Premier League Picks: Three Ways to Profit in Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa Week 1 Fixture

Kevin Stott

Thursday, August 6, 2015 3:54 PM GMT

Thursday, Aug. 6, 2015 3:54 PM GMT

Can the Cherries win their first EPL game or will the Claret & Blue start the season off on the right foot? Let’s see what we can find out about these two and make a pick on this fascinating fixture.

Odds Overview
Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa [Saturday 15:00] (NBC Sports Live Extra (US); 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): Goldsands Stadium at Dean’s Court in Bournemouth, Dorset, United Kingdom is the site of this English Premier League Week 1 match between recently promoted AFC Bournemouth and last year’s 17th-place team, Aston Villa (10-8-20, 30 GF-57 GA) on Saturday. Oddsmakers here have made hosts Bournemouth +100 favorites here over visiting Aston Villa (+275) with the Draw priced at +240 (bet365). The Total Goals in this weekend fixture from England’s South Coast been set at 2½, with the Over priced at +110 and the Under priced at -129 (BetVictor). Some Props wagers for this Week 1 Premier League fixture: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -120, ‘No’ -120 (bet365); To Win To Nil: Bournemouth +229, Aston Villa +600 (BetVictor); and, Draw No Bet: Bournemouth -250, Aston Villa +175 (Sky Bet).

 

Aston Villa FC
Although it did make it to the FA Cup final, Aston Villa (5-2-12 on Road, 13 GF-32 GA) was lucky to survive last season and Manager Tim Sherwood deserves much of the credit for keeping the Claret and Blue up after his replacement of Paul Lambert. Villa has shipped out many familiar names out—striker Christian Benteke (Liverpool), Fabian Delph (Manchester City), Andreas Weimann (Derby County), Shay Given (Stoke City), Darren Bent (Derby County)—and brought in some new blood like Scott Sinclair (Manchester City), Micah Richards (Manchester City), Jordan Ayew (Lorient) and José Ángel Crespo (Córdoba). In Goal, the Claret and Blue will go with American Brad Guzan again and Villa lines up in a 4-3-3 tactical formation and with Benteke now gone to Anfield, this side will have to try to develop a new flow on Offense. Central Midfielders Ashley Westwood (+750, Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), Idrissa Gueye (+1100) and Carles Gil (+750) and Attacking Midfielders Jack Grealish (+650), Ayew (+275 ) and Rudy Gestede (+250) will have to really step up this season for the Villans.

 

AFC Bournemouth
This will be fun. AFC Bournemouth (26-12-8, 98 GF-45 GA, 1st place in Championship in 2014) plays in a tiny, less-than 12,000-seat venue—the aforementioned Goldsands Stadium at Dean’s Court (Vitality Stadium) in the borough of Bournemouth—and 37-year-old Manager Eddie Howe and the Cherries will be living the dream this season, playing in the English Premier League. In Goal, Bournemouth obtained Artur Boruc (Southampton), but the big gun for the Cherries who scored an amazing 115 goals last season is striker Callum Wilson (+150, Anytime Goalscorer, bet365) who has had two consecutive 20+ goal seasons for Boscombe. Yann Kermorgant (+187) is the Cherries other main scoring threat up top in their 4-4-1-1 tactical formation which may start Matt Ritchie (+300), Harry Arter (+500), Andrew Surman (+650) and Marc Pugh (+450) in the Midfield. And Bournemouth also added players like Sylvain Distin (Everton, +1600)—who is the same age (37) as electric manager Howe—Christian Atsu (Chelsea), GK Adam Federici (Southampton), Tyrone Mings (Ipswich Town, +1400) and Joshua King (Blackburn), so Manager Howe is working with a fairly decent roster for a relatively tiny club.

 

Series Trends, Conclusions
Lifetime, Bournemouth and Aston Villa have only met one time, last year in the 4th Round of the FA Cup where the Claret and Blue won 2-1 at Home to advance on in the tournament. But even though that was less than a year ago, the rosters and realities of both of these two teams have done fairly dramatic re-hauls and it may take some Time to see exactly what’s what with these two clubs. Here, expect the cozy site, atmosphere and reality that it’s the Cherries first game in the Premier League and a chance to impress the loyal crowd who have seen their lads go from nothing to something in the span of 6 short years to be the big difference. Here, expect stud striker Wilson to score for the hosts and set the tone at Goldsands Stadium. And with both the 6-foot-4-inch, 30-year-old Guzan and the Polish international Boruc being very decent and underrated GKs, Bournemouth a little nervous about playing with the big boys for the first time and Aston Villa just an anemic team scoring all-around—13 Road goals in 9 games last season—backing the Under (2½, -129 BetVictor) seems like the best betting route here, although this is a tricky handicap because of the newness of it all—the EPL season and both teams’ rosters and all. But Bournemouth is a good team and has to have some of that confidence which helped them score so many goals last season, win the Sky Bet Championship and be promoted up to the Premier League. And with Wilson, Kermorgant and South African striker Tokelo Rantie (+225), the Cherries may have the three best scoring threats on the pitch on Saturday. Few will probably watch or wager on this match, but those who do should be absolutely charmed.

Predicted Final Score:  Bournemouth 2 Aston Villa 0

Premier League Soccer Picks: Under 2½ -129 at BetVictor, Bournemouth +100, Anytime Goalscorer Callum Wilson +150 at Bet365

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":2, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here