Premier League Betting: Chelsea vs. Arsenal

Nila Amerova

Friday, March 21, 2014 6:29 PM UTC

Friday, Mar. 21, 2014 6:29 PM UTC

The battle at the top of the table is set to heat up when Arsenal descend on the Blues at Stamford Bridge, a match poised delicately on an intriguing soccer betting line. Find out what soccer odds are on offer and what we recommend on our soccer free picks.

Chelsea to defend their slim edge
Chelsea currently lead the Premier League table but their lead is tenuous at best. With a 20-6-4 mark and 66 points through 30 laps, Chelsea boast a four-point edge over the tandem of Liverpool and Arsenal, both level on 62 points and each with a game in hand but separated by goal differential. Then there is Man City to consider, six points adrift in fourth place but with two games in hand. So close is the title race in England at the moment that the premium on winning is ever increasing .

Chelsea can’t take anything for granted. Why, last week they had the market to win the Premier League title cornered on -125 futures betting odds at Bet365. Following the debacle that was their last outing against Aston Villa however the sports betting exchanges had a bit of a rethink. Now Chelsea are deemed second favourites to win the title at +188 at Bet365 while Man City once again front the market at +130 futures betting odds.

Nonetheless, Chelsea enter their clash with Arsenal as the firm favourites to win outright at -118 soccer odds at Bet365, a fancied market largely down to an unbeaten run at home this season of 13-2-0, which is underscored by eight wins and two draws in their last ten. What’s more, they beat their main title rivals Man City and Liverpool both by a score of 2-1. And they kept seven clean sheets and conceded just one goal to most opponents. Only West Bromwich Albion were able to score two goals at Stamford Bridge in a 2-2 draw on November 9.

Arsenal flatter to deceive
After leading the league for the better half of the first half of the season, Arsenal began to falter. So much so that they have fallen to the wayside in both the table and, consequently, market estimation, prompting their title credentials into question. Arsenal are now matched at whopping +1200 futures betting odds to win the title despite being practically within touching distance of the top of the table.

This rather grim outlook has everything to do with Arsenal’s inability to take the measure of their main title threats. The 5-1 defeat to Liverpool and 6-3 defeat to Man City perhaps the most revealing results of the lot. Heck, they even lost to Manchester United at the Old Trafford where others, lesser opponents even, have won this season. That said they did hold Chelsea to a draw at the Emirates and that is a sliver of hope, which can be matched at +240 soccer odds at Bet365.

Taking into consideration Arsenal’s woes against the top set, fittingly they enter their clash with Chelsea at +333 soccer odds to win outright. Adding weight to those odds is a recent dip in form and several bitter disappointments, namely a second straight defeat in as many seasons to Bayern Munich in the R16 of Champions League. In their last five Premier League games, Arsenal have gone 2-1-2, the defeat away to Stoke City perhaps the most shocking and the scoreless draw to Manchester United the most disappointing.

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Soccer Betting Verdict: Chelsea must win this match to underscore their title credentials and pull ahead in the race. Chelsea have performed well against top threats; they are unbeaten in domestic action by the top set and another win or draw against Arsenal would be par for the course. So even though Chelsea are flush from defeat in Birmingham, backing the Blues to the win at -118 soccer odds is a good soccer pick to consider. 

Then again, by that same token, Arsenal is presented with an opportunity to heap more misery upon the Blues and Jose Mourinho, who was sent off in the Aston Villa game for his poor conduct. What’s more, the clash between Chelsea and Arsenal marks Arsene Wenger’s 1000th game, what is alone a remarkable achievement and great compliment to his long-standing career as the club’s manager. But what would be a better compliment or accomplishment on that historical day of his career than a victory over the Blues and Mourinho – both banes of his existence in Premier League action. Granted, there is nothing tangible to base this soccer pick on – as highlighted earlier, Arsenal’s record this season against top opposition makes for dismal reading, not to mention his many frustrations against Chelsea. But something has to give surely.

Soccer Free Picks: Arsenal at +333 to win outright

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