Olympic Swimming Betting Preview- Michael Phelps Is Looking To Add To His Tally In Areas Of Expertise

Martin Green

Thursday, August 4, 2016 8:23 PM UTC

Thursday, Aug. 4, 2016 8:23 PM UTC

A preview of the most popular events in the swimming category at the Olympic Games, which will see the return of Michael Phelps to the pool.

The biggest story of the 2016 Olympic Games is the return of the greatest and most decorated Olympian of all-time. USA’s Michael Phelps retired after breaking all sorts of records at London 2012, but he has staged a headline-grabbing comeback and will look to add to his tally in Rio de Janeiro this month.

Phelps, a winner of 18 gold medals, is not competing in as many events as he did in Beijing or London, and will instead go after the events he was always best at the 100m butterfly, the 200m butterfly, and the 200m medley. Sportsbooks have offered odds on all of these events, and he is favorite in all three. Bovada has him as even money favorite betting pick for the 100m butterfly, with South African Chad le Clos predicted to be his closest competitor at +200. In the men’s 200m medley he is -110 with Bovada, ahead of countryman Ryan Lochte on +200. Sportsbooks think the 200m butterfly is the most difficult for him to win, but he is still +125 favorite ahead of Hungary’s Laszlo Cseh and Le Clos.

Just like athletics, the biggest draw is typically the men’s 100m final and the 100m freestyle looks fiercely competitive this year. USA’s Nathan Adrian, gold medallist in London, is second favorite, but he is expected to be outshone this time around by Australian Cameron McEvoy, who is clear favorite. He has posted the world’s fastest time since the 2012 Games (47.06) and his great rival Vladamir Morozov, who has posted a 47.62, has been banned over the Russian doping scandal. Adrian and Ning Zetao will still give him a tough battle, however.

In the women’s 100m freestyle another Australian, Cate Campbell, is a heavy favorite. Her closest contender is expected to be her younger sister Bronte Campbell, who is the second favorite. The sisters have dominated the event in recent years, with Cate winning the World Championships in 2013 and Bronte winning the following one last year in Kazan, and it promises to be a fascinating duel this time around.

In the women’s relays, Australia is expected to win the 4x100 freestyle comfortably, while the USA look set to win the 4x200m relay with ease, and the two are set for a ferocious battle in the 4x100 medley. The same two countries will battle it out for the men’s relays as the USA are favorite for two and Australia the other.


Here are the betting odds for the main swimming events, as of August 3 at Bovada:

Men’s 100m butterfly
Michael Phelps (USA) EVEN
Chad Le Clos (RSA) +200
Laszlo Cseh (HUN) +350
Joseph Schooling (SIN) +1000
Tom Shields (USA) +1400
Konrad Czerniak (POL) +2800
Li Zhuhao (CHN) +4000
Piero Codia (ITA) +6600
Mehdy Metella (FRA) +6600
Pawel Korzeniowski (POL) +8000
Evgeny Koptelov (RUS) +8000
Matteo Rivolta (ITA) +8000
Jeremy Stravius (FRA) +8000
Alexsandr Sadovnikov (RUS) +8000


Men’s 100m medley
Michael Phelps (USA) -110
Ryan Lochte (USA) +200
Kosuke Hagino (JPN) +300
Thiago Pereira (BRA) +1400
Laszlo Cseh (HUN) +1800
Shun Wang (CHN)+2800
Hiromasa Fujimori (JPN) +6600
Federico Turrini (ITA) +8000
Henrique Rodrigues (BRA) +8000
Marcin Cieslak (POL) +8000
Simon Sjödin (SWE) +10000


Men’s 200m butterfly
Michael Phelps (USA) +125
Laszlo Cseh (HUN) +120
Chad Le Clos (RSA) +325
Daiya Seto (JPN) +1400
Joseph Schooling (SIN) +1800
Jan Switkowski (POL) +2800
Tom Shields (USA) +3300
Masato Sakai (JPN) +3300
Viktor Bregner Bromer (DEN) +4000
Kenderesi Tamás (HUN) +5000
Grant Irvine (AUS) +5000
Louis Croenen (BEL) +6600
Leonardo de Deus (BRA) +6600
Jordan Coelho (FRA) +8000
Francesco Pavone (ITA) +10000
David Morgan (AUS) +10000
Stefanos Dimitriadis (GRE) +15000


Men’s 100m freestyle
Cameron McEvoy (AUS) -200
Nathan Adrian (USA) +450
Ning Zetao (CHN) +525
Clément Mignon (FRA) +1250
Federico Grabich (ARG) +1800
Luca Dotto (ITA) +2000
Santo Condorelli (CAN) +2500
Jeremy Stravius (FRA) +2800
Caeleb Dressel (USA) +3300
Kyle Chalmers (AUS) +3300
Sebastiaan Verschuren (NED) +3300
Marco Orsi (ITA) +5000
Marcelo Chierighini (BRA) +6600
Pieter Timmers (BEL) +8000
Yuri Kisil (CAN) +10000


Women’s 100m freestyle
Cate Campbell (AUS) -250
Bronte Campbell (AUS) +450
Sarah Sjöström (SWE) +600
Ranomi Kromowidjojo (NED) +1300
Federica Pellegrini (ITA) +1800
Femke Heemskerk (NED) +2000
Aleksandra Gerasimenya (BLR) +4000
Simone Manuel (USA) +5000
Abbey Weitzeil (USA) +5000
Penny Oleksiak (CAN) +5000
Jeanette Ottesen Gray (DEN) +8000
Michelle Coleman (SWE) +10000
Charlotte Bonnet (FRA) +10000


Men’s 4x100m medley relay
USA -400
Australia +250
Great Britain +1400
France +2800
Russia +3300
Japan +6600
South Africa +8000
Germany +8000
Canada +8000
Poland +8000
Italy +10000


Women’s 4x100m medley relay
Australia -150
USA +135
China +1200
Canada +2000
Sweden +2200
Denmark +2500
Japan +8000
Italy +8000
Great Britain +8000
Russia +10000


Men’s 4x100m freestyle relay
Australia +125
France +135
USA +365
Russia +575
Poland +4000
Japan +8000
Italy +8000
Canada +8000
Brazil +8000


Women’s 4x100m freestyle relay
Australia -900
USA +575
Netherlands +650
Canada +3300
Sweden +4000
Italy +12500
China +15000
France +15000


Men’s 4x200m freestyle relay
USA -250
Great Britain +335
Russia +2800
Italy +8000
Germany +8000
Netherlands +8000
Poland +8000
Belgium +8000
France +10000


Women’s 4x200m freestyle relay
USA -900
China +600
Australia +1000
Sweden +2800
Italy +3300
Canada +8000
France +8000
Great Britain +8000
Japan +10000


Check Out Summer Olympics article: Swimmers vs. Sprinters

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