Premier League Betting: Everton vs. Cardiff City

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, March 12, 2014 5:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, Mar. 12, 2014 5:40 PM GMT

Everton and Cardiff City collide in Premier League week 30 betting. Find out what soccer odds have gone to press and what value soccer picks we have discovered.

Everton have market cornered

Everton enter their fixture with Cardiff City at the weekend as the hot, runaway favourites to win outright at -300 soccer odds at Bet365. A win here is absolutely vital for the Toffees, not just in the context of this fixture but also the overarching implications of the Premier League table as the season hurtles towards the business end.

Everton, currently sat seventh in the table but level on points with sixth-placed Man United on the back of a 13-9-5 record, are mired in the battle for a European spot this season – or, in other words, a top five finish in Premier League. As things currently stand, Tottenham Hotspur occupy the coveted fifth spot, which allows a club direct entry into the playoff stage of UEFA Europa League, with a five-point edge. But with the Spurs waffling about lately, it’s a budding possibility that either Man U (a game in hand) or Everton (two games in hand) would snatch a spot in Europe for the coming season.  In fact, Everton are currently the favourites across sportsbooks at -120 to finish in Bet365’s Top 6 Finish Futures. 

Form ahead of this clash consists of two wins and three defeats in their last five fixtures (home and away), which at first might seem discouraging until closer inspection reveals that these defeats came to the three of the top five clubs in the league this season – Chelsea, Tottenham and Liverpool. Aside from being routed 4-0 in the Merseyside derby, Everton held their own rather well against both London clubs in a 1-0 defeat each time, which is small consolation for defeat but a positive nonetheless.

Overall, Everton have enjoyed a rather solid season with just five defeats – a mark shared with Liverpool, Arsenal and Man City. Only Chelsea have lost fewer matches date with three defeats all season long. Another similarity Everton shares with some of the league’s uppers is a nigh impeccable home record that stands at 9-3-1. Once again, their home record is comparable to the aforementioned trio and once again ­only Chelsea boast a better home record with no defeats this season.

With all this in mind, you have to feel for Cardiff City and their diminishing chances of obtaining a result at Goodison Park. A result they desperately need if they are to avoid relegation this season.

Currently, Cardiff City are sat in 18th place with a debilitating 6-7-16 record on the season and 25 points, and sportsbooks across the board have earmarked the Welsh side as one of top favourites for relegation. Bet365 is offering Cardiff at +260 soccer odds to finish bottom of the table.

Predictably, given Everton’s solid home form and Cardiff’s Premier League woes, the visitors enter this clash at the considerable disadvantage. A Cardiff win is matched at +800 soccer odds at Bet365 while the draw, which would be a golden nugget at this point in time, is matched at +400 soccer odds.

Cardiff City are flush off a 3-1 victory over Fulham, a victory that snapped a poor run of form which includes two wins, a draw and seven defeats in their last ten fixtures (home and away). Winning the relegation battle over Fulham at home is one thing; beating Everton on the road a completely different matter, one that obviously odds makers don’t believe is possible.

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Everton vs. Cardiff City match betting tips and picks: This matchup leaps off the page as a home banker, a great opportunity for Everton to advance their cause in the table, and so they are our recommended soccer pick at -300 to win outright at Bet365.

Cardiff City are in dire straits, desperate for points. This reality could inspire them to the unthinkable but that is just a notional possibility, unsubstantiated by anything tangible. Fact is Cardiff City have a poor record against the top clubs in the Premier League: recently, the lost to Arsenal, Man City, Man U, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur by a combined score of 12-3. Thus, beating Everton would be completely out of character.

Soccer Free Picks: Everton to win outright at -300; Over 2.5 -138

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