Premier League Match Day 5 - Betting Rundown and Soccer Picks

Moussa Sissoko during a Tottenham game with the ball

Nikki Adams

Friday, September 16, 2016 6:57 PM UTC

Friday, Sep. 16, 2016 6:57 PM UTC

Another lap of Premier League looms on the soccer odds board. Join us as we run down the entire slate and serve up our choice soccer picks for each and every fixture in England’s top flight.

Match day 4 Recap
It was a good week the last lap as we finished with seven out of ten winning soccer picks to improve our overall predictions record to 24-16 win-loss. On such a positive note, we look ahead to another round of Premier League betting with a view towards serving up more winners again. Let’s get cracking.


Chelsea vs. Liverpool
The Blues enter this game as the favourites, not surprisingly so. Home advantage and a strong start to the season behind three wins and a draw underscores the soccer odds, which are anywhere from +115 (William Hill) to +131 (5Dimes). However, consider they are just shy of Even money – the biggest price so far on the Blues this season – it’s a testament to the threat Jurgen Klopp’s side poses at Stamford Bridge. Although the Reds have two wins, a draw and a loss in four laps around the league, they have scored 9 goals (the second-highest tally after Man City but level with Chelsea). The difference being that Liverpool has faced much stiffer opposition than Chelsea have in the early goings. Indeed this will be a litmus test for Antonio Conte’s side. Still, the Reds can be unpredictable and that makes betting on the outright win in match betting markets a risky play. So we’re going with the total markets and a bet on the Over 2.5 goals.


Free Soccer Pick: Over 2.5 at -130
Best Line Offered: at BetUs

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Hull vs. Arsenal
The Tigers have come crashing back to earth with a loss and a draw in their last two fixtures, bringing them down for the coveted top spots in the table to eighth place after four laps. That said they were gutsy in the 1-0 loss to Manchester United and showed heart and grit in the 1-1 draw with Burnley last weekend. It wouldn’t do for Arsene Wenger to underestimate Hull City. He’ll also need to perk up his Gunners after a drab 1-1 draw with PSG in midweek Champions League. As it is, Arsenal is seventh in the table behind a slow start to the season that began with a 4-3 loss to Liverpool and a scoreless draw with Leicester City. Since match day 3, Arsenal ran away winners over Watford and Southampton. Aside from the scoreless draw to Leicester City Petr Cech has struggled to keep clean sheets, which is a worry. By all accounts, Arsenal should win but the -165 soccer odds with Pinnacle, which is the best price currently trading, does seem a touch high. We’re of a mind to chance both teams to score, with the yes option that can be backed at -110 with William Hill.


Free Soccer Pick: Both Teams to score, Yes at -110
Best Line Offered: at William Hill

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Leicester City vs. Burnley
The Foxes will be buoyed by their positive Champions League debut, a 3-0 win over Club Brugge in Belgium. Travel and midweek action are two things to consider, one or the other could be a factor in this matchup. However, Belgium isn’t too far and Burnley hardly counts as a heavyweight side. Indeed, the Clarets haven’t won away to Leicester City since 2007, a fact underscored by their hefty +650 soccer odds to pull off the feat with 5Dimes. Perhaps, had this matchup occurred a week prior, when the Foxes were still settling into the new campaign and coming to terms with life as the defending champions, anything is possible? Heck, promoted Hull City stunned the Foxes on match day 1. Now, following the Champions League victory, Claudio Ranieri’s side might relax and accept that they belong amongst Europe’s best teams. What makes it all the more relevant is that it comes after a 4-1 drumming by Liverpool at Anfield. That bounce-back-ability is a positive sign.

Free Soccer Pick: Leicester City to win -197
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Man City vs. Bournemouth
Manchester City soars to the top of the table under Pep Guardiola. They are the only side to boast a perfect record on the season and collect maximum points after their nearest threats dropped the ball on match day 4. The Cherries haven’t had a great start to the season, albeit the schedulers didn’t look too favourably on them with one tough fixture after another to start the season. Things aren’t looking brighter this week with a date at the Etihad. There is no value in betting on the outright win in match betting markets so we recommend a soccer bet on totals for this fixture. The Over 3 with Heritage looks about right and is priced at -130 soccer odds, which is a decent value.

