Premier League Betting: Arsenal vs. Newcastle

Nila Amerova

Wednesday, April 23, 2014 5:42 PM GMT

Arsenal’s grip on a Top 4 spot is slender at best and it will be tested when they host Newcastle United at the Emirates in week 36 EPL betting. Here’s a primer on this clash complete with soccer free picks.

Arsenal fighting for Top 4
After leading the league for the better part of the first half of the season, Arsenal are now teetering on the edge of the league’s Top 4, in very real danger of finishing the season outside the coveted promised land. Proof positive: it’s not about how well you start but how well you finish that matters the most.

Sportsbooks maintain an optimistic outlook, matching Arsenal at extremely favourable -600 futures odds to finish inside the big quartet. But soccer bettors aren’t so sure with many turning their attention to Everton. The Merseyside club is enjoying a standout season having already peek-a-booed its way inside the Top 4. And with the season hurtling down the stretch, they are putting together a strong push (read: better than Arsenal) so that they seem a massive (tempting in turn) price at +400 futures odds at Bet365 to shake things up.

The pessimists reason that signs in recent weeks are a cause for concern and show the Gunners are far from guaranteed anything. Noting both the ever-increasing threat of Everton and the mounting pressure on Arsenal from fans and pundits alike could force Arsené Wenger’s faulty edifice to well and truly crumble.

The premium on the outcome of the last three matches on the schedule couldn’t be greater than it is. The Gunners must extract maximum points from all of those, beginning with their upcoming date with Newcastle United, to maintain their slender edge (just a point) over Everton. Anything less for a side so firmly rooted inside the Top 4 for many seasons (in lieu of winning anything of note) would be a disaster. Or it would set up a rather thrilling race to the finish line. Depends on the colour of your tinted specs.

As hosts of the upcoming clash, Arsenal receive the benefit of favourable soccer odds to win outright, matched at -350 at Bet365. Home advantage has been a charm for Arsenal for the most part as they are 11-5-1 on the season at the Emirates. What’s more, they are undefeated at home since their season opening defeat to Aston Villa; that is a run of 16 games undefeated. That is certainly something for the optimistic Gooner to hang his/her hat on. Even more importantly, Newcastle United’s form is wholly off colour and suspect, making an upset at the Emirates a bit of a stretch of the imagination.


Newcastle United’s disadvantage
Newcastle United are a car crash. It’s five defeats in a row since they last recorded a victory over Crystal Palace at St. James Park on March 22. Seven in their last ten fixtures altogether and 12 in their 17 fixtures in 2014. Fan unrest is at breaking point and Alan Pardew is under heavy criticism for the Magpies abysmal form since the second half of the season began.

Expecting the Magpies to overcome Arsenal at the Emirates all the while boasting such abysmal form beggar’s belief. It’s an outlandish script for the upcoming weekend’s round of EPL betting that few would subscribe to on their soccer picks. It’s also worth mentioning sportsbooks are matching a Newcastle United win at hallucinatory +900 soccer odds. If that isn’t telling what is?

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Soccer Betting Verdict: For a side so firmly rooted inside the Top 4 for many seasons, anything less would be a disaster. Therefore, this is a must-win match for Arsenal. Fortunately, the Gunners have home advantage underscoring their favourable -350 soccer odds to win outright where they haven’t lost since the start of the season. As well, there is the visitors’ abysmal form to count on rearing it’s ugly head at the Emirates. So on balance this would appear to be a home banker; Arsenal to win outright the only logical soccer pick.

Additional Picks to consider: The last time the pair met, Arsenal beat Newcastle United 1-0 at St. James Park. It’s possible that this matchup will yield another low scoring affair, which is being matched at +140. But it’s more likely to go Over 2.5 at -188 as the Gunners score more freely at the Emirates against lesser opposition.

Another side bet to consider on your soccer picks is Arsenal to win both halves at -138. Finally, Newcastle United have failed to score in their last three away fixtures, five of their last six. Therefore, on the ‘Both Teams to score market’, Arsenal and No at +110 looks to be a promising soccer pick for your consideration.

Soccer Free Picks: Arsenal to win outright at -350

Additional recommended picks:

Arsenal to win both halves at -138
Over 2.5 at -188
Both Teams to Score: Arsenal and No at +110