Pick Busch for NASCAR Pocono GoBowling.com 400 Bet

David Schwab

Wednesday, July 30, 2014 6:46 AM GMT

Wednesday, Jul. 30, 2014 6:46 AM GMT

The NASCAR Sprint Cup series will make its second trip of the season to Pocono Raceway this week for the running of the GoBowling.com 400 & this handicapper is eager to share his profitable picks.

The green flag on Sunday’s race is set to wave at 10: 20 a.m. (PT) and it will be broadcast nationally on ESPN.

Jeff Gordon became a two-time winner in this season’s Sprint Cup series with a victory last week at Indianapolis. Kyle Busch finished second for the second race in a row and Denny Hamlin ended-up third with a strong run around the Brickyard. I went with Dale Earnhardt Jr. at 11/1 as my value pick for this past Sunday’s race and he finished ninth.

The following is a look at a few of the top favorites to win this Sunday’s race along with my top value NASCAR pick based on odds provided by Bovada.

 

Favorites
Brad Keselowski has already won three Sprint Cup races this season and he has been opened as a 5/1 co-favorite to make it four checkered flags this Sunday. The No. 2 car’s most recent victory was just three weeks ago at New Hampshire after finishing first at Kentucky at the end of June. This hot streak has the team sitting in third place in the current Sprint Cup standings with 666 points. It also helps that Keselowski has six additional top-five finishes to go along with those three wins. He had a great run at Pocono back in early June with a second-place finish and he was sixth in last year’s race here.

The other co-favorite to win NASCAR's Pocono race is at 5/1 also has three victories on the year as well as six previous Sprint Cup titles. Jimmie Johnson’s wins came in bunches as well with all three within a span of four races. The No. 48 car had its issues at Indianapolis last week with a 14th-place finish and it has not finished better than seventh since a win at Michigan on June 15th. The team is still a lock for the Chase and holding down the fifth spot in the standings with 628 points. The one race that Johnson did not win in that incredible run was at Pocono, where he ended-up sixth. He does have three career victories at this track including one in this race in 2008.

The third-favorite on this week’s list is Kevin Harvick at 13/2. He has remained in the thick of things this season with two previous victories and three other top-five finishes while leading a total of 894 laps. The No. 4 car is currently in 11th-place in the standings with 565 points. The team had a decent showing at Indy last week with an eighth-place finish after finishing outside the top 25 in its previous two Sprint Cup runs. Harvick took 14th in the first race at Pocono and he is still looking for his first Sprint Cup victory at this track. Even more value is drained from these sports betting odds with an average finishing position here of just 14.0.

 

Top Value Pick
Dale Jr. won the first race at Pocono this season and his odds to win again Sunday are listed at 15/2, but I am going deeper on the board than that for this week’s value pick. Kyle Busch is not only one of the best drivers in the Sprint Cup series, he is also one of the streakiest so I am going with his 12/1 odds to win this week after near misses in his last two races. The No. 18 car has returned to the form that led to a total of six top-five finishes this season including a victory at Fontana and it is now in sixth place in the standings with 609 points. Busch finished eighth in this race last year and he was second in 2011. He is another high-profile driver looking for his first career Sprint Cup victory at Pocono.

comment here