Premier League Pick: Newcastle vs. Southampton to Result in Draw this Sunday

Steven Suarez

Friday, August 7, 2015 1:15 PM GMT

Friday, Aug. 7, 2015 1:15 PM GMT

After fizzling out on their way to a 7th place in Premier League last season, the Saints will be hoping to challenge for a top four spot in 2015-16. They open vs. Newcastle as slight odds favorites.

Odds Overview
The soccer odds vary depending on where you look, but every top site we've looked over has Southampton as an ever-so-slight favorite. 

So what kind of lines are we talking about here? There's not much in it all, as the Saints are quoted in the +140 to +175 range, with the Magpies available for action in the +175 to +190 realm. A draw is listed at right around +225.

 

Southampton
It was a disappointing close to last season for the Saints, especially after they were right near the top early on in the campaign. They ended up finishing seventh in the Premier League while reaching the quarter-finals in the Capital One Cup and bowing out in the fourth round of the F.A. Cup.

Graziano Pelle ended up as the team's leading scorer with 16 total goals, 12 of which came in league play, but practically all of those goals came over the first half of the season. Like his teammates, Pelle wasn't in his best form down the stretch.

It's fair to wonder if the Saints will be able to fare any better than seventh here in 2015-16, considering they lost two of their most important players in Nathaniel Clyne and Morgan Schneiderlin, who have both moved on to different clubs. Southampton did bring Steven Caulker on board on loan, while also inking deals with Jordy Clasie and Cedric Soares among others, but there were no huge deals or anything to instill confidence from the general public. We're going to take a wait-and-see approach with the Saints, like many other clubs.

 

Newcastle
Yes, the Magpies were able to avoid relegation, and that in and of itself was huge, but supporters can't be too happy at all with how their team played throughout the 2014-15 season. They were 15th in the Premier League when all was said and done, and they didn't make it past the fifth round in either of the cup competitions.

Papiss Cisse and Ayoze Perez were the team's leading scorers, combining for 18 Premier League goals last season, and they figure to be heavily involved in the action this season too. Defense is a big question mark for Newcastle, though, so we'll get a good idea if things have changed when the Magpies come up against a talented Southampton attack this weekend.

Some major moves were made by the club over the summer too, with Georginio Wijnaldum, Aleksandar Mitrovic and Chancel Mbemba expected to immediately step in and contribute. 

 

Premier League Pick
Home-field advantage should always be considered as a factor whenever you're considering a wager, in the Premier League especially. However, we can't shake the feeling that Southampton will be able to grind out at least a point here.

It was disappointing to see the Saints stumble over the second half of last season, but we saw what they were capable of early on in the campaign when they were in the top three. They looked the part of legitimate contenders, so we're wondering if we're going to see any signs of that here in 2015-16.

The quality is still there, but the losses of Schneiderlin and Clyne are significant, and the Saints didn't make as big of a splash in the transfer market as Newcastle. We like what the Magpies did over the summer, and we think they'll fare better than they did last season.

As you can see, we're sort of at a deadlock in this showdown, and therefore we like the idea of backing the draw as one of our soccer picks. Look for little to separate these two teams at the end of the day.

Pick: Newcastle 1 Southampton 1

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