NYCFC Puts Perfect Home Record on Line vs. Rapids

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, May 16, 2018 3:17 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 16, 2018 3:17 PM UTC

New York City FC is off to a nice start this season and now welcomes Colorado to the Big Apple on Saturday. That's one of four games we're checking out on this weekend's MLS slate.

MLS: Matchweek 12 Select PicksToronto FC vs. Orlando City SC (Friday, 8 p.m. ET)Free MLS Pick: Toronto FC -173Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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Dominic Dwyer (6 goals) and Orlando City (6-1-3, 20 GF/16 GA) have won 5 of their last 6 matches. The Lions head to Toronto to face Sebastian Giovinco (2 goals) and the defending MLS Cup champion Reds (2-1-6, 12 GF/18 GA), who should recover from their crappy start and win some games and their betting backers some greenery from around June forward. A look at the last 5 meetings in this series reveals 4 "overs," with TFC holding a 3-1-1 edge and unbeaten in the last 4. With so much ground to make up and CONCACAF Champions League play finally completed, expect the 10th-place Reds (2-1-2 at home) to beat Orlando City (2-0-1 on road) and start their long trek up the table. There is also a good parlay element here (Toronto FC). Final score prediction: Toronto FC 3, Orlando City SC 1.

New York City FC vs. Colorado Rapids (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET)Free MLS Pick: Over 2½ -175Best Line Offered: Bovada

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Ageless Captain Tim Howard and the Colorado Rapids 2-2-5, 11 GF/13 GA) visit NYCFC (6-3-2, 21 GF/16 GA) in a match where it would be tempting to bet against the visitors even scoring (Rapids To Score No +105, William Hill), with GK Sean Johnson and The Bronx Blues playing better defense. With NYCFC still a relatively new club in MLS, these two sides have met only three times (COL 1-1 NYCFC, NYCFC 5-1 COL, COL 0-0 NYCFC) with two "under" draws in Denver sandwiching an "over" romp by the hosts in New York, where all "totals" should probably be set at 3 no matter what the circumstances. But here we see a 2½ (Over -175, Under +145, 5Dimes) hanging on the MLS odds board, so expecting at least 2 goals from David Villa (5 goals), Maximiliano Morález (4 goals) and NYCFC (-305, 5Dimes) and at least 1 from Dominique Badji (5 goals) and the Rapids (0-1-3 on road) seems logical. Final score prediction: NYCFC 3, Colorado Rapids 1.

Minnesota United FC vs. Sporting Kansas City (Sunday, 2 p.m. ET)Free MLS Picks: Sporting KC +115; Under 3¼ -120Best Lines Offered: Heritage; Bookmaker

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Minnesota United (4-0-7, 13 GF/21 GA) hosts Sporting Kansas City (7-2-2, 12 GF/11 GA) in a Western Conference fixture more important to the Loons (3-0-2 at home), sitting in 7th place in the conference although it is still way too early to worry about postseason positioning in a league where a tornado can pick up frogs from one pond and quickly deposit them in another one in a day. A look at the only three meetings between these two sides (MIN 1-1 SKC, SKC 3-0 MIN, MIN 2-0 SKC) reveals the home team to be an unbeaten (2-1-0), with 2 "unders" and the visiting team having scored only once in more than 270 minutes of soccer. Looking at the current form between these two, Minnesota United is not playing as well as Johnny Russell (5 goals), Felipe Gutiérrez (5 goals) and Sporting KC, which is coming off a 2-0 win in Atlanta (not an easy accomplishment) and sits atop the conference despite just a +1 goal differential. The line screams to back the visitors here in your MLS picks in what should be a low-scoring affair with few quality shots on target and solid GKs, including Sporting KC's Tim Melia. Final score prediction: Minnesota United 0, Sporting KC 2.

Atlanta United FC vs. New York Red Bulls (Sunday, 7 p.m. ET)Free MLS Picks: Atlanta United FC -137; Over 3 -130Best Line Offered: BetOnline; Bovada

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This matchup between host Atlanta United FC (8-1-2, 25 GF/13 GA) and the New York Red Bulls (6-0-3, 23 GF-11 GA) should be entertaining and likely more high scoring than the previous two meetings between these two Eastern Conference members, with forwards such as Josef Martínez (8 goals), Miguel Almirón (6 goals) for The Five Stripes (4-1-1 at home) and Bradley Wright-Phillips (6 goals) for the Red Bulls (2-0-2 on road) on the attack. Since expanding into the MLS last year, Atlanta United is 15-4-4 at home. They have created a wonderful home edge, breaking three single-match attendance records in the new building in its inaugural season. Final score prediction: Atlanta United FC 3, New York Red Bulls 2.

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