There has been much written about the dominance of Barcelona and Lionel Messi in Spain's top-flight this term. So much so, that it bores even me. Real Madrid look like they have passed up the chance of retaining the Spanish top-flight title, not so much because they've let points slip (which they have) but because Barcelona just keeps winning, winning and once again winning in the Spanish league. While Real Madrid are second favourites at 35/1 to retain the La Liga title, nobody outside of Madrid (outside of the right side of Madrid) is wasting any money on that sort of bet. What is a considerably more interesting bet, is the odds on Osasuna to be relegated from Spain's top-flight. Osasuna is currently 11/8 with Bet Victor. One of five sides who look like they could go down. As every league likes to throw up odd results from time to time, but is there any reason to bet on Osasuna to get anything from their game against Real Madrid, ‘cos they need to.
Enough with the existentialism...WHERE’S THE MONEY MIKE?
On Mrs Richardson's advice I'm going to take a quick look at the La Liga table to tell me who I should be backing in this game. Surprise, surprise... it's actually the side who are 17 places better off. That’s Real Madrid! What a wise, wise rabbit Mrs Richardson is (as I have always said). There’s a modicum of good news for Osasuna, as Madrid’s Cristiano Ronaldo, will miss the trip to Pamplona following his fifth yellow card of the season against Real Sociedad. But what does that matter?
Real Madrid are 4/9 with Tote sport and Paddy Power and Stan James to take this game, while the draw is offered up at a quite unrealistic 10/3 with both Ladbrokes and bet365. The best odds you can get on a shock home victory are at 13/2 but then again why which throw your money away on that. Osasuna have only won two games at home all season, which oddly enough isn't the worst home record for victories as 17th place Grenada have just a single home victory to their tally.
There’s gonna be goals
What is considerably more worrying is the fact that Osasuna have only scored eight goals at home from nine games but have conceded seven. That sort of history suggests a 1-1 draw but I can't see Real Madrid settling for that even at 8/1 betting odds. Third place in the lab league table Real Madrid have fared considerably worse on their travels than Barcelona having lost four times and drawn once on the road, but then again no one can't compete with the record that reads nine away wins out of nine games. The bookies have Real Madrid winning both halves at 5/4, while Osasuna winning any half is offered up at 9/1. Surely that tells you who’s going to win this weekend.
So, if there is no point in JUST backing a winner in this game what should you back?
Quite honestly you should back a big score as Real Madrid has been on quite the Beano this season scoring goals galore! Check out the stats and you’ll find they've clocked up 28 goals at home, while only conceding eight. And on the road they have scored 17 and let in 12. Ronaldo or not, Real Madrid should be invited to go to town and have a score party this weekend.
However because Madrid look a wee bit shaky at the back I will give Osasuna a consolation goal. So therefore I suggest you spread your odds around…but that's a bit of a handbag bet. If you want to see how a real man bets read down to see my prediction.
Free Football Tips: Barcelona win, 4-1 available with 22/1 at Bet VictorGood luck with all of youyr football betting this weekend folks!~