Nitto ATP Finals Betting Preview: Back Djokovic for Glory in London

João Mourato

Friday, November 9, 2018 5:11 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 9, 2018 5:11 PM UTC

Join our tennis expert capper for his betting analysis for the Nitto ATP Finals. Find out who the undeniable favorite is, as well as the player to keep an eye in London.

Undeniable Favorite

Novak Djokovic is back as world No.1 after a two-year absence. The 31-year-old won 35 of his last 38 matches and is guaranteed to end 2018 at the top of the ATP World Tour rankings for the fifth time in his career. Despite his loss in the final of the Rolex Paris Masters to Karen Khachanov last Sunday, Djokovic is the undeniable favorite in London. The Serbian won the title in four of his last five appearances at the O2 Arena with Pinnacle offering -146 for Djokovic to lift the trophy at the season-ending tournament for the sixth time in his career.

Looking now at Novak’s draw at the Nitto ATP Finals, the world No.1 leads the Group Guga Kuerten with Alexander Zverev, Marin Cilic and John Isner. The Serbian is the favorite to win the group and despite the quality of the opposition, it’s impossible to go against Djokovic at the moment. On the other hand, the slow court at the O2 Arena suit Novak’s style while Zverev, Cilic and Isner would prefer to play in faster conditions.

Six-time champion Roger Federer is Djokovic’s main rival on this event. Federer pushed the Serbian to the limit in a three-hour battle at the Rolex Paris Masters two weeks ago. The Swiss is the top contender to win the Group Lleyton Hewitt but lost eight of his last 10 official encounters against Djokovic. Adding to this, Novak is on a four-match winning streak over Federer. With this in mind, our suggestion is to add Novak’s outright to your betting picks at -146 at Pinnacle as the best betting approach for this tournament.

Player to Keep an Eye

Former Grand Slam champion Marin Cilic has qualified for the Nitto ATP Finals for the fourth time in his career. Cilic reached his third Grand Slam final at the Australian Open and became the eighth player to win multiple titles at the Fever-Tree Championship in London. The 30-year-old also rose to a career-high No.3 in the ATP rankings in January and advanced to the semi-finals in two Masters 1000 tournaments – the Internazionali BNL d’Italia in Rome and the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati.

Cilic will begin his Nitto ATP Finals campaign against Alexander Zverev on Monday. The German No.1 won five of their previous six official encounters and is the slight favorite at -120 at Intertops. Nevertheless, Zverev appeared to be struggling with a shoulder injury in his quarterfinals match in Paris against Karen Khachanov and might not be at 100% for this contest. For that reason, our suggestion is to take advantage of the value on Cilic’s tennis betting odds to win this match at +110 at 5Dimes.

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