Nippon Professional Baseball Picks: July 15th Betting Odds

profile
Nippon Professional Baseball Picks: July 15th Betting Odds

Not a single underdog won during Tuesday’s NPB slate with five favorites winning and one game being rained out. Will that trend continue into Wednesday? Here are the best bets for Wednesday’s NPB slate.

Yakult Swallows vs. Hanshin Tigers

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:00 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Yakult: Gabriel Ynoa (0-1 10.64 ERA)
  • Hanshin: Onelki Garcia (0-1 6.00 ERA)

The Hanshin Tigers welcomed the Yakult Swallows to their home and won the first game of the series 6-3.

The Tigers will now send out Onelki Garcia to keep their two-game win streak going. Garcia is currently 0-2 with a 4.60 ERA on the season in three games started. He’s striking out 5.7 batters per nine innings but walking 7.5 batters per nine innings. While Garcia isn’t having the best season, he’s coming off an interesting performance in his last time out. Garcia held the Yomiuri Giants to no runs and one hit in six innings, however, he walked six and struck out four.

Throughout his career, Garcia has struggled to find the strike zone. He’s averaging just below four walks per nine innings in the NPB through two seasons and this current season. His career WHIP is high at 1.41 which is below average. This season, his WHIP is 1.66 in three starts which is terrible for any starter. Batters are now hitting Garcia with a .236 batting average through three games. Although Garcia held the Giants scoreless, the Tigers didn’t score with Garcia on the mound so he was given the no-decision.

On the other side, the Yakult Swallows will pitch Gabriel Ynoa, who has become the “walking fade” in baseball, per our YouTube show. Ynoa allowed five runs on seven hits in three innings of work in his last start against the Chunichi Dragons. Hitters are currently hitting Ynoa with a .415 batting average on the season after three games started.

Again, Ynoa is 0-5 in foreign leagues for his career with an ERA of 7.30. He’s allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings in foreign leagues. On the season, he’s allowed 22 hits in 11 innings and has a WHIP of 2.36 while allowing 18 hits per nine innings with just 4.9 strikeouts per nine innings this season.

Prediction

While Ynoa is getting hit hard this season, Garcia is walking almost a batter per inning this season. Garcia’s the better pitcher but as long as the Swallows stay patient at the plate, they’ll find their way on base too. Give me the over in this one at BetOnline.

Over 7.5-110
Visit Site
(Photo by STR / JIJI PRESS / AFP) / Japan OUT /

Yomiuri Giants vs. Hiroshima Carp

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:00 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Yomiuri: Shosei Togo (2-0 2.77 ERA) 
  • Hiroshima: Kris Johnson (2-0 4.76 ERA)

The Yomiuri Giants destroyed the Hiroshima Carp in the first game of the series with a convincing 7-2 victory on the road. The Giants are back in first place in the Central Division with the win.

The Giants will send Shosei Togo to the mound for this one. He’s a 20-year-old in his second season in the league. He’s 3-0 with a 2.49 ERA in four games in the NPB throughout his career. Togo has a WHIP of 1.02 in those first four games where he’s allowed just six runs, 22 strikeouts, and eight walks.

Togo’s last start came on June 30 where he went 6.1 innings and allowed just four hits, two runs, and struck out four while walking three against the BayStars. Opponents are hitting Togo with a .182 batting average and he threw 62 of 96 pitches as strikes.

He’ll go up against Kris Johnson who is struggling a bit this season. Johnson is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA. He has allowed 19 hits in 17 innings and nine earned runs. In his NPB career, however, he’s 57-32 with a 2.59 ERA. Johnson is allowing a couple more hits per nine innings than usual but his strikeout and walk numbers are on par with his career numbers.

In Johnson’s most recent start, he went seven innings, allowing three runs on six hits while striking out five and walking two against the BayStars. He lowered his opponent batting average to .288 on the season helped the Carp to a win in that one.

Prediction

Johnson went 11-8 with a 2.59 ERA last season for the Carp. He’s been allowing a couple more hits but only one homerun on the season. The hits should start to regress as he reverts back to his career numbers, just like how his strikeouts and walks have been. On the other hand, Shosei Togo is a young phenom who should also shut the door.

I like the under in this one. I might even change this pick to under in the first five innings. Stay tuned.

Under 8-127
Visit Site
Yomiuri Giants – Photo by STR / JIJI PRESS / AFP

Rakuten Eagles vs. Seibu Lions

Wednesday, July 15, 2020 – 5:00 am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Rakuten: Hideki Wakui (3-0 5.29 ERA)
  • Seibu: Tatsuya Imai (1-2 5.00 ERA)

The Rakuten Eagles and Seibu Lions were rained out on Tuesday morning and will look to play the first game of the series on Wednesday instead. The Eagles are now 9-3 on the season at home and will look to continue their hot stretch at home.

Hideki Wakui is 3-0 on the season with a 5.29 ERA. Wakui is a 34-year-old veteran who has gone 136-128 in his career in the NPB with a 3.52 ERA. This season, he’s striking out more than average and walking less than his average. However, he’s also giving up 10.1 hits per nine innings this season which is above his average of 8.8 hits per nine innings.

Wakui allowed 10 hits and six runs in five innings pitched against the Hawks in his last start. He struck out four and walked one while also giving up a homer. It took Wakui 124 pitches to finish five innings. Wakui’s opponents are hitting .275 against him on the season but what’s also been interesting is how many times the Eagles score with him on the mound.

The Eagles scored 12 runs in his last start, five in his second start, and five in his first start of the season. They reached a team total of five runs in each start Wakui has pitched.

The Eagles offense will go up against Tatsuya Imai who has a career 13-16 record with a 4.54 ERA. He walks 4.6 batters per nine innings and strikes out seven per nine innings. Throughout his career, Imai has a WHIP of 1.46 and this season it’s worse at 1.67 through three games. He’s walked 12 and struck out 10 in those three games.

However, Imai is coming off a solid performance against the Lotte Marines where he went seven innings and allowed two hits but walked five and struck out four. Even after that start, hitters are still hitting .261 against Imai and the Eagles have the best offense in the Pacific per batting average.

Prediction

Again, the Rakuten Eagles have been much better offensively and as a group at home, going 9-3 in their first three home games.

Rakuten Eagles-150
Visit Site