NASCAR’s Cup Series continues on Sunday in Las Vegas. Here’s a complete preview with betting advice for this weekend’s race. Be prepared to bet on this event by knowing all you need to know about this race and about which drivers are likeliest to find success.
NASCAR Cup Series: Pennzoil 400
Sunday, March 7, 2021 – 3:30 P.M. ET at Las Vegas Motor Speedway
As of press time, some of the top sportsbooks have not released their odds for this event. But I like to see how my expectations for certain drivers match up with those implied by the posted odds because a disparity between expectations and actual odds will influence my wager size one way or the other.
The Pennzoil 400 is so-called because in completing 267 laps, drivers will have accumulated 400 miles. This event consists of three stages. Stage 1 requires 80 laps. Stage 2, also, requires 80 laps. Stage 3, the final stage, consists of 87 laps.
Like in previous weeks, an entry list was first published for this event. 38 drivers were posted. Regarding the starting lineup, it has just been released.
Starting lineup isn’t an absolutely decisive factor, but it is an important one, especially if you are looking into betting on multiple drivers. Some drivers have proven to be more dependent on having a good starting position at this track. In general, the driver starting position tends to align closely with the driver finishing position at this track.
The Pennzoil 400 will take place at the Las Vegas Motor Speedway. This track is 1.5-miles long. Its racing surface is asphalt. Its turns enjoy a moderate degree of banking. The turns are progressively banked at 12 and then 20 degrees. Banking is nice because it can increase driver speed by allowing the driver to collect momentum and velocity.
While the drivers thus receive some help from the track, drivers have complained that this track can be unforgiving in some respects. Most notably, drivers have stated that Las Vegas Motor Speedway is a bumpy track. Bumps can influence tire pressure, which affects car handling and the ability to pass other cars.
So it’s worth noting for your best bets that this track has been rated as having one of the bumpier surfaces in NASCAR’s Cup Series. More promising competitors will be able to navigate this less ideal driving surface.
Drivers To Avoid
Last year’s NASCAR Cup Series champion, Chase Elliott, is somebody you should avoid investing in at this track. Even last season, he suffered poor finishes at this track. He’s generated a lot of catastrophic results in Las Vegas, despite often enjoying propitious starting positions. Despite averaging an 8.9 starting position, Elliott is averaging a 21.50 finishing position.
Also, avoid Kyle Busch. As the defending champ’s, Busch’s form has been less than desirable. Busch has also suffered numerous flops at this event, even when starting in a good position.
There are likewise better options to invest in than Brad Keselowski. While Keselowski’s overall statistics at this event look promising, his success in Las Vegas hasn’t been recent. Moreover, he is mirroring last year’s lackluster start to his season. He’s taking time to round into form.
Joey Logano’s starting position is 15th. This might be favorable enough for him to be somebody you want to invest in at the best betting sites. When he’s started in a top-10 position, he’s finished top-five in five of his last seven attempts.
This ability contrasts with other drivers like Ryan Blaney, who has only two top-five finishes here out of four times where he was positioned top-10 in the starting lineup.
My Favorite Guy: Martin Truex Jr.
Unequivocally, my favorite driver to invest in for Sunday’s race is Martin Truex Jr. For starters, Truex Jr. is rounding into form, as evidenced by his third-place finish last week at Miami.
More importantly, he has a positive history at this track that he has sustained even when dealt with poor starting positions. In 2019, for example, he started in 24th, but he ended up winning the race.
For the above reasons, be sure to invest in Truex Jr., who will be 4th in the starting lineup, with your NASCAR Betting Picks.
*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to the live odds.