Premier League Rundown: Match Day 33 Soccer Picks & Previews

Nikki Adams

Tuesday, April 5, 2016 11:32 PM GMT

Premier League betting is hurtling towards the finish line and, to the chagrin of the entire soccer betting world, Leicester City’s dream season continues. Here’s a rundown of match day 33 complete with soccer picks.

Premier League Match Day 32 Recap
Leicester City continue to punch above their weight class, pulling ahead in the table by seven points behind a win over Southampton at King Power. The Foxes, matched at +115 soccer odds or thereabouts at the sports betting shops, came through in a narrow 1-0 win over the Saints, extending their winning streak to four straight.

Stopping the Foxes is fast becoming a pipedream that even sportsbooks can’t deny the seeming inevitable anymore. That Tottenham failed to come through at Anfield in the last round of Premier League betting, despite pundits and experts alike believing to the contrary, sportsbooks have started to offer early settlements on bets made in preseason markets on Leicester City to win the total, all in attempt to minimise potential colossal losses upwards of $14 million (according to ESPN). Yikes.

Elsewhere, Arsenal and Man City made a concentrated step forward in the table behind wins over Watford and Bournemouth, respectively. As did Chelsea in a 4-0 win over relegation-threatened Aston Villa.

West Ham United, meanwhile, took a step backwards behind a 2-2 draw to Crystal Palace, Everton slipped to a third straight defeat and Newcastle United suffered a bitter loss to Norwich City in a relegation six-pointer that could potentially signal doom and gloom at St. James Park for the foreseeable.

Here we look at match day 33 soccer betting odds according to bet365 and below we weigh in on the standout matchups of the weekend’s card complete with the best soccer odds and picks from various sports betting exchanges.

 

West Ham United vs. Arsenal
Of all the fixtures on the weekend’s card, this is the one many Premier League fans have circled on the schedule. West Ham United beat Arsenal at the Emirates to kick off their standout season under first year manager Slavan Bilic way back in August. In hindsight, it was a fitting start to one of the most competitive, exciting Premier League seasons in recent memory.

Of course, Arsenal will be hoping to return the favor in the pair’s reverse, and it seems the market is convinced they’ll do exactly that when all is said and done at Boleyn Ground. Why else, would the Gunners be installed as the firm faves at -110 on the Premier League odds board, or thereabouts depending on your choice exchange?

The Gunners exacted revenge on Watford last weekend for the untimely FA Cup exit, so by extension it’s natural to assume they could do the same here. If there’s one thing that could go against Arsene Wenger and his delicate soccer baubles, it’s their road form which has been inconsistent of late behind a 2-1-2 mark in their last five fixtures in all competitions. Looking back further, they are 3-3-3 in their last nine away fixtures in all competitions dating back to the start of the New Year.

Importantly, none of the wins over this span includes an opponent of note: wins over Bournemouth, Hull and Everton are hardly a ringing endorsement of their away form. The best they managed against top ten opponents in domestic action was a draw, which they pulled off against Liverpool (3-3), Stoke (0-0) and Tottenham (2-2).

West Ham United failed to advance their bid for a spot in the league’s coveted Top 4 after settling on a 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace in the last round of Premier League betting. Nevertheless, they managed to take a point and extend their unbeaten form to nine straight across all competitions. Slavan Bilic is sure to have his Hammers up for this clash – they are only two points behind Man United (fifth) and three points behind Man City (fourth).

The draw to Palace snapped a four-game winning streak at Boleyn Ground, but, more importantly, since the start of the season when they won back-to-back home fixtures, the Hammers are undefeated in 13 Premier League fixtures at home and 15 across all competitions. That’s a strong case to back West Ham United to gain a result at the expense of Arsenal, be it the win or draw. If you’re feeling brave the Hammers to win at +275 is a tempting bet. For those less brave, combining the win or draw for West Ham at -110 might be the safer soccer pick.

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Soccer Picks: West Ham to win at +275 or West Ham to win or draw at -110 
Best Line Offered: at bet365

 

Sunderland vs. Leicester City
Honestly, why Leicester City aren’t matched as odds-on favorites to beat Sunderland on match day 33 beggars belief. The Foxes are seven points ahead of their nearest rivals in the table, Tottenham Hotspur, and riding a four-game winning streak into match day 33. Over the course of the entire season, they’ve only lost twice on the away – to Arsenal and Liverpool – and not since February when they collided with the former at the Emirates. Since the narrow 2-1 defeat at the Emirates, the Foxes have gone undefeated in six straight (five wins and a draw). Leicester City  deserves a lot more respect than they are getting, particularly considering the Black Cats are knee deep in the relegation zone and winless in their last five (four draws and a loss). Of all the soccer bets this weekend, this must be the most straightforward you’d think. Take Leicester City to win on your soccer picks. Best bit you can find the trading as high as +120 at Bet Victor. There’s good value if ever there was a near certain one in Premier League betting.

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Soccer Picks: Leicester City +118
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

Tottenham vs. Man United
Tottenham’s bid to give Leicester City a right chase down the stretch suffered a mighty setback at Anfield last weekend. Next up is a Man United side desperate to finish inside the Top 6, if not Top 4. The Spurs are enjoying a standout season, by all accounts, but they won’t have it easy against a hungry Man United coming off a pivotal 1-0 win over Everton, marking their second straight win in domestic action since a shocking loss to West Brom on match day 31. Man United (with a game in hand) have a realistic shot at a top four finish and a win or draw over the Spurs at White Hart Lane will go a long way towards that goal. They are merely a point behind Man City in the table and with their city rivals distracted by Champions League action this week it’s the perfect opportunity to pounce.

Of course, the Spurs aren’t going to be pushovers at White Hart Lane where they’ve lost just two fixtures all season long. Then again, recent form has been a concern for Tottenham, suggesting the pressure of the occasion might be getting to them – they haven’t beaten a noteworthy opponent since a 3-0 win over Fiorentina in Europa League on February 25 and none in Premier League since beating Man City 2-1 on Valentine’s Day. That’s a run of eleven fixtures (going back to the Man City clash) with mixed results. Hardly a ringing endorsement of their soccer odds here, and, as such, we’re of a mind to go against the odds makers and put up Man United on our soccer picks for the upset. As noted in table 1, bet365 is offering a Man United win on +275 soccer odds but Bet Victor has is offering the same at a stellar +320 price which is even better for your soccer picks if you so choose.

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Soccer Picks: Man United +338 
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle