Premier League Picks for Newcastle United vs. Liverpool

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 27, 2014 3:44 PM GMT

Monday, Oct. 27, 2014 3:44 PM GMT

Here's the best soccer bet for when the Reds head to Newcastle. Liverpool had a tough week, losing to Real Madrid at Anfield in Champions League play and then drawing with Hull City. 

Odds Overview
Newcastle United vs. Liverpool, Saturday, (Premier League Extra Time/NBCSN/NBC Sports Live Extra, Mun2, Deportes Telemundo En Vivo (US), (13:00/8 a.m. ET/5 a.m. PT): Dreams of another solid season and Champions League qualification have taken a hit early on for Liverpool (4-2-3, 13 GF-12 GA) and the last thing manager Brendan Rodgers and his team needs is to lose here at 18th-place Newcastle United (2-4-3, 10 GF-15 GA). And, lucky for Liverpool, they get The Toon right when they need them, here in Week 10 with a chance to turn the momentum around.

Soccer odds have made visiting Liverpool -110 Favorites (bet365) with host Newcastle massive -275 Home Underdogs and the draw priced at +260. The Total Goals (Over/Under) is at 2½ Over -137 (BetVictor; Under +110) while the proposition wager Both Teams To Score (Yes) is lined at -153 (BetVictor; No +125).

 

Liverpool
It seems that everyone surrounding this 7th-place Reds team—management, players and fans—is incredibly down after the start to this season and the immediate lack of positive play by new-acquiree Mario Balotelli who had a chance to give Liverpool a win on the last shot of the game but the Hull City goalkeeper was right there. Manager Rodgers got creative and trie to shake things up for the host Reds, dropping Glen Johnson, Philippe Coutinho and Jordan Henderson from his starting XI but 0 goals at Anfield against Hull for a team that includes Balotelli, Steven Gerrard, Raheem Sterling and Adam Lallana, among others is indeed troubling. Maybe Liverpool was worn down from its game with the European champions Real Madrid or it misses injured Daniel Sturridge more than many think or maybe it’s just this huge vacuum created by the departure of Luis Suárez. Whatever it is, this club really needs to put a strings of wins together. And against Newcastle United here at St. James’ Park at Newcastle upon Tyne on Saturday, the Reds can get that needed win against a team that’s really scuffling at the moment.

 

Newcastle United
Newcastle United (2-4-3, 10 GF-15 GA) has scored just 10 goals in 9 games, but Sunday’s 2-1 Road win over Tottenham Hotspur means the Magpies head in here on a modest 2-game win streak (beat Leicester City 1-0 in Week 8). But scoring goals matters and it seems Papiss Cisse (2 goals) is one of the Magpies only real threats on the attack, but the Senegalese striker is nursing a knee injury and didn’t play in the win at Spurs, as Ayoze Perez filled in and scored the eventual game-winner at White Hart Lane on Sunday. So, much stress has obviously been put on goalkeeper Tim Krul so far and it doesn’t seem this team will suddenly start scoring goals in bunches but the win and three points gained at Tottenham at least pushed Newcastle away from the relegation as it jumped up to 14th place.

Lifetime, The Toon is 8-5-7 against Liverpool at Home but strangely Newcastle has allowed 9 more goals than they it has scored against Liverpool (27-36) at St. James’ Park. The Reds are 23-8-9 overall against the Magpies (84 GF-45 GA) and Newcastle will have to hope Liverpool is fairly flat here to get a Draw or even the upset win but it won’t be easy with the Home team finally enjoying a little momentum and feeling good about themselves this week.

 

Best Betting Approaches
One trend that really stood out when researching this game involves the Total Goals (2½) and the last 13 games between these two historic English clubs, with the Over being 11-2 in those last 13 meetings averaging a healthy 3.5 gpg. And it’s obvious oddsmakers are a bit squirrely hanging a Total of 2½ up for this game as the juice (vigorish) on the Under ranges from -129 (BetVictor) to -150 (Betfred) six days before the game is even to be played on the Geordie Shore. Liverpool -117 also looks like a good soccer pick at a more-than-fair price as the fear of continuing to play so poorly and the fear of falling down the Premier League table should be enough to get this Liverpool team, which actually has a loaded and deep roster, to get the win and the needed 3 points. And if you think this prediction below is spot on, a Correct Score prop bet on Liverpool of 2-1 is priced at +800 (8/1, bet365). Best of luck.

Free Soccer Prediction: Newcastle United 1 Liverpool 2

Free Soccer Pick for Premier League: Over 2½ -129 (BetVictor)

comment here