Premier League Odds Update & Futures Soccer Picks After 8 Weeks of Play

Kevin Stott

Friday, October 9, 2015 7:38 PM GMT

Let’s look at the latest soccer odds first, analyze the competition, answer 7 key questions and then come up with the answer as well as our soccer pick for the English Premier League.

Introduction and Seven Sincere Questions About the English Premier League
With preseason odds favorite and defending English Premier League champions Chelsea off to a horrific start (2-2-4, 12 GF-17 GA, 8 points, 16th place), finding a way to profit in the Futures Market in this European Soccer league seems like it will be a little easier this 2015/16 season, with bets keyed off current EPL-leader Manchester City (6-0-2, 19 GF-7 GA, 18 points) the preference before the odds likely get out of hand (for potential Sky Blues backers) as we head deeper into the Fall. Right now, several European and Online sportsbooks are offering Manchester City as high as -137 to win the Premier League in the (Outright) Futures market. And with the incredible Roster which Manuel Pellegrini and club management and owners have assembled at the Etihad Stadium, catching and knocking off this City club seems like something maybe only two or three clubs could do at this point in time. Let’s look at 7 key questions as we head into Matchday 9 this weekend in the EPL.

 

Are Manchester City the club to Beat in the English Premier League?
Definitely. The acquisitions of Kevin De Bruyne (VfL Wolfsburg), Raheem Sterling (Liverpool), Nicola Otamendi (Valencia) and Fabian Delph (Aston Villa) put the Sky Blues over the top—even though the club lost Frank Lampard (NYCFC), James Milner (Liverpool), Scott Sinclair (Aston Villa), Edin Džeko (AS Roma) and Stevan Jovetic (Loaned to Inter Milan)—and now Manchester City simply has one of the deepest and most dangerous Rosters in Premier League history. From back to front, not including all the above added players, the Citizens feature Joe Hart and Wilfredo Caballero at GK; captain Vincent Kompany, Pablo Zabaleta, Bacary Sagna, Eliaquin Mangala, Pablo Maffeo, Aleksandar Kolarov, Gaël Clichy and Martín Demichelis as Defenders; David Silva, Yaya Touré, Jesús Navas, Fernando, Samir Nasri, George Evans, Fernandinho, Manu García and Bruno Zuculini as Midfielders; and, Sergio Agüero (5 goals), Wilfried Bony and Kelechi Iheanacho as Strikers. And with the Citizens off to a 6-0-2 start (19 GF-7 GA) and a number of new players who want to prove their mettle in Sky Blue Mancunia, this league is City’s to lose, even despite the two early season losses.

 

Can Arsenal Sneak Up and Win the Title?
If anyone’s gonna give Manchester City a run for its money, it will probably be the Gunners. Second-place Arsenal (5-1-2, 13 GF-7 GA, 16 points) found a legendary GK across town in West London (33-year-old Petr Cech) and have two of the EPL’s most dynamic players in Alexis Sánchez and Mesut Özil and one of the most unheralded threats in Theo Walcott. As always for the Gunners though, the main problems seem to be Manager Arsene Wenger, his decision-making ,  navigating the Fab Five and playing well for consistent periods of time.

 

Does Manchester United Have a Chance to Win it This Season?
An outside one, but the Red Devils have just had way too much trouble scoring goals. It’s a good thing GK David De Gea decided to stay with Manchester United, but Wayne Rooney, new-signee Memphis Depay (PSV Eindhoven) and former Bayern Munich star Bastian Schweinsteiger have been disappointments to date. Nineteen-year-old Anthony Marital, Juan Mata and Daley Blind have all impressed, but like Arsenal, now third-place United (5-1-2, 12 GF-8 GA, 16 points) also has a sporadic Manager in Dutchman Louis van Gaal and this club needs to try to protect the Home fortress (Old Trafford) like the old days to have a shot at winning the league. So far, they’re right in the thick of it but this team seems to lack a Killer Instinct and true leader.

 

Can Defending Champs Chelsea Rally From Its Horrific Royal Blue Start?
It will be extremely difficult. The defending champions slept through the Summer Transfer Window and have seen club legends like Didier Drogba (FC Montreal), Frank Lampard (NYCFC) and Petr Cech (Arsenal) all leave West London in the last two seasons. Then, Manager José Mourinho did himself and the club no favors by suspending beloved team Physio Eva Carneiro after she was called onto the pitch by Referees late in a 2-2 Draw to Swansea City on Matchday 1. The Blues have simply not been the same team since this incident. And players like Diego Costa, Eden Hazard and Oscar have been almost invisible while other Chelsea players like Cesc Fàbregas, Branislav Ivanovic and captain John Terry are really showing their age, although the latter hasn’t got much of a chance from The Stubborn One. And when the answers are Radamel Falcao and an always angry Costa, the questions can’t be good. There is plenty of time between now and next May and 20 matches left, but Chelsea needs to wake up immediately and the way the Defense looks, it might be impossible. Time for Ruben Loftus-Cheek, Brazilian Kenedy and Baba Rahman to play and others to return to Chelsea (2-2-4, 12 GF-17 GA, 8 points) form. But at 22/1 (Sky Bet), some heads have to be turning now, even for a 16th-place club. That’s right.

