Politics Betting Markets: US Elections Contenders & Pretenders

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, August 26, 2015 8:02 PM GMT

Wednesday, Aug. 26, 2015 8:02 PM GMT

The Republican and Democrat US presidential betting odds have shifted and it is time now to see who is saying what and if we can get any early leans on who will be our next commander-in-chief.

The Contenders
It has been a few weeks since I wrote about the GOP candidates jockeying for position but much has changed. Okay, maybe not much, but enough to warrant a bit more scrutiny and to now also include the Democrat candidates as Hillary has lost her grip as the only real threat to represent her party. Let’s take a look at some of the changes that have occurred and review the US political betting odds on the candidates’ chances of becoming the next president of these United States.

 

Hillary Clinton (+115) 
Despite the litany of past and present scandals Hillary has endured she remains as seemingly bullet-proof as the Teflon Don himself before the hammer ultimately came down. The US presidential betting odds may be the first indication that the Teflon is beginning to peel.

 

Jeb Bush (+450)
The Jebster was a virtual shoo-in for the Republican nomination before the process commenced but that’s why they play the games. Bush is constantly defending, apologizing and trying to please his Republican constituents while pandering to the left. There’s an old saying that you can’t please all the people all the time. Jeb, listen up.

 

Donald Trump (+1000)
Love him or hate him he has managed to get tongues wagging and interest soaring about his populist – or unpopular - views depending upon what side of the aisle you stand. However, his biggest problem could in fact be looking him right in the mirror. Even voters in agreement with his message don’t necessarily like the messenger. Smug, arrogant and juvenile doesn’t play well in American political theater. Replace that with bold, poised and confident and now you’re talkin’ presidential timber.

 

Joe Biden (+1100)
Joltin’ Joe has seen the cracks in Hillary’s armor and it appears he will be the latest to take a pick axe to it. The vice-president, known for his verbal gaffes and unintended comic relief, may be courting the darling of the left Liz Warren to accompany him as his running mate and his inclusion should make the Democrat debates a bit more interesting. His stock is on the rise as evidenced by the US presidential odds dropping from +2200 to +1100.

 

Bernie Sanders (+1300)
Crazy Uncle Bernie is picking up steam with the vocal minority of the left and his message seems to be resonating in the polls that clearly demonstrate he now has a decided edge over Hillary in New Hampshire. His advocacy for legalizing marijuana has captured the young demographic as well. But the Live Free or Die state is not the litmus test for universal appeal and his candidacy could go – pardon the expression – up in smoke.

 

Marco Rubio (+1500)
If anyone has looked presidential throughout the early going it has to be the fresh-faced junior senator from Florida Marco Rubio. He comported himself well in the debate and is an under-the-radar threat.

 

Rand Paul (+5000)
Like his Democrat counterpart Bernie Sanders, Rand Paul has a fringe fan base that worships at his alter, ala Jim Jones without the Kool-Aid. Paul did himself no favors in the debate when he sparred with Donald Trump and came out looking a bit petty, childish and sophomoric. In other words he came across like Trump! But The Donald has a no-holds-barred approach that allows the voters to forgive and forget. Paul has no such ally. The US presidential betting market is not smiling upon Rand Paul as his odds have skyrocketed from +2600 to +5000.

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