Premier League Rundown Best Picks For Round 18

Stuart Woodrow

Wednesday, December 13, 2017 7:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Dec. 13, 2017 7:58 PM UTC

The Premier League calendar continues to run at full tilt, no sooner have we finished round 17 before we’re pitched right into round 18.

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It’s hard to find “value” in the Match Odds markets this week, there is one true value bet (I’ll share that with you later), everything else is a judgement call.

Saturday’s games start with a tough one. Do you back home side Leicester, who seem to have their feet under them now that new manager Claude Puel is in place, or Crystal Place who have dragged themselves off the bottom of the league. I think we can safely bet on Christian Benteke not being selected to take any penalties but beyond that the only bet I like is Both Teams To Score (Yes) at -110 with William Hill.

5 games kick off at 3pm in the UK and one of those is the Arsenal v Newcastle game. Arsenal struggled against Southampton last weekend when they were expected to do better. At average odds of -370 it seems that the bookies think Arsenal will pick up a victory in this one. With takeover talks ongoing at Newcastle and Rafa Benitez openly talking about needing new players, this is a good one to skip for me.

At +230, backing Burnley away against Brighton seems a bit of a gift. Burnley are doing brilliantly this season and currently sit in a European spot. This game gives them the chance to pick up 3 more points and consolidate that.

Chelsea are a hard side to get a handle on right now. In terms of pure quality they look better than last season but some transfer market moves have affected their level of aggression and that seems to be holding them back. Just look at Morata v Costa for a clear example of this. Morata is much the better player but Costa has a mean streak that can carry his side to extra points. This is another one to skip.

Stoke v West Ham is the one game this week where I see true value. West Ham picked up a valuable win against Chelsea last week and that will boost them but Mark Hughes’ side seem ideally set up for this game. I’m taking the +116 that Pinnacle have on offer.

Watford were one of my favourite sides to back in the early part of the season but with a busy fixture list it’s time to back off them. They should beat Huddersfield at home but I’m not betting on it.

Manchester City v Tottenham is probably the biggest game of the weekend. Man City are now clear favourites to win the title but Tottenham have shown an ability to trip them up in the past. There’s no clear value bet in this one but if pushed I’d be going for Tottenham +1 at +107 with BetVictor. That’s my inner Spurs fan talking though so probably best to avoid that one.

All three games for Sunday and Monday are ones I am happy to avoid. The Sunday games should be on by the away sides and I give Everton the edge for Monday night’s game but there just isn’t enough value in any of the odds to get me involved.

Enjoy the games you watch this weekend but, as ever, be careful with your betting.

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