Oct. 11 UEFA EURO 2016 Qualifying Picks: Poland vs. Germany

Nikki Adams

Saturday, October 11, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

Saturday, Oct. 11, 2014 12:21 PM UTC

Soccer bettors, sink your teeth into this weekend's top Euro Cup Qualifying clash between world juggernauts Germany and Poland in Group D. Here’s a preview complete with soccer picks that offer angles for profit.

Germany Perennial Favourites
World Cup champions and perennial soccer betting favourites on the international stage, Germany descend on Poland for highly intriguing European clash, featuring two of the section’s current leaders. Not to mention, all eyes will be trained on Bayern Munich’s Robert Lewandowski as he leads his native Poland against players he knows all too well from his playing career in Bundesliga, including teammate Mario Gotze.

Germany began their campaign to qualify for Euro 2016 with a 2-1 victory over Scotland, coming through as the soccer odds favourites. They are sat atop Group D standings, level on points with Poland and Republic of Ireland. Thomas Muller, instrumental during Germany’s World Cup winning campaign, proved indispensible in his country’s European opener, scoring a brace (18th and 70th minute). Indeed, his second goal proved the game winner over a very resilient Scotland that was more difficult to put away than most expected, especially after they levelled the score midway through the second half.

Poland Has Plenty Attacking Potential
Poland opened their European campaign behind a 7-0 destruction of Gibraltar as the soccer odds road chalk. Robert Lewandowski enjoyed a stellar outing scoring four goals in the second half, two in the space of three minutes, a third in the 86th minute and a fourth for good measure in the added time.

Poland got off to a slow start against Gibraltar, scoring just once in the first half. Coach Adam Nawalka decided a good chinwag with his lads was in order during the break as he was left rather unimpressed by them. In a competition where points come at a premium, being complacent wouldn’t serve Poland’s ambitions. Sure enough they came out swinging and scored six goals in the second 45 minutes of the game.

All things being considered – Gibraltar aren’t exactly a powerhouse on the international stage – Poland’s performance did leave much to be desired. Gibraltar played up to the opposition and managed to hold them down to a goal through the first half. Certainly, Poland will need to deposit a much better account against Germany in Warsaw when they collide on Saturday.

Match Betting Odds In Brief
Understandably, odds makers send Germany into this clash as the -200 road favourites on the soccer odds page. Poland, despite home advantage, meanwhile are matched as the whopping +500 underdogs while the draw is similarly out of reach at +333 soccer odds at Bet365.  Double chance betting serves up Poland at +163 to win outright or draw while Germany are matched at prohibitive -700 odds to accomplish either result. Totals are trading at over-under 2.5 with the former favoured at -143 to the latter at +110.


Poland +500 vs. Germany -200
Germany have never lost to Poland on the International stage. In their last six meetings, they edge Poland 4-2-0 (W-D-L), albeit the draws came in two friendly meetings, one of which was earlier this year and ended scoreless.  The last two competitive clashes were at the 2008 European Champions, which Germany won 2-0; and at the 2006 World Cup, which Germany won 1-0.

This is going to be Poland’s toughest test on paper in Euro 2016 qualifying, but it’ll also be their best opportunity to prove their worth against an established soccer-betting heavyweight. If Poland are to come through on their long shot soccer odds, they’ll need to be focused the entire 90 minutes. What’s more, they’ll need Lewandowski to have a big game against his pals from Germany. Lewandowski has shown on occasion to be such a game-changer – he practically single-handedly eliminated Real Madrid two years ago from Champions League action when he scored four goals against Los Blancos in the semis.

Beating Germany is easier said than done however. Joachim Low’s bench is deep and steeped in talent on both sides of the ball. They blow the competition out of the water at will, or stifle them equally.  On offense, all eyes will be trained on Mario Gotze, who’s enjoying a bright season with Bayern Munich already and who scored the winning goal against Argentina at the World Cup, his career crowning achievement yet.

Soccer Betting Verdict
As tempting as Poland’s offensive options look, it’s hard to go against a proven winner and champion of Germany’s ilk. The best bit, at -200 soccer odds, they do offer value for your soccer picks. They’re not exactly overpriced, though they probably should be. So for our money their quality, talent and depth outweighs Poland’s home advantage and offensive weapons. Keep in mind Germany have never lost to Poland. To do so would send seismic shockwaves through soccer betting markets. If you are looking to back Poland, the best option is to hedge your bets with the double result soccer pick: Poland to win or draw at +163.

For our money, we’re backing Germany to win outright at -200 and the Over 2.5 at -143 on our soccer picks We’re expecting a highly entertaining offensive affair between these two nations.

Soccer Free Picks: Germany -200; Over 2.5 at -143 at Pinnacle

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