Pick Arsenal -286 In Must-Win Game vs. Watford In Premier League

Nikki Adams

Monday, March 28, 2016 7:39 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 28, 2016 7:39 PM UTC

Arsenal take on Watford for a second time in a row at the Emirates after losing to the upstarts in FA Cup. Their Premier League fortunes hang in the balance. Here’s our soccer pick.

Arsenal Stunned In FA Cup
It was supposed to be Arsenal’s best hope for silverware this season, but it went tits up at the Emirates last week when the Hornets dumped Arsenal out of the competition following an improbable 2-1 win at the Emirates.

Arsenal were bidding for a third straight FA Cup title and drawing Watford in the quarterfinals appeared to be a fortuitous turn of events. Things seemed to be going to plan despite a scoreless draw in the first half, but, then, the Hornets scored twice early in the second half to take the improbable 2-0 lead. Danny Welbeck pulled one back late (88th minute) but it all seemed just too little too late as the Gunners were made to pay for their complacency against a seemingly lesser opponent.

Now, Arsenal, eyeing a Top 2 finish in the Premier League this season, look ahead to Watford at the Emirates this weekend in the Premier League. They’ll be keen to redeem themselves this time around, and, small consolation though it is, the market favors just such a result with Arsenal trading at firm odds-on to win the clash.


Arsenal Title Push A Longshot But Is It Improbable?
Arsenal have fallen behind league-leading Leicester City and second-placed Tottenham quite significantly. They are eleven points behind the Foxes and six points behind the Spurs, a consequence of which puts them up at +600 in Premier League outrights, considerably off Leicester City at -188 and Tottenham at +275 to win the title on the soccer odds boards. However, they do have a game in hand and that could be the charm when all is said and done.

Yet, there are those that believe the Gunners could pull off a late push, at the very least to finish inside the Top 2 if not win it all. They have the pedigree and have made a habit of late-stage pushes over the last few seasons. In 2012/2013, although finishing fourth in the table, they closed the season winning eight and drawing two of their last ten fixtures. The following year, after banking a second-straight fourth-place finish, they closed the season with a five-game winning streak and going 6-2-2 in their last ten games. Last term, they went 10-3-1 in their last 14 games to finish third in the table.

Looking at the schedule they’re dealt with down the stretch, Arsene Wenger and his precious Gunners definitely can be optimistic about their chances. Six of their last eight fixtures are against lesser outfits, five of which are at the Emirates and include this coming weekend’s clash with Watford, along with Crystal Palace, West Bromwich, Norwich City and Aston Villa. Why just in those 15 points are practically gifted so long as they don’t bottle it.

What’s more, they have only three away games down the stretch which is an advantage in itself and an auspicious turn of the schedule. Although two loom tough against West Ham United and Manchester City, they can still hope for at least a share in the spoils, if not the outright win seeing as they’ve only lost four on the road this season. The only other road trip is to Sunderland where the three points must be a gimmick, surely.

West Ham United did beat Arsenal 2-0 at the Emirates in their season opener, which must still rankle with Arsene Wenger and his lads, but they did beat Man City 2-1 at the Emirates earlier this season. They’ll be eager to redeem themselves at Boleyn ground and back up their home win with another over Man City at the Etihad.

Of course, it remains to be seen whether Arsenal can live up to expectations. It all begins next weekend with their clash with Watford.


Arsenal vs. Watford Betting Preview And Picks
Arsenal opened on the Premier League odds board as the considerable favorites around the -280 price-point, and early soccer betting trends point to those soccer odds staying in that range if not going slightly higher before tilt-time. Clearly, soccer bettors aren’t too fussed about the loss to Watford in FA Cup repeating itself. Hiccup though it was, the Gunners should come through this time around with their Premier League fortunes on the line and soccer bettors are piling on to Arsenal on their soccer picks.

Arguably, Arsenal deserve to be firm favorites at home where they are 8-3-3 on the season with 19 goals scored and just 10 conceded, but does Watford deserve to be so disingenuously tagged in the market. Some books have the Hornets trading as high as +960 to win outright (Pinnacle). Seems a bit blithe to do so when they are only just after beating Arsenal in FA Cup quarterfinal action and quite convincingly too at the Emirates. Then again, right after beating Arsenal in FA Cup Watford fell to Stoke City in the semi-finals of the competition 2-1. So, perhaps, therein lies the reason for their unfavorable outlook, the idea that it was a one-off performance.


Soccer Betting Verdict
After turning in a feeble performance against Watford in FA Cup, Arsene Wenger and his Gunners will be looking for redemption in their second straight fixture against Watford across several competitions. It’s not just redemption but their Premier League fortunes that hang in the balance; if Arsenal want to make a push for the title this is a must-win game. They’ve saved their best for last in previous seasons and so, on the strength of those previous trends, we’re backing the Gunners to come through as the firm -286 favorites at Pinnacle on our soccer picks. Colour the world shocked if they let us down.

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Free Soccer Pick: Arsenal -286
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

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