Pick Man-City Over Everton in EPL Week 14

Lee Phelps

Friday, December 5, 2014 6:36 PM GMT

If you want goals, then our tipster thinks this is the game for you as he makes his picks in Manchester City versus Everton in the Premier League. He's looking at the odds-on home side and finding some value in the betting.

Bayern Munich are like a catalyst for Manchester City’s upturn in form. Last year after beating the German side 3-2, they beat Arsenal 6-3, this time they put upstarts Southampton in their place winning 3-0 at St Mary’s. Next up a home game against Everton.

 

Manchester City
I’m not buying all this chat about City being a one-man team – the man of course being Sergio Aguero. They bought him, they pay his wages, and they have developed him, so why shouldn’t they benefit from his brilliance? He also needs a fully functioning team around him to create the chances, for him to score the goals.

I was lucky enough to interview Aguero this week as he picked up the FSF Player of the Year award in London and then after his master class against Tottenham, I found this great dissection of his talent from PremierLeagueOwl on Twitter:

“Mark him too tightly and he has the ability and strength on the ball to roll around a defender.  Give him too much of a buffer and he can do untold damage with the time.  You can’t show him onto a weaker side, because his left is really a lesser evil rather than a weakness and he can’t be doubled, because he has the creativity to exploit the resulting gaps.

Last night’s game against Sunderland provided a really good example of how much of a mismatch he creates.  In the build-up to the second goal, on receiving the pass from Yaya Toure, Aguero was immediately surrounded by Sebastian Coates and John O’Shea.  It was absolutely the right instinct from the two centre-backs, because neither of them would have fared well against him in isolation.  Aguero, though, had the awareness and the ability to one-touch the incoming pass to Stevan Jovetic – roaming into the vacated space – who then thumped City into the lead. And that was mere minutes after he’d wriggled through two tackles and equalised from distance, thundering the ball between Costel Pantilimon and the near post.

The characteristic that all truly elite attacking players share is that, at their peak, opponents can only hope to restrict them rather than stop them.” This week people have been putting Aguero in the same bracket as Messi and Rolando, I’m not sure about that, but what I am sure about is that he shouldn’t be 4/5 to score in a match if he is even being mentioned in the same breath as those players.

 

Everton
I think we all know Roberto Martinez’s team struggle coming back from Europe, but they are even worse when they don’t have a rest week after the Thursday / Sunday games. We saw this in the 1-1 draw at home to Hull and now they have to the rejuvenated champions’ backyard.

Everton’s goal threat away from home is relentless, having scored in every trip this season, including goals at Tottenham, Liverpool and Manchester United. It’s not just the strikers either with eight different scorers in their seven matches so far.

Unfortunately for Martinez they’re struggling to keep clean sheets, with just one at Sunderland this campaign and I can’t see them adding to that in Manchester.

 

Soccer Picks
Man City’s up-turn in form has thoroughly impressed me and I’m all over them to win and Aguero to score, but before you look at the soccer odds, keep in mind that Everton’s scoring power gives us a nice angle to add both teams to score element into the bet too. 

Manuel Pellegrini’s men have only kept one clean sheet at home (versus Manchester United) so City to win and both teams to score is my soccer pick here.

Free Soccer Pick: Manchester City win and both teams to score 21/10

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