Play 'Over' 22.5 as the ATP Moscow Quarterfinals Top Tennis Pick

João Mourato

Thursday, October 22, 2015 8:21 PM GMT

Thursday, Oct. 22, 2015 8:21 PM GMT

Very close match is expected between two Russian players in ATP Moscow quarterfinals. Join us while we analyze the best value tennis pick for this match and why should you grab it.

Teymuraz Gabashvili vs Evgeny Donskoy (W)
Teymuraz Gabashvili was superb against Viktor Troicki in second round, dismissing the Serbian by 6 – 2 6 – 3 without facing a single break point. Teymuraz is having his best career season after reaching a place in top 50 in July.

Gabashvili is an extremely dangerous player with massive groundstrokes but is known for being a very erratic player and not very strong under pressure. The Russian showed that in the last tournament he played in Russia, at St. Petersburg, where he was serving for the match against Roberto Bautista Agut and managed to lose the match after having 40 – 0 (three straight match points) on that service game.

Evgeny Dosnkoy received a wild card to play this competition and reached quarterfinals for the first time, after losing in second round in the previous two years. Evgeny was priced as underdog in his two previous matches this week, against Borna Coric and Ricardas Berankis and will be looking for his first ATP semifinals appearance but will have to perform another upset on this match.

Gabashvili dominates the h2h with three victories in the three previous matches. Both are great ball strikers with some problems to perform at a consistent level.

Teymuraz is the favorite and deserves that status, not only is the better ranked player but also won all previous contests. Despite the 3 – 0 lead on h2h, the previous matches haven’t been easy for Gabashvili with Donskoy taking a set in two of those three meetings (in the other match Donskoy retired on first set when was 2 – 5 down). Both are playing at great level this week and this match should go do distance.

We’ll add to our tennis picks the value on Over tennis odds in this match.

Tennis Pick: Over 22.5 (-108) at Pinnacle

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