As match day 4 fast approaches, we revisit the previous round of EPL betting and review the lay of the table. How it’s shaping up and, in turn, how the soccer odds are moving.
EPL Week 3 Recap
Three rounds into the Premier League and Manchester City march on with a verve and swagger behind a three-game winning streak that cements them atop the Premier League odds board as the team to beat. Defending champions Chelsea finally get their season off the mark with their first win – third try is the charm –, and Newcastle United deal Manchester United a slight setback while Liverpool give Arsenal a run for their money at the Emirates in a scoreless draw.
As it is, Man City’s soccer odds have shortened further, crossing over from +125 to win outright at Bet365 to -125. Chelsea, meanwhile remain as the +333 second favourites to complete a successful title defence campaign while Arsenal’s soccer odds have swelled up to +550 to win outright although remaining third overall in the pecking order.
Undefeated Manchester United and Liverpool have had a curious thing happen to their soccer odds: they’ve been increased. In spite of starting the season positively with two wins and a draw and sitting in third and fourth place in the table, their price to win the title has gone up considerably. Well, Man United’s odds have jumped from +550 to a staggering +1000 to win the Premier League title at Bet365 while Liverpool’s odds have gone up from +2000 to +2200. Go figure!
That’s the top favourites in the league accounted for in brief. Over to the bottom of the table and it’s the tandem of West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland propping up the table with a point behind identical 0-1-2 marks and -4-point differential. Surprisingly, hobnobbing in their midst are some of the league’s perceived middleweight threats, including Southampton, Tottenham and Stoke City, all on two points after 2-0-1 starts to the first three rounds of England’s top-flight.
Premier League Relegation Odds 2015-2016
Where are the preseason relegation favourites sat? You might be wondering, naturally. Well, top favourites Watford (trading at -138 soccer odds at Bet365 in preseason markets) are sat smack in the middle of the table, in 12th place behind an undefeated start to the season comprised of three draws. Lest you start thinking they earned those on the back of lightweight opposition, you couldn’t be more wrong. They’ve taken a point off of Everton and West Bromwich Albion, respectively; on the road, no less. As well, a point off of Southampton at home. As a result of their auspicious start to the season, they’ve had their soccer odds improve to +125 to be relegated. They aren’t in the clear yet. Trading as the second overall favourites to be relegated by season behind Sunderland at -175 soccer odds.
Norwich City and Bournemouth were amongst the top three favourites for relegation across most sports betting platforms, but with the former sat in eighth place (incredibly ahead of Chelsea) with a 1-1-1 mark and 4 points and the latter in 13th place with a 1-0-2 mark and 3 points, their prospects have improved a smidgen. Norwich are now trading at +138 to be relegated (up from -110 at William Hill) while Bournemouth are trading at +200 to be relegated (up from +100 at Paddy Power).
The team that has benefited from the greatest re-evaluation in relegation markets is Leicester City. The wily foxes are playing well above their heads and expectations, sat pretty in second place in the Premier League table behind a solid 2-1-0 start and 7 points. Undefeated after three laps around the league and, recently, serving up a 1-1 draw at home to Tottenham Hotspur, the Foxes are priced at +700 to be relegated, a jump from +275 at Bet365.
So there you have it. How the Premier League is taking shape after just three rounds. Still 35 laps to go. Lots of time for major movement in the table and on the Premier League odds board.