Premier League Round 8 Rundown - Where's The Value?

Stuart Woodrow

Wednesday, October 11, 2017 7:58 PM UTC

Wednesday, Oct. 11, 2017 7:58 PM UTC

World Cup Qualification is finally out of the way and we’re back to playing domestic football for a while. 

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That’s fine by me as I’ve taken a few hits over the last week or so and could do with getting a few wins to balance out the books a bit.

Saturdays games kick off with possibly (probably) the biggest game of the weekend. Liverpool v Manchester United is a huge game and if you’re any kind of fan of football then it’s events like this that you probably enjoy watching. Injuries on both sides make this a hard one to call. Manchester United are missing Pogba and Fellaini and Liverpool will have to do without the talents of Sadio Mané for the next 6 weeks. Liverpool could also do with Dejan Lovren back in the starting XI but no-one seems to know if he’ll be playing week on week.

With the injuries I think we’ll see some patched up teams this weekend and that can lead to either more open games or tighter ones as managers shift to work with what they have. While I have no doubt Klopp will want to open the game up, I’m also pretty sure Mourinho will want to close it down.

In this instance, I think “what Mourinho wants, Mourinho gets”. This one is under 2.5 goals for me. That’s available at -101 with Pinnacle.

The clash of the clarets is up next with Burnley hosting West Ham. This is the firsof many games I won’t be betting in this weekend but I think it would be unwise to back against Burnley here. The Hammers have struggled in the early part of the season and Sean Dyche is doing a great job at Burnley. +165 with Pinnacle for a home win is seriously tempting but I can’t back it just yet.

Then, the London derby between Crystal Palace and Chelsea. Palace have been awful so far this season and things won’t get any better here. Chelsea-1 isn’t too bad at -149 (a few bookies) and I will be monitoring this market. Give me -142 or even -144 and I might jump on board.

There is absolutely nothing in the Manchester City v Stoke game to get excited about. The markets are locked up tight and even I can’t justify betting against Manchester City right now.

The wheels may not have fallen off for Huddersfield but I think a few wheel nuts have been loosened. Swansea for a straight home win looks pretty good to me and at +120 with BetVictor there is value here.

Tottenham are back at Wembley as they prepare to face Bournemouth. Home form has let Spurs down so far this season and Bournemouth will probably enjoy playing on the big pitch. Some Tottenham players have done a lot of traveling in the last week so I’m steering away from this one.

Watford v Arsenal isn’t a “proper” London derby but they’re close and this game could have some bite. I don’t think Arsenal are good enough to justify the odds available and Watford +1 is the way I’m going here. You can get that at -120 with Pinnacle.

I’ve got to skip Brighton v Everton as I don’t have a reliable read on Everton yet.

Southampton v Newcastle would have been a good game a few seasons ago but under current management I don’t think Southampton are up to scratch. At odds of +400 (BetVictor), Newcastle may actually be a worthwhile bet here.

The last game of the weekend is Leicester v West Brom and there is some real value on the away side here. The odds are very good at +331 with Pinnacle and that finishes off my betting for this weekend.

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