 

Should We Take Spurs For Real, Or is This the Same-Old, Same-Old? 
This 8th-place Tottenham Hotspur (3-4-1, 11 GF-7 GA, 12 points) club only has one loss and are always a force to be reckoned with—up to a certain point—in the UEFA Europa League, but can Harry Kane, Christian Eriksen and Spurs win the English Premier League or make a run at a UEFA Champions League spot? Probably not the former, but this seems like Spurs are a club which can beat anyone right about now and could maybe slide into 3rd place possible and earn a Champions League berth if all goes right. So, using Tottenham and French GK Hugo Lloris as the 3rd-Place selection in a Tricast Futures Book Prop Bet seems worth a small shot at these odds (Manchester City-Arsenal-Tottenham Hotspur, 40/1, Sky Bet).

 

Are There Any Long-shots Worth Watching?
Crystal Palace (15 points) and Leicester City (15 points) currently sit in 4th and 5th place respectively in the EPL table, and both play good defense, but creeping up and winning the Premier League is out of the question. The  the 4th-place Eagles (5-0-3, 11 GF-7 GA, 15 points) and 5th-place Foxes (4-3-1, 17 G-15 GA, 15 points) both have decent Rosters, but just aren’t rich enough and deep enough to make a run at the Mancunians or Arsenal this season. Both have been wonderful stories so far though.

 

Could We See Three Non-Promoted Sides be Relegated This Season?
More so than recent EPL season with this start as the three Promoted clubs—Bournemouth (2-2-4, 12 GF-14 GA, 9 points), Norwich City (2-3-3, 12 GF-14 GA, 9 points) and Watford (2-4-2, 6 GF-7 GA, 10 goals)—have all started very admirably and currently sit in 15th, 13th and 12th places respectively in the Premier League. The Bottom clubs in the EPL table right now? None other than familiar faces 18th-place Aston Villa (1-1-6, 8 GF-13 GA, 4 points), 19th-place Sunderland (0-3-5, 8 GF-18 GA, 3 points) and 20th-place Newcastle United (0-3-5, 6 GF-17 GA, 3 points). And West Bromwich Albion (2-2-4, 6 GF-11 GA, 8 points) and that aforementioned Chelsea (8 points) side also currently reside in 17th and 16th places respectively, so, so far so good for the Cherries, the Canaries and the Hornets, whose three nicknames alone make them all deserve another season in England’s top flight of football. And the way they all concentrate on Defense gives them an edge heading into the second quarter of the season. All three definitely deserved promotion and are proving they can hang in the EPL. 
Highest current soccer odds for English Premier League Clubs (October 8, 2015)


Manchester City -137 

Arsenal +275 

Manchester United +800 

Chelsea 22/1 

Liverpool 66/1 

Tottenham Hotspur 150/1 

Everton 500/1 

Southampton 1000/1 

Crystal Palace 1000/1

Swansea City 2000/1 

Leicester City 2000/1 

Stoke City 5000/1 

West Ham United 5000/1 

Watford 6000/1 

Bournemouth 7500/1 

Newcastle United 7500/1 

Norwich City 7500/1 

West Bromwich Albion 7500/1 

Aston Villa 10,000/1 

Sunderland 10,000/1 

Highest 2015 English Premier League Futures Odds on June 23, 2015

Chelsea +150 

Manchester City +275 

Arsenal +500  

Manchester United +550 

Liverpool +3300 

Tottenham Hotspur +12,500 

Southampton +25,000 

Everton +30,000 

Crystal Palace +30,000 

Newcastle United +30,000 

Stoke City +30,000 

Swansea City +30,000 

West Ham United +30,000 

Aston Villa +50,000 

Leicester City +50,000 

Sunderland +50,000 

West Bromwich Albion +50,000 

Bournemouth +75,000 

Norwich City +75,000 

Watford +75,000 

 

Conclusions
Gettting and betting Manchester City at -137 right now seems the wisest soccer pick, as this price is more than fair, this club has the best Defense and the best Roster in the Premier League and oddsmakers will be favoring the Sky Blues in all Home matches and many Road ones from here on in. The additions of De Bruyne and Sterling should totally put this club over the top, and although not at the caliber of other moster European clubs like Fußball-Bundesliga giants Bayern Munich or Spanish La Liga heavies Barcelona, Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid, Manchester City is the best the EPL has to offer for now and once these players all start get used to playing together, expect goals to flow and backing Citizens Overs—even at 3—seems wise from here on in. With Agüero, playmaker extraordinaire Silva, Kompany, Zabaleta, team heartbeat and muscle Touré, Bony, the speedy Sterling, new stud De Bruyne and solid GK Hart, this is basically a supergroup and finding playing time for all these talented attackers may end up being Pellegrini’s biggest problem. Arsenal may challenge, but the depth of this Manchester City Roster and the commitment to Defense makes the Citizens impossible not to back and to recommend to win the Premier League title at this decent price and this point in time.

Premier League Futures Soccer Pick: Manchester City -137 at Bet365

Premier League Tricast Futures Book Pick: Manchester City/Arsenal/Tottenham Hotspur 40/1