Preakness Betting Odds & Predictions: Value in Picking the Longshots?

David Schwab

Wednesday, May 13, 2015 8:35 PM GMT

The spotlight will be on American Pharoah this Saturday afternoon at Pimlico Race Track as he continues his quest for an elusive Triple Crown title with a victory in the 140th Preakness Stakes after posting a one-length win over Firing Line in the Kentucky Derby earlier this month.

 

A few of the top finishers in this year’s “Run for the Roses” are back to try their hand at winning the second jewel in this Triple Crown racing series for the nation’s top three-year old thoroughbreds. While everyone loves to bet on the favorites, this time around I am going to focus my attention on a group of horses with longer odds for Saturday’s race that probably have the best chance to make their presence felt. All the Preakness betting odds quoted have been provided by Bovada.

Preakness Stakes Betting Guide

Danzig Moon 22/1
Danzig Moon probably offers the best value on the board for horses that have odds longer than 20/1 for this race. This three-year old colt is coming off a solid run in the Kentucky Derby in which he finished fifth after going off at 21/1 betting odds. Trained by Mark Casse and ridden by Julien Leparoux, this horse is loaded with training potential that has yet to really pay off in his actual results on the track

In his first major stakes race as a three-year old, he ended-up out of the money in fourth place in the Grade 2 Tampa Bay Derby at Tampa Bay Downs on March 7. In his final prep race before running in the Kentucky Derby, Danzig Moon finished second to Cape Diem in the Grade 2 Blue Grass Stakes on April 4 at Keeneland in easily the most impressive run of his career.

 

Bodhissattva 40/1
It has been a very active career both as a juvenile and a three-year old for this California-bred horse with 11 previous races to his credit. Trained by Jose Corrales and ridden by Trevor McCarthy, Bodhissattva has run in several Maiden Special Weight races with a pair of victories at Laurel Park as a two-year old.

His best run this season came on April 8 with a solid victory in the Federico Tesio Stakes at Pimlico Race Track to give himself a bit of home-field advantage. Prior to that, he placed second in the Private Terms Stakes at Laurel in late March.

 

Stanford 40/1
Stanford was a late scratch come Derby Day so he should be raring to go this Saturday in the Preakness. Trained by Todd Pletcher, his opening odds from the favorable 11th post in the Derby were 40/1 and he moved to 30/1 betting odds right before race day. His handlers also passed on running him in the Grade 3 Peter Pan Stakes on May 9 at Belmont Park, so he is still looking for his first major stakes race victory as a three-year old.

Stanford did win a Maiden Special Weight race at Monmouth Park last summer as a two-year old and he added an allowance race victory to the resume this past February at Gulfstream Park in his three-year old debut. His last time out was in the Grade 2 Louisiana Derby at Fair Grounds where he finished second to International Star.

 

Tale of Verve 50/1
This was another three-year old colt that had to back out of the Kentucky Derby as a late scratch when he failed to draw into the final field off the also-eligible list. Trainer Dallas Stewart remains confident that his horse can compete with an elite field this time around in the Preakness, even though his lone victory as a three-year old came in a Maiden Special Weight race at Keeneland on April 23.

Tale of Verve has never run in a major stakes race as either a juvenile or as a three-year old with all six of his previous races coming in Maiden Special Weight events. One positive, is that his lone win was over a distance a 1 3/16 miles, which is the same distance as this Saturday’s Preakness.

Take a Look at the Top 5 Preakness Betting Favorites