Odds, Prediction & Soccer Pick for Chelsea vs. Sunderland Sunday Fixture

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, May 20, 2015 6:16 PM GMT

With the Blues motivation as low as it can be and Sunderland trying to win in a place where nobody wins, is making a soccer pick on this game even worth the Time and Money?

Odds Overview
Chelsea vs. Sunderland, Sunday 15:00 (NBC Sports Live Extra, (US); 10 a.m. ET/7 a.m. PT): English Premier League winners Chelsea (25-9-3, 70 GF-31 GA, 84 points) play host to 16th-place Sunderland (7-16-13, 30 GF-50 GA) at Stamford Bridge in West London on Sunday in the last week of the season in a fixture with massive meaning for the Black Cats (37 points, -20 GD) who will start Week 38 off just 3 points away from 18th place (Hull City, 34 points, -18 GD) and the dreaded Relegation Zone. Premier League soccer odds makers have made hosts Chelsea -250 favorites with visitors Sunderland huge +700 underdogs and the Draw priced at +250 (bet365). The Total Goals in this game has been set at 2½ Over -153 (Under +120, bet365) with the Both Teams To Score Prop having the ‘Yes’ priced at -120 and ‘No’ at -110 (Ladbrokes). Some Prop wagers for this contest on Championship Sunday: Correct Score: 0-0 +1400, 1-1 +850, 2-2 +2000, Chelsea 1-0 +650, Chelsea 2-0 +700, Chelsea 3-0 +1000, Chelsea 2-1 +700, Chelsea 3-1 +1200, Sunderland 1-0 +2200, Sunderland 2-1+2200 (bet365); and, Draw No Bet: Chelsea -700, Sunderland +500 (Sky Bet).

 

Sunderland AFC
As mentioned, Sunderland (3-8-6 Away, 14 GF-23 GA) still has to worry about Life in the English Premier League in 2016, and new, Save-Our-Bleeding-Bacon-Brother Manager Dick Advocaat and his 16th-place Black Cats will be keeping one eye on the game here at SW6 and the other eye on both 17th-place Newcastle United (36 points, -20 GD) and the Magpies game at Home at St. James’ Park and their game against West Ham United (Newcastle United -142, West Ham +375, Draw +280, bet365) on the Geordie Shore as well as the fixture between 18th-place Hull City (34 points, -18 GD) at Home at KC Stadium against Manchester United (Manchester United +110, Hull City +229, Draw +250, bet365). With Fear as a great motivating factor, the Black Cats have been pretty good down the homestretch here, going 2-2-0 over their L4 (5 GF-2 GA). Offensively this season, Sunderland has been led by Connor Wickham (5 goals, +375, Anytime Goalscorer, Sky Bet), Steven Fletcher (4 goals, +333), Jermain Defoe (4 goals, +275), Jordi Gómez (4 goals, +360), Sebastian Larsson (3 goals, +850) and Danny Graham (1 goal, +450), but the 50-30 GF-GA statistic reveals the real reason the Black Cats and GK Costel Pantilimon have to worry about not playing in England’s top flight of football next year. Getting three points here against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge where it hasn’t lost all season will be wishful thinking on the Black Cats part, but Sunderland can at least take solace in the fact that the Tigers of Hull City have to play the 4th-place Red Devils (69 points) and need the Win and all 3 points just to get to 37 points—where Sunderland sits right now—just to have a chance to stay up, with a Draw leaving them high and dry at 35 points, still behind the Toon and the Black Cats.

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Chelsea FC
Chelsea (14-4-0 Home, 33 GF-8 GA) manager José Mourinho have played relatively, low-scoring and boring games here at Home at Stamford Bridge this season, and with the English Premier League title well in hand, Motivation is the last thing this Blues team really has—as shown Monday in its 3-0 dissection by West Bromwich Albion at The Hawthorns where Cesc Fàbregas was given an early Red Card and Diego Costa lost his mind (as usual)—and The Ides of May may be the perfect time to take a flyer on someone in Red Stripey Shirts upsetting mighty Chelsea at The Bridge, although you know the Celery Sticks will be in an extremely foul mood after their embarrassing pummeling on Monday. Here against Sunderland, who knows who The Special One decides to start—another thing bettors should be aware of. These are honestly the last types of games a person should be betting on.

