Premier League Rundown Best Picks

Wednesday, April 11, 2018 7:31 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 11, 2018 7:31 PM UTC

I really like the look of the Premier League fixture list this weekend and it’s popped up four bets for me.

Before I get started, I think it’s important to say that these bets are based on a system of value betting and that I do not always agree with, or want the selections to win, the reason why will become apparent later.

I have 3 bets on Saturday and I’m starting with Burnley v Leicester, two sides that have had very different seasons but actually sit quite close to each other in the table. Burnley have been the picture of consistency, Sean Dyche has been in charge at The Clarest since 2012 and has seen them through both promotion and relegation. I’ve been massively impressed by the work he’s done and hope that he receives some kind of recognition at the end of the season.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222194, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,19,349,227], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Leicester on the other hand struggled badly at the start of the season and quickly jettisoned the manager that took them to safety after Claudio Ranieri’s untimely sacking. I wasn’t a huge fan of Craig Shakespeare but it’s fair to say he should, perhaps, have been given some more time. Claude Puel took over and has done great work, stabilizing the side and making them look like extremely dangerous opponents once more.

My bet for this one is on an away win and the value is there at odds of +193 with Pinnacle. Leicester have a good recent record against Burnley and to see them at these odds means that plenty of value hunters will be backing this one.

That doesn’t mean the odds will come in though, value hunting can often be unpopular work so the masses can often disagree.

Bet no.2 is on Swansea v Everton and in this one I’m backing the home side. Sam Allardyce has done what was necessary, he’s got the club back on a level footing and made them hard to beat but the reality is, he’ll be somewhere else next season. Swansea have had a topsy turvy season and still find themselves within touching distance of real trouble. Carlos Carvalhal has been very entertaining since taking over but I’m not sure if “entertaining” is enough long term.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222138, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,19,349,227], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Pinnacle have a home win down at +150 and home advantage tips the balance for me on this one.

Now the bet I both dislike and disagree with. Saturdays big game of the day is probably the last game of the day and I have some skin in this one. As a Spurs fan it’s always good to see them playing in big occasions, but less so when yet another club can come and win the title at your home ground. It’s happened a little too often for my liking in recent years and with my system selecting Manchester City as likely winners (+177 with Pinnacle), it will probably happen again.

Personally I’m hoping for another solid performance from Tottenham and more of the kind of performances we’ve seen from Manchester City in the last couple of weeks.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3222173, "sportsbooksIds":[238,1096,19,349,227], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Finally, we move on to my only Sunday bet and also my last bet of the weekend. This one is pretty simple really. The game is Newcastle United v Arsenal and the bet is on the away side. Whatever you might say about Arsenal, they do have some fine players and their manager deserves a lot of

respect for what he’s achieved over the years. Rafa Benitez has had an excellent career but the effect Arsene Wenger has had,both on Arsenal and English football in general, is undeniable.

Pinnacle are offering +110 for an away win and there is demonstrable value here (just look at their recent head to head results) so this one should be seriously considered.

Be careful with your betting and enjoy your football, see you next week.

comment here