PGA Tour Odds: New Season Begins at Safeway Open

Tuesday, October 2, 2018 2:01 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 2, 2018 2:01 PM UTC

The new PGA Tour wraparound season already is here as a field of 144 is set to compete at the Safeway Open in California’s wine country.

<p>Most American golf fans probably want to step away from following the sport for at least a week or two after the U.S. team laid an egg in Paris and was dominated by Europe in yet another Ryder Cup loss. It’s just clear as day that event means more to European players than it does to Americans. U.S. captain Jim Furyk had some really puzzling decisions. Ah well.</p><p>Certainly, no major pro sports league in the USA has a shorter offseason than the PGA Tour – all of one week! It was just a couple of weeks ago that Tiger Woods electrified the sporting world by winning the Tour Championship and Justin Rose took the $10 million FedExCup prize in Atlanta.</p><p>Now we start the FedExCup chase all over again at the season-opening Safeway Open at the Silverado Resort and Spa’s North Course in Napa, Calif. You may remember the terrible wildfires in that area last fall, but the resort made it through with only minimal damage. It’s a par 72 measuring 7,166 yards. The 18-hole record here is a 61 by Chesson Hadley last year.</p><p>You aren’t going to see many top players teeing it up in any of the fall events. The biggest name at the Safeway is Phil Mickelson, who was simply terrible at the Ryder Cup. This tournament is the only one held in California that Mickelson has yet to win. He and Patrick Cantlay are the only two guys who qualified for the season-ending Tour Championship in the Safeway field. There are also a ton of Web.com Tour graduates who earned the cards for the new season.</p><p>The winner here, if not already qualified, earns a spot in the Sentry Tournament of Champions that opens the 2019 calendar year.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;.&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/PhilMickelson?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@PhilMickelson&lt;/a&gt; is quite literally ready to kick off the new season here in Napa. 🍷 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/WpZV5QyGOH\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/WpZV5QyGOH&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Safeway Open (@SafewayOpen) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/SafewayOpen/status/1046530926774181889?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;September 30, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Threepeat for Steele?</h2><p>Brendan Steele looks for his third straight victory at this tournament, attempting to become the fourth player in 2018 to win an event for a third consecutive year. None of the previous three did so. Last year, Steele won at 15-under 273, beating out Tony Finau by two shots. The year before, Steele tied the tournament record with an 18-under score to edge Patton Kizzire by a shot.</p><p>You might presume that Steele is the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow">Bovada favorite this week,</a> but he’s not at +3300. That’s because Steele is having an awful year and enters having missed the cut in four of his final five on the 2017-18 schedule. Then again, he wasn’t playing well entering this tournament a year ago.</p><p>Cantlay is the +1200 favorite on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow">Bovada golf odds </a>even though he’s making his Silverado debut. Cantlay closed last season with a T21 at the Tour Championship. Brandt Snedeker is +2000 with Ryan Moore and Joaquin Niemann each at +2200. Snedeker didn’t qualify for the Tour Championship (partly due to back issues) despite winning the event right before the playoffs, the Wyndham Championship. He last played here in 2015 and was 17<sup>th</sup>. Moore has two Top 10s in this tournament. Niemann comes off a fine rookie season. Mickelson, who is +2500, was T3 here last year.</p><p>I also want to mention one player who has not shot: former Oakland A’s pitcher Mark Mulder is +10000. He’s fabulous amateur golfer and dominates in those celebrity tournaments. He’s on a sponsor invite and attempting to become the first modern athlete from another sport to make a PGA Tour cut.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Putt. Sip. Repeat. &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Brendan_Steele?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@Brendan_Steele&lt;/a&gt; has this Napa thing figured out. 🍷 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/RAVGb8gcdF\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/RAVGb8gcdF&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Safeway Open (@SafewayOpen) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/SafewayOpen/status/1046613759140147202?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;October 1, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Picks</h2><p>A<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow"> few interesting matchup props:</a> Bet Steele (-125) over Abraham Ancer (-105), and former champion Emiliano Grillo (-105) over Niemann (-125). Steele won’t threepeat but he’s worth a Top 10 bet. The winner is Martin Laird at +6600. He hasn’t missed a cut in four trips to Silverado with two Top 10s. He’s at long odds because his play hasn’t been great lately. Laird is +250 to be the top European finisher.</p>
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