Premier League Picks for Saturday's Crystal Palace vs. Chelsea

Nikki Adams

Thursday, October 16, 2014 8:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 16, 2014 8:47 PM UTC

Premier League returns to the forefront of soccer betting this weekend. On the menu before us we have the clash between Crystal Palace and Chelsea, set on lopsided soccer odds. Find out where the value soccer picks are to be had.

Premier League Betting Week 8
Seven rounds of Premier League action are in the books, the table tightly packed from top to bottom save for Chelsea, the lone side to have built a considerable gap – a five-point edge at the top of the table over the nearest threat Manchester City. Indeed, Jose Mourinho’s Blues are in fine form this season, boasting a 6-1-0 record ahead of week 8 soccer betting. They are the only undefeated team in the Premier League.


Chelsea Hot Favourites
Justifiably, Chelsea are set as the prohibitive soccer-betting favourites at -250 to win outright at Selhurst Park. That said, avid Premier League followers will recall Crystal Palace clinched a huge upset over Chelsea last season at Selhurst Park. Granted, it was an own goal by John Terry that saw the Blues succumb 1-0 to Crystal Palace, a defeat that effectively wreaked their title hopes down the stretch, but the Eagles deserve credit for keeping the Blues off the score sheet and denying them a chance to snatch the draw or the outright win.

Head-to-head trends between these two teams reveal an overwhelming 13-3 edge for Chelsea in straight up wins. In no uncertain terms, it also underscores just how improbable Crystal Palace’s win over Chelsea was last season, and just how improbable it is going to be for them to repeat that success.


Crystal Palace Huge Underdogs
Matches aren’t played on paper. They are played out on the pitch, where anything can happen. Why, John Terry’s own goal is case-and-point. But before soccer bettors even consider tickling Crystal Palace’s large +650 soccer odds, consider the last time Crystal Palace pulled off back-to-back wins over Chelsea was in March 1982. As well, Chelsea’s record in London derby’s impeccable with just one defeat in 15 fixtures.

Crystal Palace are currently sat 15th in the table but they could easily be higher up the table. They are tied on eight points with Sunderland (13th) and West Bromwich (14th), but behind on goal difference. Through seven rounds they have a 2-2-3 record, which includes a 3-2 win over Everton on the road. Most recently, they are flush off a 2-0 defeat to Hull City on the road.


Soccer Betting Verdict
Based on current form and league credentials, not to mention the small matter of settling the score with Crystal Palace, Chelsea are the correct soccer pick to win outright. They are riding the momentum of a four-game winning streak, spanning several competitions – League Cup and Champions League. But, at -250 soccer odds to win outright, we’re going to have to serve up some additional soccer picks to deliver value to our soccer bettors.

Chelsea to win both halves is a ridiculously tempting +110 soccer pick. Chelsea boast a 4-3-0 half-time record this season, of which 2-1-0 was gained on the road. Given the perceived inferiority of Crystal Palace, Chelsea have a good shot to continue their dominating ways through two halves.

The Blues are also scoring more freely this season than they were last season. They have netted 21 goals, which is an average of 3 goals per game, and allowed just 7 goals (an average of 1 goal per game). The Under 2.5 at+100 is tempting, but given the scoring prowess on the Blues bench and seeing that Crystal Palace have conceded 12 goals already through seven games, this could go over.

Soccer Free Picks: Chelsea to win at -250 at Bet365
Value Soccer Picks: Chelsea to win both halves at +110; Over 2.5 at -125

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