NY Red Bulls vs. Vancouver Whitecaps Soccer Picks: Week 17 MLS

Kevin Stott

Monday, June 15, 2015 7:12 PM UTC

Monday, Jun. 15, 2015 7:12 PM UTC

With the Whitecaps an unbeaten 3-2-0 lifetime in their series against the NY Red Bulls, is taking the visitors from Vancouver as the underdog the soccer pick here in the Big Apple this weekend?

Odds Overview: New York Red Bulls vs. Vancouver Whitecaps
Saturday, June 20: MLS Live, TSN2, MSG (USA): 7 p.m. ET/4 p.m. PT
The New York Red Bulls (4-5-4, 17 GF-17 GA) play host to the Vancouver Whitecaps (8-2-6, 18 GF-15 GA) in this sexy interconference MLS Week 17 battle from Red Bull Arena in Harrison, New Jersey on Saturday night. MLS Soccer odds makers have made the host Red Bulls +105 favorites here over visiting Vancouver (+250) with the Draw priced at +240 (bet365). The Total (Goals) has been set at 2½, with the vigorish priced at -120 for prospective Under bettors and at +100 for Over bettors (BetVictor, best odds). Some Props wagers for this weekend game from Swampville: Both Teams To Score: ‘Yes’ -111, ‘No’ -117 (Ladbrokes, best odds); Draw No Bet: New York Red Bulls -200, Vancouver +150 (William Hill, best odds); and, To Win To Nil: New York Red Bulls +260, Vancouver +600 (Coral, best odds).


Vancouver Whitecaps FC
The Vancouver Whitecaps (4-1-3 Away, 5 GF-3 GA) have really been the most surprisingly impressive team in the MLS this season and anyone making a Futures wager (14/1 to win MLS Cup, bet365, BetVictor best odds) on this team—which joined the league in 2011 and is the third incarnation of the club to use the Whitecaps nickname—isn’t of their rocker and the +1400 still out there still seems to hold some perceived value. The Whitecaps are led by 23-year-old Uruguayan striker Octavio Rivera (6 goals), Darien Mattocks (3 goals), Pedro Morales (3 goals), Kekuta Manneh (2 goals), Gershon Koffie and Cristian Techera, and this is a very balanced team and still sits proudly in 2nd place in the Western Conference after Week 16 play, 3 points (29-26) behind the conference-leading Sounders, who have played on less game (15-16) than the Whitecaps. And Vancouver GK David Ousted (41 Saves, 15 Goals Conceded) and the Whitecaps Defense have allowed just 15 goals in 16 games.

Kevin Stott Shares Free MLS Picks for Seattle-San Jose and LA-Philadelphia

New York Red Bulls FC
The New York Red Bulls (3-2-1 Home, 8 GF-5 GA) have played relatively low-scoring games at Home here at Red Bull Arena so far this season (2.167 gpg average), and with the Whitecaps being a team that plays low-scoring games away from Home (5 GF-4 GA)—just a total of 9 goals in 8 games (1.25 gpg average)—taking the Under on pure statistics is an automatic with this, especially at 2½ (goals). The Red Bulls (11/1 to win MLS Cup, Betfair Sportsbook, best odds) feature 31-year-old Luis Robles in their goal and New York is led on Offense by talented striker Bradley Wright-Phillips (5 goals), Lloyd Sam (4 goals), forward Mike Grella (3 goals), Sacha Kljestan (2 goals) and Felipe Martins (1 goal). So, a nice balance of scoring. But lately, the Red Bulls have been in a losing skid, falling three straight times (3 GF-3 GA) and having gone over five weeks without a Win and the 3 points that come with it. Therefore, the Red Bulls sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference, now clinging to one of the conference’s last two playoff spots with 17 points.


Current Form, Series Trends, Conclusions
There have only been 5 meetings in this series, and the second-year Vancouver Whitecaps (14/1 to win MLS Cup, bet365, BetVictor best odds) are surprisingly an unbeaten 3-2-0 against New York Red Bulls with both teams scoring in all 5 meetings—something Both Teams To Score (‘Yes’) bettors should make note of. And in a true trend that defines soccer and soccer betting, although the BTTS (‘Yes’) is 5-0 in the 5 meetings between these two teams, the Under is 3-2 because ofthe three straight 1-1 results the first 3 times the Red Bulls and Whitecaps met. Here, we can probably expect more of the same, in terms of both teams being able to muster a goal, but with the Whitecaps owning the series so far (VAN 4-1 NY, NY 1-2 VAN, VAN 1-1, NY 1-1, VAN 1-1 NY), the Red Bulls having L3 straight and being outscored 8-3 in the process and not having won since May 10th against cross-city semi-gonna-be-one-day rivals, expansion NYCFC (2-1), it’s too hard to recommend a side with any confidence and betting the oft-overlooked Draw may end up being the wisest route. With the strong statistics pointing toward the Whitecaps (WLLWLW) being an Under team on the Road and the New York Red Bulls (LWDLLL) being an under team at Home, and Summer and hot weather kicking in and both teams maybe tired from midweek US Open Cup affairs—NYRB hosts the Atlanta Silverbacks on Tuesday night here—backing the Under seems like the best Soccer Pick and something a bit risky with the thought both teams will find a way to get one (a goal) in this important match.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: New York Red Bulls 1 Vancouver Whitecaps 1

MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER PICK: Under 2½ -120 (BetVictor), Both Teams To Score ‘Yes’ -120 (BetVictor)

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