Pick Everton at Plus Odds vs. Manchester United in Low Scoring Affair at Goodison Park

Kevin Stott

Monday, October 12, 2015 2:50 PM GMT

Everton heading into week 9 showdown with Manchester United at Goodison Park in Liverpool on Saturday,are we taking a chance on the hot home underdog as the soccer pick?

 

Odds Overview
Everton vs. Manchester United [15:00] (NBCSN, NBC Sports Live Extra (US), Sportsnet Ontario, Sportsnet West, Sportsnet East, Sportsnet Pacific, Sportsnet World Now (CAN); 10 a.m. EDT/7 a.m. EDT): Third-place Manchester United (5-1-2, 12 GF-8 GA) will face 7th-place Everton (3-4-1, 12 GF-8 GA) at Goodison Park in Liverpool on Saturday in this Matchday 9 fixture which could have big implications for both teams. Oddsmakers have visitors Manchester United priced as +120 favorites with host Everton lined at +220 underdogs and the Draw priced at +240 (bet365). The Total Goals here is set at 2½ Under -125 (Over +100, bet365) while the Both Teams To Score Prop wager sees both the ‘Yes’ and ‘No’ both priced at -120 (Sky Bet). A couple of other random Prop wagers for this showdown from Merseyside are: Draw No Bet: Everton +140, Manchester United -166 (BetVictor); and, To Win To Nil: Everton +500, Manchester United +290 (BetVictor).

 

Everton FC
Everton (1-2-1 at Home, 6 GF-6 GA) and Manager Roberto Martínez have just 1 Loss overall (Manchester City, 2-0) this Premier League Season, and the Toffees are unbeaten in their L7 games overall (4-3-0) with 5 of those 7 matches seeing both teams score (BTTS ‘Yes’ Prop Bet). On the attack, Everton is led by 22-year-old Belgian striker Romelu Lukaku (5 goals, +350 Anytime Goalscorer, 32Red), Steven Naismith (3 goals, +340, 32Red), Kevin Mirallas (+380), Arouna Koné (3 goals ,+250) and Ross Barkley (2 goals, +430), and the Toffees also have a number of extremely dependable veterans like Aaron Lennon (+650), Phil Jagielka (+1900) and Gareth Barry, although team heartbeat Leighton Baines (Ankle) hurt himself on Matchday 1 against Watford and has been missed. GK Tim Howard and the Everton Defense have done stand-up job so far, allowing just 8 goals in the first 8 matches of the season—tied for the second best mark in England’s top flight of professional football. So, so far, so good, and Everton (500/1 to win English Premier League, Ladbrokes) is a club which may provide some value for bettors now and in the future. Keep your eye on this side.

 

Manchester United FC
Like Everton, Manchester United (2-0-2 Away, 5 GF-7 GA) and GK David De Gea and the Red Devils Defense have allowed just 8 goals in their first 8 games, leaving second-year manager Louis van Gaal and his team in the thick of the EPL race for now in 3rd place with 16 points, just 2 back from city rivals Manchester City (6-0-2, 19 GF-7 GA). But the 12 goals has to be disappointing—Everton also has 12 GF and 8 GA heading in here—for United (8/1 to win EPL, Coral), with players like Wayne Rooney (1 goal, Anytime Goalscorer +190, 32Red) and Marouane Fellaini (+260) and new-signees (PSV Eindhoven) Memphis Depay (1 goal, +260) and Bastian Schweinsteiger (Bayern Munich) all failing to significantly contribute to date. Luckily for the Red Devils, guys like French teen sensation Anthony Martial (3 goals, +190), Juan Mata (3 goals, +300), Ashley Young and Daley Blind (1 goal, +1600) have come through when United has needed it. And showing how much he may be overthinking things, van Gaal started Young at Left Back  against Arsenal, a match the Gunners won 3-0 on Matchday 8. Here against Everton at Goodison, the Red Devils will probably have trouble piling up quality attempts again, and you know that Martínez will be reminding his troops that the Red Devils haven’t scored at Goodison in their L3 trips there.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Although Manchester United holds the upper hand in this series overall (75-40-57, 264 GF-248 GA), this is one of those familiar football series where the Home side holds the distinct advantage, and Everton’s 41-19-26 mark here at Goodison Park (166 GF-110 GA) reveals such. And, as mentioned, the Toffees have won the L3 EPL meetings here at Home with Manchester United by increasing 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 scores, so backing the Everton To Win To Nil (+500, BetVictor) Prop bet here may also be worth a throw, with those past three score-lines and the Toffees having allowed just 8 goals to date this season and those 5/1 soccer odds. Everton knows it’s in the thick of the race, and now in 7th place and with 13 points, the Toffees can tie United in the table with 16 points with a victory here . And with the powerful Lukaku, Koné, Barkley, Naismith and Mirallas, among others, Everton may actually have better scoring options than the Red Devils and it seems to Toffees are presently playing more confidently than some of the higher-paid United stars. This match will tell if Everton is for real, and with just 1 Loss heading in, this is a team not to be disrespected just because some don’t know their name. This club is playing good as a unit, and there seems to be value here with the hosts lined as the underdogs as your soccer pick

Predicted Final Score: Everton 1 Manchester United 0

Premier League Soccer Picks: Everton +250 & Under 2½ -125 & Everton To Win To Nil +500 at Bet365

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