Knowing who will play and where a team’s Head is at are two very important components in all sports (sides) bets, but who knows who will start—besides club captain John Terry (+450,  Anytime Goalscorer, bet365), who has played every minute of every league game this season, and playmaker Eden Hazard (+125)—and how much Chelsea will really care, making that Sunderland +700 (bet365) bet worth more than a glance. The Black Cats actually won here in this fixture last season (2-1), as American Jozy Altidore converted a PK for the eventual game-winner. Mourinho may give some younger guys like Dominic Solanke (+160), Ruben Loftus-Cheek (+450) and Nathan Ake (+450) some valuable playing time in this contest, as well as players like striker Loïc Rémy (5 goals, +110), John Obi Mikel (+1000), Filipe Luis (+1200) and Juan Cuadrado (+200), who may all be getting final looks from the manager before decisions are made to re-sign or sell players off in the coming Summer Transfer Window. And another thing worth noting heading in here, although maybe not that relevant from a gambling POV, is the thought that this could be the last game ever as Chelsea players for 37-year-old club talisman Didier Drogba (4 goals, +250) and 32-year-old GK Petr Cech. I think I need a minute, bruh. That sentence is sure to leave a mark on my Royal Blue Soul, and if The Soccer Universe ever needed and deserved a Guard Of Honor for two legends possibly leaving the same club on the same day, it would be here in West London and on Sunday with Ivorian Drogba and Czech Cech’s potential last games for Chelsea, two legendary players who helped guide the Blues to their only UEFA Champions League championship three years ago against Bayern Munich at the Allianz Arena in Munich. And we all know how important their contributions were that wonderful day in Germany back in May, 2012.

 

Series Trends and Best Betting Approaches
Overall for this English Premier League soccer pick, Chelsea is 53-19-35 (196 GF-161 GA) against Sunderland and the Blues are an impressive 35-9-9 (123 GF-57 GA) here at Home vs. the Black Cats in league play. When these two met at the Stadium of Light in Week 13 earlier this season, the match ended in a 0-0 Draw, so Sunderland is actually unbeaten in its L2 games vs. the Blues, although the Black Cats are probably catching Chelsea at the wrong place (West London) at the wrong time (off a loss to West Brom and in the last week of the season in the Home final) here. After playing so sloppily on Monday against the Baggies, it may take the Blues a while to warm up on Sunday in the season closer, and if Mourinho has a younger, more inexperienced Starting XI out there, or even one catering to Drogba and Cech in their last games, it may seem odd and the chelsea Offense may have little Flow (nothing new). Or maybe this Blues team rallies to theoretically send the two off in style with a romp, although with Relegation in its minds, maybe Sunderland pushes a fast pace and gets a goal from Defoe or someone to set the tone, making the Both Teams To Score and Total (Over 2½ -153, bet365) interesting considerations.

Every game in the English Premier League will be televised on Championship Sunday (in the US)—with the specific channels To Be Announced—and NBC, USA, CNBC, MSNBC, E!, Syfy, BRAVO and Telemundo, among others, will be taking part in the anticlimactic festivities. Between the title race being done, the four UEFA Champions League berths determined and the overblown last Relegated Team thing—Hull City seems Doomed, Lala—there’s really that not much to see—outside of three teams (Liverpool—62 points, Tottenham Hotspur—61 points, Southampton—60 points) fighting for the two UEFA Europa League spots—or bet here in Week 38, although we all know most sports gamblers will go out with some kind of action in the Premier League on Sunday. It’s the way of the world.

 

Predicted Final Score: Chelsea 2 Sunderland 1

Premier League Soccer Pick: Over 2½ -153 at Bet365.

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