PGA Tour: Why Jon Rahm Wins WGC-Mexico Championship

Monday, February 18, 2019 5:29 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 18, 2019 5:29 PM UTC

Just about everyone who is anyone on the PGA Tour is south of the border this week to compete in the limited-field, big-money World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship.

<p>There’s set to be a field of 72 players for the WGC-Mexico Championship, with the only Top 50 players not competing being world No. 1 Justin Rose along with Jason Day and Adam Scott. Do Aussies not like Mexico or something? There is no cut this week.</p><p>Matt Kuchar is playing, and that should be fun in the wake of that social media firestorm last week regarding the cheapskate Kuchar giving a local fill-in caddie just $5,000 when he won the Mayakoba Golf Classic in Mexico back in November. The caddie went public with Kuchar giving that little after winning nearly $1.3 million. Kuchar also had zero backing of other Tour pros. After originally defending himself, he finally relented and will pay the guy $50,000. He still comes out of that whole thing looking like a total jackass, and I’m sure the fans in Mexico will let him know. Some did last week in Los Angeles at the Genesis Open.</p><p>It’s just the third year that Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City hosts this tournament – it used to be held at Doral in Miami but was moved because Donald Trump owns that course now and the PGA Tour didn’t want a whole political mess. This course is nearly 8,000 feet above sea level, so it plays much shorter than the 7,345 yards at which it is listed (par 71).</p><p>The Bovada <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/" target="_blank" title="Sportsbook LIVE Odds Board">betting favorite</a> is Justin Thomas at +900. He was in position to win the Genesis Open on Sunday but his putting stroke left him in a final-round 75. Thomas would finish a shot behind J.B. Holmes, who put up a 70 in Round 4. Thomas lost this tournament last year on the first playoff hole to Phil Mickelson. Thomas had holed out from 119 yards on the final hole of regulation for eagle to cap off a 62-64 weekend, but he bogeyed the first playoff hole, the par-3 17<sup>th</sup>.</p><p>Mickelson shot a final-round 66 <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/more-sports/" target="_blank" title="More Sports Picks &amp; Predictions">to win for the first time since the 2013 British Open</a>, although he won again two weeks ago at Pebble Beach. He’s +2800 this week. Lefty also won this tournament in 2009. A victory would make Lefty one of just three players all-time with at least four WGC wins, joining Tiger Woods and Dustin Johnson.</p><p>Johnson is +1000 at Bovada. He won the first staging of this tournament in Mexico in 2017 at 14 under by a shot over Tommy Fleetwood and also won it at Doral in 2015. DJ comes off a T9 last week and was T7 here a year ago.</p><p>Tiger is a seven-time champion of this event at six different courses – twice at Doral – but plays in Mexico on the PGA Tour for the first time. Woods was in contention entering the final round last week at the Genesis Open but faded to a 75. Genesis Open winner Holmes is taking a family vacation this week.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;⛳️ Hole #⃣1⃣5⃣ - Par 5 - 575 Yards&lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;This is the final par 5 of the course. It is entirely uphill with a slight turn to the right, which represents a good opportunity to make birdie.&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/WGCMexico?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#WGCMexico&lt;/a&gt; 🇲🇽 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/jfbs3nH4lL\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/jfbs3nH4lL&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Mexico Championship (@WGCMexico) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/WGCMexico/status/1096401994976129024?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;15 de fevereiro de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2>Golf Picks</h2><p>Take Thomas and Johnson for Top 10s – Mickelson and Woods might be wearing down and we don’t like them for a Top 10 – but <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4588&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Get in the game with Bovada">Jon Rahm at +1600 to win at Bovada</a>. This course is set up like many in his native Spain, and Rahm has finished T20 and T3 his two trips here. He also has finished Top 10 in every Tour event so far in 2019.</p>
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