Premier League Manchester City vs. West Ham United Odds, Prediction & Soccer Picks

Kevin Stott

Thursday, April 16, 2015 5:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 16, 2015 5:47 PM UTC

Man. City has already lost 2 games this month and the defending EPL champs have slipped to 4th place. Can the Sky Blues right the ship here against West Ham Sunday and are they worth a pick?

Odds Overview
Manchester City vs. West Ham United, Sunday 13:30 CEST (NBCSN, NBC Sports Live Extra, Fubo TV (US), Sky Sports 1/HD, Sky Go, Sky Go Extra, NOW TV (UK); 8:30 a.m. ET/5:30 a.m. PT): Fourth-place Manchester City (18-7-7, 65 GF-34 GA) welcomes 9th-place West Ham United (11-10-11, 42 GF-40) to the Etihad Stadium in Blue Mancunia on Sunday for this Week 32 English Premier League fixture which really only holds meaning for the hosts and defending league champion Sky Blues, who are still fighting to stay in their current #4 spot in the table to be able to return to the prestigious UEFA Champions League tournament next season and avoid all the embarrassment which would no doubt be heaped on the club should they end up in 5th or 6th place and playing on Thursday next year in the UEFA Europa League. The horror.

Soccer odds makers have made hosts Manchester City healthy -450 favorites in this match with visitors West Ham monster +1000 underdogs and the Draw priced at a robust +550 (bet365). The Total Goals here is set at 2½ Over -220 (Under +154, bet365), so you can see that the linemakers are expecting goals here in this one and a look at the recent series trends reveals why. The Both Teams To Score Prop wager sees both the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ both priced at -120 (Sky Bet), while a couple of other random Prop wagers for this contests are: Asian Handicap: Manchester City -1 -333, Manchester City -1.25 -200, Manchester City -1.50 -148, Manchester City -1.75 -111, Manchester City -2 +100 (bet365); and, Highest Scoring Half: Second Half -110, First Half +187, Draw +300 (Sky Bet).


West Ham United FC
Ninth-place West Ham United (3-6-6 Away, 19 GF-24 GA) got off to a real nice start this season, but Gravity and the rest of the Premier League caught up with the Baggies, who really need to work on winning and earning points on the Road—as their record reveals—next season if they want to be in the hunt for either a UEFA Champion League or Europa League spot. Granted, West Ham was definitely hurt some by the season-ending knee injury suffered by striker Andy Carroll (5 goals), and midfielder Stewart Downing (5 goals) has been somewhat of a disappointment this season for the Hammers and manager Sam Allardyce. Carrying much of the weight on the offensive attack for West Ham this season have been Diafra Sakho (11 goals, +150 Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), Enner Valencia (4 goals, +375), Kevin Nolan (+380), 33-year-old Portuguese midfielder Nene (+340), Carlton Cole (+500), central midfielder Cheikhou Kouyaté (4 goals, +1400) and Morgan Amalfitano (3 goals, +1400). But, like Stoke City and Newcastle United, West Ham seems to be one of those clubs which perennially finishes right in the middle of the pack (9th—13th) in England’s top flight of football....a good thing in that they seldom have had to worry about Relegation of late, but a bad thing because the Hammers have failed to make a decent run at UEFA Champions League and Europa League berths. There’s always next season. Well, not necessarily always in the English Premier League. Fulham knows this.


Manchester City FC
Fourth-place Manchester City (10-3-2 Home, 31 GF-12 GA) heads into play this Week 32 weekend just 4 points ahead of 5th-place Liverpool in the battle for that last UEFA Champions League spot. In the Anytime Goalscorer marketplace in this game, Sky Blues striker Sergio Agüero (19 goals, -162, bet365), new Winter Transfer window-signee and former Swansea City star Wilfried Bony (-105), Edin Džeko (4 goals, -105) and Stevan Jovetic (5 goals, -105) are all Premier League odds favorites (-’s) to score in this contest, something fairly rare in soccer Gambling, but even more so in the plodding and sodding Premier League—another hint the oddsmakers are expecting goals in this one at the Etihad on Sunday. The Sky Blues also have a number of potential scorers on their talented and very expensive roster, including David Silva (11 goals, +150), former Chelsea star and future NYCFC (MLS) player Frank Lampard (6 goals, +162), James Milner (3 goals, +300), Samir Nasri (2 goals, +240) and team heartbeat Yaya Touré (8 goals, +162). So, Manchester City manager Manuel Pellegrini hasn’t done the greatest job getting this club to jell and play consistently this season, so he may well be be looking for employment somewhere else next year after winning the English Premier League championship last season. That’s all. We are now well beyond the “What Have You Done For Me Lately?” phase with some of these elite clubs and are now apparently in the knee-jerk, “Find A New Guy As Quickly As Possible And Pretend That Just Didn’t Happen”: phase. 2015. You gotta hate it. Anyway, Citizens GK Joe Hart and Vincent Kompany and the City defense may be tested a bit in this one, but with West Ham having just 3 wins on the Road so far this year and the host Sky Blues probably a little bit mad after losing to the Hammers at the Boleyn Ground in Week 9 and also a little bit scared with the Reds just 4 points back (61-57) and playing much better soccer than they are as we head down the 6-game stretch, Agüero, Silva and Touré could go potentially off on West Ham here and put maybe 3 or 4 goals (or more) on the board in they get the lucky bounces and referee’s calls.


Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
In lifetime English Premier League action, Manchester City is 40-14-31 (135 GF-128 GA) against West Ham, and the Citizens are an impressive 29-5-5 (90 GF-54 GA) versus the Hammers here at Etihad Stadium in Sky Blue Mancunia. After losing the aforementioned Week 9 fixture to West Ham at the Boleyn Ground in Upton Park, East London, 2-1, and having never being swept in a season by the Hammers, expect a more focused effort from Manchester City from the opening whistle, but it wouldn’t surprise me in the least if this game ended up being sloppy, with one team playing for something and the other (West Ham) basically just playing to play. What do they care if they get scored on? It matters little if they earn 3 points these days, and knowing that host City will have revenge on its mind and needs the W and those 3 points to keep some Breathing Room between them and Liverpool makes for a good environment for a high-scoring victory by the homeboys. Last year in this game at the Etihad, Manchester City and Hart registered a 2-0 clean sheet win over the Hammers. And, of note, 5 of the L7 in those series have gone Over the posted Total, while 7 of the L9 have seen the ‘Yes’ on the BTTS (Both Teams To Score) Prop wager hit. As for this soccer pick logic says to expect more of the same here on Sunday.


Predicted Final Score: Manchester City 3 West Ham 1

EPL Free Soccer Pick: Over 2½ -220, Manchester City -1.75 -111 at Bet365

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