The Premier League season comes to an end on Sunday. The title has been won with Chelsea set to enjoy a victory parade at home to Sunderland and the relegation spots have been confirmed with the Black Cats, Middlesbrough and Hull City down.
But there is still a bit of unfinished business. The much-vaunted Champions League spots are up for grabs with three teams still in the hunt for two places: Manchester City, Liverpool and Arsenal.
City, who visit Watford, are almost home and hosed in third. They have a three-point advantage over fifth-placed Arsenal and a superior goal difference of five. It would be quite remarkable if they were to lose out on the final day.
Arsenal take on Everton at home. That looks to be a bit of a gimme because Everton have the air of a side ‘on the beach’ and players like Romelu Lukaku and Ross Barkley might be keeping themselves safe for a big move. Indeed, each of the three games with something still riding on them look mismatches. Liverpool are at home to a woeful Boro team.
We did wonder whether there was any value to had in finding an upset from the trio of clashes but when one team absolutely has to win against one that does not at this level, we just can’t carry it off. So an accumulator for all of them to win pays 2.17 with Bovada.
City’s clash with Watford is televised, as is Liverpool’s match against Middlesbrough. The latter probably serves up the best option for a TV punt because they are two teams we know well.
Liverpool like plenty of open space to run into, just as they were afforded at a disorganised and dishevelled West Ham United last time out. But they might not be so lucky against Boro.
The Riversiders are a curious bunch in that they are super-organised and their defence well marshalled. They just don’t do anything with the ball when they have it. They are awful going forward.
So the question is: will Boro play the same way as they have each week so far? Or will they try something different with absolutely nothing to lose…except an almighty hammering.
They are surely pragmatists and will try to keep it tight. So we are not expecting Liverpool to run riot despite what the majority will believe. A 2-0 success is 6.4 with 888Sport. We are even a little bit tempted by the 9 that Bet365 offer about a 1-0 home win.