Palmetto Championship at Congaree PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis

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Palmetto Championship at Congaree PGA Tour Picks and Odds Analysis
Kevin Kisner. Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP

Palmetto Championship

June 10-13 at Congaree Golf Club

Par 71, 7725 yards

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This week in South Carolina the PGA Tour have slotted in the Palmetto Championship at Congaree as a replacement for the Canadian Open in their schedule. Once this uncertain pandemic is over the Canadian Open is scheduled to be back in 2022.

Therefore, this week we have a new course to analyse and on the face of it, a par 71 over 7800 yards seems a mighty long test. The field has Brooks Koepka and Dustin Johnson leading the market but lacks a normal strength-in-depth quality with players resting or pre-qualifying before next week’s US Open.

The course is a Tom Fazio design built on land in a similar vein to Australian sandbelt courses with Bermuda greens. With a mixed forecast it is possible we may not see the dry conditions that were planned for the players to encounter and the course may play its full yardage.

Can Kevin Kisner Make Home Advantage Pay?

On a week where there is no course form to use maybe, we should respect the chance of the home professional, Kevin Kisner. The thirty-seven-year-old, South Carolina resident has been in unusually poor form during the 2021 campaign but at the Charles Schwab Challenge there appeared to be light at the end of the tunnel. A 40th place finish bucked the trend of six missed cuts in strokeplay events.

I say strokeplay events because Kisner did perform respectably in the Dell Technologies Matchplay as defending champion, eventually finishing 18th. That was his only top 20 finish since a runner up finish in the 2020 RSM Classic which could be described as one of his favourite tracks having won there in 2015 for his maiden PGA Tour title.

Interestingly, the RSM Classic is played at the Seaside Course which is a Tom Fazio re-design on his favoured Bermuda Grass greens. His other strokeplay victory came at the Dean & Deluca of 2017 at Colonial while his Dell Technologies Matchplay win in 2019 was also on his favoured Bermuda Grass greens.

Kevin Kisner . Tom Pennington/Getty Images/AFP

He has always managed to produce top quality golf in his home state of South Carolina as an impressive plethora of form in the Heritage Classic illustrates, again on the favoured Bermuda Grass greens of Harbour Town Golf Links where he was an impressive runner up in 2015 being his highlight.

With Kisner looking on his way back to form in the Charles Schwab Challenge and home advantage combined with an ability to play his best golf on Bermuda Grass greens of California, Kevin Kisner has a decent win look at +5000 with BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review) and solid top 20 PGA Tour profile this week.

Palmetto Championship PGA Golf Pick:

Kevin Kisner – win at +5000 Bovada (visit our Bovada Review)

Kevin Kisner – win +5000
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Kevin Kisner – Top 20 at +200 BetOnline (visit our BetOnline Review)

Kevin Kisner – Top 20+200
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South Carolina Form Brings in Satoshi Kodaira

Thirty-one-year-old Satoshi Kodaira from Japan was the shock winner of the Heritage Classic of 2018 at +50000 when a fast finishing final round got him in a play off with Si Woo Kim, which he won at the third extra hole.

It’s been a frustrating period since on the PGA Tour for the winner of seven Japanese tour titles, so back to back top 15 finishes at the Wells Fargo Championship and Byron Nelson was eye catching given amazingly, they were his first top 20 finishes on the PGA Tour since the Fort Worth Invitational of 2018 which is three years ago.

Satoshi Kodaira . Matthew Stockman/Getty Images/AFP

That is an extreme upturn in fortunes and suggests he has found a new level in his game allied with rising confidence. If the course plays too long it may hamper him a little but he is a strong scrambler around the greens which is thought to be an advantage this week given a quote from the MD of Congaree GC, John McNeely, who said, “the successful guys are going to manage and miss the ball to the proper place and do a good job of pitching.”

This week in South Carolina brings the opportunity of a hat trick of top 20 finishes in the state he won the 2018 Heritage Classic, so take Top 20 and longshot win bets on Satoshi Kodaira. I couldn’t help but notice that BetOnline had Satoshi Kodaira at +112 to beat Adam Schenk in match bet which has a strong look this week.

Palmetto Championship PGA Golf Pick: Satoshi Kodaira – Top 20 at +600 BetOnline

Satoshi Kodaira – Top 20 +600
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Palmetto Championship PGA Golf Match bet: Satoshi Kodaira to beat Adam Schenk at +112 at BetOnline

Satoshi Kodaira to beat Adam Schenk+112
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Palmetto Championship PGA Long shot: Satoshi Kodaira at +12500 Intertops (visit our Intertops Review)

Satoshi Kodaira +12500
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*The pick reflects the line at the moment the writer made the play, the odds at the beginning of this article show the live line movement. Since the lines might vary, don’t forget to refer back to our live odds.