Free Soccer Pick: Over 3 goals at -130
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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West Brom vs. West Ham
Slaven Bilic’s side West Ham United are still searching for their first win of the season but it’s not been an easy schedule to start the season with away trips to Chelsea and Man City. Some allowances should be made for those, obviously. As far as the last lap is concerned, it was a bit of a disaster. The Hammers fritted away a two-goal lead to lose 4-2 to Watford. Expect the Hammers aren’t used to their new stadium yet. In any event, they travel to the Midlands for a date with WBA, who are coming off a 1-0 loss to Bournemouth. One of the main charges against Tony Pulis’ side is their inability to score. This could be an opportunity for the Hammers to finally get into the win column.


Free Soccer Pick: West Ham United +187
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes

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Everton vs. Middlesbrough
Everton is riding high behind an undefeated mark in four fixtures (three wins and a draw), sat third in the table behind Man City and level on points with Chelsea (10). Everton will look to continue their bright start when they welcome Middlesbrough to the Merseyside. The Boro are riding high in England’s top flight largely down to a soft schedule to start the season with middle to lightweight opponents, all of which are conspicuously goal-shy this season. The Boro have scored four and conceded four while Everton has shipped seven and conceded 2. Surprisingly, the Over 2.5 goals are priced just shy of even money with most sportsbooks. That’s just too good to give a skip.

Free Soccer Pick: Over 2.5 +104
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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Watford vs. Man United
Watford is coming off a rollicking 4-2 win over West Ham United  while Manchester United are coming off a shocking loss to Fenerbahce in Champions League, their second straight loss after losing to Man City on matchday 4. Watford may feel optimistic about their chances although all indications point to an away win by Jose Mourinho’s side. The Red Devils are odds-on favourites at -185 with 5Dimes to win away to Watford. A win by Watford might be a risky play but the Hornet managed to ship a goal against both Chelsea and Arsenal in recent weeks. A wager on the Over 2.5 goals might not go amiss or a wager on the yes option for both teams to score for that matter.

Free Soccer Pick: Both teams to score, yes -115
Best Line Offered: at Coral

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Crystal Palace vs. Stoke
Stoke City prop up the league after four laps. Only a point to show for their efforts so far when they settled on a 1-1 draw to promoted Middlesbrough. Since then they were beaten by Man City, Everton and Tottenham and rather badly too as they conceded nine goals to the top triple and scored just one. Finally, a matchup Mark Hughes and the Potters might fancy their chances to win. Crystal Palace is riding positive from behind a draw and a win but those involve lesser opposition.

Free Soccer Pick: Stoke City to win +330
Best Line Offered: at 888sport

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Southampton vs. Swansea
Southampton are off to a disappointing start under new manager Claude Puel with two losses and two draws. As it is, they are mired in the relegation queue and desperate to get into the win column. Swansea City is coming off a morale-boosting 2-2 draw with Chelsea at home, a precious point that lifts the Swans to 13th place in the table and could send them to Southampton on a wave of optimism. On the defensive side of the ball, both teams sport worrying numbers – the Swans have conceded six goals while the Saints have conceded eight goals. A trend that makes it somewhat surprising to see the yes option on both teams to score trading at Even money. Worth the shade on our soccer picks, indeed.

Free Soccer Pick: Both teams to score, yes +100

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Tottenham vs. Sunderland
While the Spurs eviscerated the Potters 4-0 at bet365 Stadium on matchday 4, they suffered a let-down in midweek Champions League. A 2-1 loss to Monaco at White Hart Lane marked an upset in Champions League betting markets. Mauricio Pochettino will be keen to see his Spurs bounce back at the expense of Sunderland this weekend. The Black Cats are there for the taking. Consider they have but a point to show for their four laps in England’s top flight with three goals scored and eight goals conceded. Heck, this could be another goal feast by the Spurs.

Free Soccer Pick: Over 3 goals +119
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

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