Pick Sevilla +260 Over Villareal as They Look to Clinch a Top 6 Finish This Sunday

Nikki Adams

Saturday, March 21, 2015 6:07 PM UTC

Saturday, Mar. 21, 2015 6:07 PM UTC

The grudge match of the weekend features Villarreal and Sevilla as they renew hostilities in La Liga this weekend, just days after Sevilla dumped Villarreal out of Europa League R16. Can Villarreal get one over Sevilla? Find out as we preview this clash and serve up our soccer picks.


The Grudge Match
Villarreal and Sevilla clash for the third time in a fortnight after Sevilla annihilated Villarreal 5-2 on aggregate in their Europa League R16 clash. The latest back-to-back wins has los Rojiblancos improving to three straight wins over the Yellow Submarines and five straight undefeated games. The last win Villarreal clinched over their Spanish top flight rivals was back in 2012 when they won 2-1 in Sevilla.

Los Rojiblancos grabbed the Europa League R16 tie by the scruff of its neck, running away 3-1 winners at Camp El Madrigal on Thursday last week. In the return leg in Sevilla this Thursday, they merely rubber stamped their passage into the quarterfinals with a 2-1 win.

Earlier in the season, the pair collided in La Liga betting and Sevilla once again had Villarreal's number winning 2-1. Clearly, when it comes down to this matchup, Los Rojiblancos are just that much better. Yet, in spite of their convincing run of form at the expense of the Yellow Submarines, they enter this clash as the decided underdogs at +260 soccer odds on the La Liga odds board.

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Villarreal Favored To Win
How Villarreal have this match cornered in their camp, albeit on soccer odds board just a smidgen above even money (+110 at Bet365), is somewhat surprising. Granted Villarreal have a solid record at home in La Liga that stands at 10-0-3 and includes only losses to top three opponents: Real Madrid, Barcelona and Valencia at the Madrigal, but they were just dominated by Sevilla twice. Soccer bettors are going to be wary of backing Villarreal on their soccer picks, surely.

There's an argument to be had about Sevilla's recent La Liga away form, which includes one win in their last five road trips. What's more, against top opponents as well they've struggled, losing to the usual suspects Atletico Madrid, Real Madrid and Barcelona, and several other high-flyers this season such as Valencia and an Athletic Club. Overall, they are 6-0-7 on the road in La Liga betting.

However, there are conspicuous signs of a distinct upsurge in form that can't be ignored and they appear to be ready to start tightening the screws. Sevilla (16-4-7) are in fifth place in the table, three points ahead of Villarreal. Having overcome the Yellow Submarines in European action is only going to serve them well when they take them on again on Sunday. The stakes are high, but Sevilla appear to be in better form right now and have the confidence to pull off the feat.


Soccer Betting Verdict:
The soccer betting line on this game pays lip service to Villarreal's undeniable home form, but it blatantly ignores the fallout of their recent Europa League dismissal, which is a real possibility. The Yellow Submarines have to be disappointed right now and they've only had a few days to come to terms with the end of their dreams of European grandeur. There's the element of revenge in this matchup, obviously. But will the Yellow Submarines be emotionally up for it just a few days later?

Perhaps. Anything can happen when teams meet each other as frequently as this pair has. The pendulum could conceivably swing in Villarreal's favor, which would make them a good soccer pick at +110.

For our money, we'd rather back the side that is brimming with confidence and optimism. Sevilla are rounding out into splendid form down the stretch in La Liga as they attempt to secure a Top 6 finish, and their title defence campaign in Europe is going to plan so far. It looks like a good time to be a Sevilla fan, not to mention to back them on your soccer picks as the +260 underdogs.

Soccer Picks: Sevilla +260 to win outright  at Bet365

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