season end. It’s just a matter of rubberstamping it now. As such, the Spurs should face little resistance at Villa Park and take the easy win, which can be backed at -191 at Pinnacle. The best bet here though must be the OVER 2.5 goals which is trading at -105 at Heritage.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2880689, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Soccer Picks: Spurs to win at -194 & Over 2.5 (-105) 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle & at Heritage


Leicester City vs. Newcastle United
Leicester City look to pull ahead in the table when they take on relegation-threatened Newcastle United on match day 30. By the soccer odds, the Foxes are expected to do just that as they are the firm favourites across sports betting platforms – best priced at -163 at William Hill to win outright. Newcastle United are riding a three-game losing streak into this clash with losses to Chelsea, Stoke and Bournemouth. In their last five overall fixtures they are just 1-0-4 and in their last ten away games they are just 2-0-8. Colour the world shocked if they pull off the upset at King Power.

In recent weeks, the wheels appear to have come undone spectacularly with Newcastle United losing 2-1 to Watford, 3-0 to Everton and a whopping 5-1 to Chelsea. Consider the Foxes have scored the most goals this season, this game could see Newcastle United pummelled once again. Predictably, the OVER 2.5 goals is trading rather high with odds makers rolling out a juice anywhere from -123 to -138. If you’re bold take a chance on the OVER 3.5 goals which is priced much better at +200. It’s a bit of a long shot soccer pick though so don’t go betting the farm on it.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2880692, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Soccer Picks: Leicester City to win at -163 & Over 3.5 (+200)
Best Line Offered: at William Hill

comment here