Nippon Professional Baseball Picks: July 12th Betting Odds

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Nippon Professional Baseball Picks: July 12th Betting Odds
Yoshinobu Yamamoto pitching for Team Japan - Photo by Charly Triballeau / AFP

The NPB has been one hectic league with bad beat after bad beat. There have been plenty of upsets and interesting finishes to games with the new rule in the NPB where games finish as ties after the 10th inning. This rule absolutely changes the game so we’ll have to adjust. Here are the best bets for Sunday’s NPB slate.


Nippon Ham Fighters vs. Orix Buffaloes

Sunday, July 12, 2020 – 12:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Orix: Yoshinobu Yamamoto (2-0 2.18 ERA)
  • Nippon Ham: Ryusei Kawano (0-1 6.00 ERA)

The Orix Buffaloes defeated the Nippon Ham Fighters in another come-from-behind win. The Buffaloes are winning their games against the Nippon Ham Fighters bullpen right now coming off back-to-back wins and leads late in the game.

The Buffaloes will send out Yoshinobu Yamamoto who is currently 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA on the season. In three starts, he’s allowed 13 hits and five earned runs in 20.2 innings of work. He’s struck out 17 and walked four while allowing no homers in all three of his games.

He currently has a WHIIP of .82 in the first three games of the season and has a 15-9 record in his career with a 2.51 ERA in 82 games. He’s basically the Buffaloes best pitcher and he’s proven it with each game.

Currently, batters are hitting just .173 against Yamamoto this season. In his last start, he went seven innings against the Seibu Lions and allowed two runs (one earned) on four hits while striking out four and walking none.

Rookie pitcher, Ryusei Kawano will take the mound for Nippon Ham in the final game of the series. Kawano has finished nine innings in two games and has an ERA of 6 while allowing eight walks and two home runs on the season. He’s only walked five and has a WHIP of 1.78 in those two starts.

In his last start, Kawano went just four innings, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits but also walked three and struck out four while allowing one home run. In the game, he threw 34 balls in 79 pitches. Guys are batting .235 against Kawano after two starts in the NPB.

Prediction

The Buffaloes continue to scratch out wins against the Nippon Ham Fighters. They might not need to scratch and claw late in this game. Yamamoto has been excellent throughout his young career.

Kawano, on the other hand, is having trouble finding the strike zone.

NPB Pick:

Orix Buffaloes(-190)
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Hanshin Tigers vs. Yokohama BayStars

Sunday, July 11, 2020 – 5:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Hanshin: Yuta Iwasada (1-1 5.06 ERA) 
  • Yokohama: Kentaro Taira (2-0 4.58 ERA)

The Hanshin Tigers and Yokohama BayStars played a tight game in Saturday’s match-up after a dominant performance by both starting pitchers.

However, Yuta Iwasada of the Hanshin Tigers has been everything but dominant in his first three starts of the season. He’s allowed 20 hits and nine runs in 16 innings while striking out 13 and walking five. His WHIP after three games is 1.56.

Iwasada will come off a win against the Hiroshima Carp but went six innings, allowing nine hits, three runs while striking out six. Batters are currently hitting Iwasada with a batting average of .308 and his ERA is currently 5.06.

For his career, Iwasada is 27-39 with a 3.78 ERA in 29 games started. He strikes out 8.2 batters per nine innings but walks 3.2 batters per nine innings and has a WHIP of 1.27 for his career.

On the other hand, Kentaro Taira will take the mound for the BayStars. Taira has struggled throughout his career but it looks like he’s finally figuring it out at 24 years old. Taira has started three games and allowed just 10 hits in 19 innings, including two earned runs. He’s struck out 13 and walked just two.

Taira defeated the Swallows after going seven innings, allowing three hits and striking out eight and walking none.

Hitters are having trouble against Taira with a .154 opponent batting average this season.

Prediction

Taira has a career record of 13-13 and ERA of 3.89 but he has looked incredible to start the season. It looks like he’s turning the corner and could be starting hit his prime.

I’m all over the BayStars in this one.

NPB Pick:

BayStars(-145)
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Softbank Hawks vs. Rakuten Eagles

Sunday, July 12, 2020 – 1:00am EST

Probable Pitchers Per NPB site:

  • Softbank: Shuta Ishikawa (1-0 5.59 ERA)
  • Rakuten: Ryota Ishibashi (1-2 6.43 ERA)

The Rakuten Eagles ended up losing to the Softbank Hawks after scoring four runs in the first two innings but then couldn’t score in the next seven and lost 8-4.

The Eagles will send out Ryota Ishibashi who has a 1-2 record with a 6.43 ERA on the season. Through three games, he’s allowed 15 hits and 10 runs while striking out nine and walking six. He currently has a WHIP of 1.5 on the season.

Ishibashi is coming off a win against the Lotte Marines after six innings. He allowed just two hits and one earned runs. However, he only struck out one and walked two. 

The Eagles scored plenty of runs behind Ishibashi in this one. Therefore, he went just six innings and threw 75 pitches. He could’ve gone longer but it wasn’t needed with a big lead.

Ishibashi has an opponent batting average of .283 on the season after losing his first two starts before his most recent win.

Ishibashi is now 9-9 in the NPB throughout his career. He strikes out 5.2 batters per nine innings and allows 1.5 homers per nine innings. This season, he’s allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings. That’s how bad he was in his first two starts.

Shuta Ishikawa will take the mound for Softbank. He’s 22-9 in his NPB career and has a 3.51 ERA. On the season, he has a 5.59 ERA in two games. He’s allowed 11 hits and six earned runs while striking out 11 and walking three on the season.

Ishikawa hasn’t started a game since July 1 after a very solid outing against the Nippon Ham Fighters. He went six innings, allowed five hits, and struck out 10 while allowing just one walk.

In his first start of the season, he went just 3.2 innings against the Seibu Lions, allowing six hits, two walks, and six runs while striking out just one batter. He got bounced back in a big way on July 1.

Prediction

Ishibashi and Ishikawa started off the season poor but have both bounced back with big performances in their most recent starts.

The Eagles offense has continued to struggle on the road against the Hawks while the Hawks might be running out of offense for the final game of the series.

NPB Pick:

Under 9(-118)
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