Premier League Picks for Reinforced Man United vs. QPR

Lee Phelps

Wednesday, September 10, 2014 9:24 PM GMT

It's the start of a new season at Old Trafford this weekend or at least that's what it seems like. I'm sure that's what Louis van Gaal must be thinking too, he's yet to get a win, but now with reinforcements available he can largely forget the pre-international break part of the season and start afresh. Here's our take of the match.

Manchester vs. QPR
The Old Trafford faithful will be introduced to a multi-million pound cast with home debuts for Radamel Falcao, Daley Blind, Marcos Rojo, Angel di Maria and Luke Shaw.

Suddenly a team of De Gea in goal, a back line of Rafael, Evans, Rojo, Shaw (if van Gaal goes for four at the back) a midfield quartet of Blind, Herrera, di Maria and Mata and two from van Persie, Rooney and Falcao looks decent! It also looks full of goals and more than QPR can muster. It LVG goes with Rooney, van Persie and Falcao, QPR should start with a six man defence!

 

Attack, Attack, Attack
Manchester United’s defence has obviously been an issue, but their defence is used to having a cushion of goals or at least a lot of chances to keep the pressure on the opposition. The lack of shots on target and perhaps more importantly shots inside the area is the big difference. Lets compare Manchester United vs. Swansea this season to the same game in 2012/13. It was 1-2 this season and 2-0 in May 2012.

This year they had six shots inside the area, in 2013 they had 20. The opening game of this season featured four successful crosses from 28 attempts, the stat in 2012 was 13 from 50 attempts. It’s the same story with corners, just two from four this time, compared to seven from 16 two years ago. Passes in the final third echo the same. With 174 at Old Trafford in the Sir Alex Ferguson era and 104 this time around.

I won’t go on boring you with stats, I think the point is clear. I also think that is all about to change with the attacking prowess in this team now. Unfortunately for QPR, they may well feel the brunt of it and be Louis van Gaal’s first victim.

 

QPR
Harry Redknapp got his first Premier League win of 2014 versus Sunderland and also switched his 3-5-2 formation to a 4-4-2. Their only away game so far was a very poor display at White Hart Lane. They had a two man attack which was largely redundant, this time I expect a four man defence, a five man midfield and a solitary striker. The aim will surely be to keep it very tight and see if they can exploit Manchester United’s defence on the break. Jordan Mutch will join the counter-attack from midfield and could be dangerous. However, even if that is the plan I can’t see the Londoners creating enough goal-scoring counter-attacking chances to outscore United. QPR have scored one Premier League goal from 46 shots on goal, that’s not a great ratio in anyone’s book.

 

Soccer Picks
So to my soccer picks on this one, I see Manchester United winning, but the prices are too short to back them to win just yet, I do sense a change, but I did say I would have to see a good performance before backing them at soccer odds-on.

I can see QPR frustrating them for a while and they surely will have learnt from the Tottenham experience, but I see a similar fate and a loss without scoring. Manchester United to win to nil (21/20) or a correct score of 2-0 (11/2) look like good bets to me.

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