Premier League Picks for Arsenal vs Hull City Soccer Betting

Lee Phelps

Tuesday, October 14, 2014 7:36 PM GMT

Tuesday, Oct. 14, 2014 7:36 PM GMT

We're looking at the soccer odds as Arsenal's injury hit squad takes on Hull City's fatigued international players in the Premier League. Our capper has been looking at the betting and the stats and has some free picks for you.

This match up at the Emirates is a major test of both clubs’ squads following a busy international week and in Arsenal’s case, a whole team of injuries. The soccer odds see the home team as 2/5 favourites, the draw available at 17/5 and Hull priced at 8/1.

 

Arsenal
The Gunners have 14 players injured or banned (Callum Chambers), but luckily Danny Welbeck should be fit despite rolling his ankle whilst away with England. As usual the Londoners have had the majority of their players away on duty for their country. It’s always worth seeing who has carried form into major international matches and the two who spring to mind are Welbeck who scored in the easy win for England over San Marino and Alexis Sanchez who provided an assist for Eduardo Vargas in Chile's win over Peru.

Arsene Wenger is limited in who he can select, but it looks likely he will go with Szczesny, Bellerin, Mertesacker, Koscielny, Gibbs, Flamini, Wilshere, Sanchez, Cazorla, Chamberlain, Welbeck. The key name is Hector Bellerin. The 19 year old will have a lot of pressure on his shoulders, because one of Hull’s major strengths is attacking down the left on the counter attack. He hasn’t played in the Premier League and will need plenty of support from his more experienced colleagues.

The Gunners need another win, with the three points gained against Crystal Palace their only maximum so far at home – they have played Manchester City and Tottenham too. It may seem strange to say this, given his start to the season, but Mesut Ozil may be a bigger miss than many think. He had just started to forge an interesting link up with Sanchez and Welbeck. That role will be handed to Santi Cazorla at the tip of the midfield diamond, feeding the two front men.

 

Hull City
Hull’s success in building a competitive squad, means 14 players have been away on international duty. There have been trips to Africa for Aluko and Diame, with both playing on Wednesday night, so they will only have Friday as a full day in England before match day. Add to that flights to Central America and the Middle East for Figueroa, Hernandez and Ramirez and it’s a tricky one for Steve Bruce to manage. The two Uruguayans only played a combined 60 minutes in their games against Saudi Arabia and Oman, so their legs should be fresh, even if their minds aren’t.

Hull have scored in each of their three away games, despite the manager chopping and changing the formation in each match: we’ve seen a 3-1-4-2, 3-5-2 and a 4-4-2 with the diamond midfield against QPR, Aston Villa and Newcastle. This is a different test of course, so I can see Bruce protecting a four man defence and having one man up front. They struggled coming back to Premier League action after their brief Europa League fun, so I can see them being solid first and more than happy to play for a draw.

 

Soccer picks
The stats are pretty solid for three or more goals in this fixture, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in five of Hull's last six away games in the Premier League, Hull have scored at least two goals in their last four matches and have conceded at least three goals in five of their last six away matches in the top flight.

Add to that Arsenal’s average of six shots on target in each of their home games so far and Hull’s lowly position on the table of shots allowed on their goal, with a staggering average of 19 per game, and the over 2.5 starts to look like ‘nap’ material. But, at 4/6 I’m not happy with the price and can see a fairly cagey opening, with Arsenal more than happy with a one or two nil victory. At 13/10 I’m going to play the under 2.5, taking into consideration the injuries and tiredness following the international break.

I also think Arsenal will have too much for Hull on this occasion, so the home win and under 2.5 goals at 11/4 looks a nice price for your soccer picks.

Free soccer pick: Arsenal win and under 2.5 goals 11/4 at 5Dimes

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